MLB Daily Grind Down May 11th Night Games Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
| LA Angels | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Jerome Williams – (1-1), 3.16 ERA, 6.07 K/9, 1.13 WHIP | Jose Quintana – (2-0), 3.86 ERA, 6.99 K/9, 1.26 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (17-55 H/AB) 0.309 BA-A, 16.36 K%, 0.818 OPS-A | PvB | (4-17 H/AB) 0.235 BA-A, 23.53 K%, 0.765 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 2.19 ERA, 0 HRA, 3.6 K/9, 1.135 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 7 ERA, 1 HRA, 6 K/9, 1.778 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
LAA BvP  | LAA vs L | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored Pick’em
Pitchers
- Home Jose Quintana is not a guy I would ever play because I prefer to gamble on high K upside but it is hard to argue how successful he has been for his price. The big problem I have with him today is not with him, however. It is the fact that CHW has simply not been scoring runs and with a low K guy you need the win to play them. LAA is batting .245 on the road, .255 versus left-handers and .254 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Jerome Willams moves into the rotation but I am not sure he makes it 5 IP. He has decent K/9 potential but there are better gambles out there. CHW is batting
Batters
- Home I won two entries into last year’s DraftStreet’s Baseball Championship off of 2 separate CHW stacks so the potential is there but how long can you keep playing these guys. They get another easy matchup today but they are simply not producing. If You are running multiple entries then consider running a CWS load but just lay off of them otherwise.
- Away Mark Trumbo and Mike Trout have been producing over the last 7 days. Quintana sucks for the purposes of daily fantasy but he is a decent pitcher so do not expect to much fro LAA. Callaspo, Shuck, and Kendrick all have batting averages over .400 versus left0handers.
Texas at Houston
| Texas | Houston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minute Maid Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Yu Darvish – (5-1), 2.56 ERA, 14.34 K/9, 0.92 WHIP | Erik Bedard – (0-2), 7.36 ERA, 9.82 K/9, 1.82 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (5-44 H/AB) 0.114 BA-A, 47.73 K%, 0.341 OPS-A | PvB | (33-132 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 18.94 K%, 0.697 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 1.31 ERA, 0 HRA, 14.4 K/9, 0.484 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 2.53 ERA, 2 HRA, 11 K/9, 1.219 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TEX BvP | TEX vs L | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored TEX -260
Pitchers
- Home Erik Bedard has yet to pitch past the 4th inning so he is unplayable based off of that alone but you cannot like him today versus the Rangers anyway. TEX is batting .251 on the road, .274 versus left-handers, and .283 over the last 7 days.
- Away The last time Yu Darvish faced this team he was an out away from a perfect game. HOU is a scrappy team so do not expect those results but average pitchers are playable against their high K totals and he is well, well, well above average. Target
Batters
- Home The Astros will have 3x as many Ks as hits today.
- Away A TEX stack did not work too well last night but that is perfect for today because less people will be on it. Ian Kinsler, Adrian Beltre, Nelson Cruz, and Jeff Baker are great plays again today.
Philadelphia at Arizona
| Philadelphia | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Cliff Lee – (3-2), 3.26 ERA, 7.32 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | Trevor Cahill – (2-3), 2.8 ERA, 6.8 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (31-150 H/AB) 0.207 BA-A, 32.67 K%, 0.573 OPS-A | PvB | (21-89 H/AB) 0.236 BA-A, 16.85 K%, 0.652 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 2.48 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 0.828 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 2.61 ERA, 1 HRA, 8.4 K/9, 1.097 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PHI BvP | PHI vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored ARI -115
Pitchers
- Home If MIA pitching staff can shut down PHI then is anyone scared of their bats no matter who is on the mound. Trevor Cahill remains the best pitcher you are not using in daily fantasy because his K totals are substandard. A 7 IP 2 ER with 4 Ks is his average line and is probably what you can expect from him today. PHI is batting .231 on the road, .247 versus right-handed pitching, and .215 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away It is not many times this year that you will see Cliff Lee take the mound as the underdog. He is a better pitcher on the road but this is a tough park to pitch in. I am not sure he is worth the price today simply because there are better/safer options to play and if I am going to gamble on a player it will be on a value play. ARI is batting .248 at home, .228 versus left-handers, and .248 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt is in a zone today and kills left-handed pitching. Didi Gregorius also hits lefties well as does Cody Ross. The OU is 8 so there should be some runs in this one.
- Away Outside of Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, there is not much upside in taking any Philly. It is probably best to look elsewhere today.
Miami at LA Dodgers
| Miami | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 9:10 PM | ||||||
| Kevin Slowey – (1-2), 1.81 ERA, 7.33 K/9, 0.94 WHIP | Hyun-Jin Ryu – (3-2), 3.71 ERA, 10 K/9, 1.21 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (12-30 H/AB) 0.4 BA-A, 13.33 K%, 1.067 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 0.98 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 0.873 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 2.41 ERA, 2 HRA, 11.1 K/9, 1.071 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs L | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored LAD -190
Pitchers
- Home If you had Hyun-Jin Ryu in your LU the when he pitched two starts ago then you made some money. He certainly has GPP winning upside with huge K/9 totals. I think his priced has elevated too much for a guy who has yet to pitch past the 7 inning. MIA is batting .233 on the road, .219 versus left-handed pitching, and .204 over the last 7 days. The low OU in the huge line put him in play today.
- Away Kevin Slowey has been really good on the year but still plays for the Marlins. There is little to no upside in playing him today on the road. LAD is batting .245 at home, .237 versus right-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez have the splits in there favor today and they have been the only Dodgers consistently producing. Slowey has been tough on the year so do not look to deep into LAD today.
- Away MIA offers value. Marcell Ozuna has been producing but they are too much of a gamble for me these days unless they draw a bad opponent.
Oakland at Seattle
| Oakland | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 9:10 PM | ||||||
| Jarrod Parker – (1-5), 7.34 ERA, 6.6 K/9, 1.98 WHIP | Brandon Maurer – (2-4), 6.07 ERA, 5.55 K/9, 1.45 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-73 H/AB) 0.178 BA-A, 23.29 K%, 0.562 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 4.3 ERA, 5 HRA, 8 K/9, 1.977 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 6.35 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.9 K/9, 1.765 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| OAK BvP | OAK vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored Pick’em
Pitchers
- Home I honestly do not understand how Brandon Maurer is in the big league. He had impressive numbers in single and double A but has struggled ever since then. OAK is equally cold on offense so I am not sure I fire off a load but there is no way you can consider playing Maurer today. OAK is batting .253 on the road, .230 versus right-handers and .207 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Jarrod Parker has a better resume than Maurer but he has been just as bad. The low OU in this game is more about the ineptness of the two teams offense than it is about the ability of the pitchers. If I need to tell you that a player with a 7.34 ERA and 1.98 WHIP is a big gamble today then you need to seek help. SEA is batting .256 at home, .233 versus right-handers, and .182 over the last 7 days. I am not risking it but one of these player should have an unusually good day.
Batters
- Home Michael Saunders has been hot and gains the splits in his favor today. It is hard to recommend anyone from a team batting only .182 over the last 7 days. They could get to Parker. Good luck finding out who it is that does it.
- Away Maurer has imploded often so I think everyone is in play. I think a hot Josh Donaldson is playable even if you chose not to load. Seth Smith is always a cheap option versus righties
