MLB Daily Grind Down May 28th Part 2
Miami at Tampa Bay
| Miami | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Kevin Slowey – (1-5), 3.3 ERA, 6.78 K/9, 1.226 WHIP | Jeremy Hellickson – (2-2), 5.37 ERA, 7.12 K/9, 1.218 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-39 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 10.26 K%, 0.897 OPS-A | PvB | (5-27 H/AB) 0.185 BA-A, 33.33 K%, 0.667 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 2.74 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.9 K/9, 1.304 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 5.04 ERA, 4 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
MIA BvP  | MIA vs R | TBR BvP | TBR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored TB -230
Pitchers
- Home Jeremy Hellickson has really been struggling this season, but luckily for him he gets to face the confidence boosting Marlins at home tonight. You don’t see a favorite this big with that low of an over/under very often, so trust that Vegas knows what they are doing. The Marlins are awful offensively and Hellickson should pick up the win. Target
- Away Kevin Slowey numbers across the board look good, yet I still can’t trust him. I don’t know if it’s the fact that he plays on the Marlins and doesn’t get run support or the fact that he is Kevin Slowey. Either way, I’m still staying away. Avoid
Batters
- Home Really low over/under combined with the expensive bats of the Rays have me wanting to avoid this game for offense, but Kelly Johnson has been swinging a hot bat and is worth a look in these big tournaments.
- Away I’ve been avoiding Marlins bats for over a month now and I haven’t looked back.
St. Louis at Kansas City
| St. Louis | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Tyler Lyons – (1-0), 1.29 ERA, 5.14 K/9, 0.714 WHIP | Ervin Santana – (3-4), 3.14 ERA, 7.43 K/9, 1.079 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (10-31 H/AB) 0.323 BA-A, 19.35 K%, 0.968 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 1.29 ERA, 1 HRA, 5.1 K/9, 0.714 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 2.68 ERA, 7 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 1.108 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| STL BvP | STL vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.0
- Favored KC -107
Pitchers
- Home Ervin Santana has been very quietly having a nice season. His WHIP and ERA are under control and he is striking out batters at a solid rate. He has been even better at home which would normally lead us to believe that he is a good play, but are a tough team to get 3 consecutive outs against. The close line and high over/under say to avoid Santana, but I think he is a good risk to take if you feel like getting crazy. In Play
- Away Tyler Lyons pitched really well in his first start and I think he will continue that success until hitters have had a chance to face him a couple of times. Playing against the Royals is a bit different than the Padres, but if he is dirt cheap, why not take a shot on him? In Play
Batters
- Home If you don’t trust rookie pitchers on the road, then you may want to take a few bats from the Royals today. Billy Butler and Alcides Escobar are both really good against lefties.
- Away Santana has really only faced one of the Cardinals batters that will be in the lineup, so there isn’t much past info to rely on here. Matt Carpenter should be looked at as well as the power hitters as Santana gave up quite a few HR’s in his last start.
Minnesota at Milwaukee
| Minnesota | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Scott Diamond – (3-4), 4.96 ERA, 4.19 K/9, 1.486 WHIP | Alfredo Figaro – (0-0), 3.32 ERA, 0 K/9, 1.38 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (10-23 H/AB) 0.435 BA-A, 4.35 K%, 1.174 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-0), 2.19 ERA, 1 HRA, 5.5 K/9, 0.973 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 3 ERA, 4 HRA, 8 K/9, 1.167 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIN BvP | MIN vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.0
- Favored MIL -119
Pitchers
- Home Anytime a relief pitcher makes a spot start, it is typically better for the opposing offense than it is the pitcher. I don’t think Alfredo Figaro lasts very long tonight. Avoid
- Away Scott Diamond has been very good on the road this season recording a 3-0 record with a 2.19 ERA, but I highly doubt he can repeat those type of numbers tonight against the Brewers. The Brew Crew are great against lefties and can really put up a lot of runs at home. Avoid
Batters
- Home You have to love the Brewers when they face an average lefty, you just have to. Most of the team hits better against lefties than they do righties. Ryan Braun, Jonathon Lucroy, Carlos Gomez, and Rickie Weeks should all be targeted tonight.
- Away The Twins hit RHP pitchers well and Figaro is a relief pitcher making a spot start. Look for the Twins to find some success. I love Joe Mauer in this one if you can afford him and I think both Justin Morneau and Josh Willingham have good chances to homer tonight.
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
| Chicago Cubs | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Edwin Jackson – (1-7), 6.11 ERA, 8.83 K/9, 1.566 WHIP | Chris Sale – (5-2), 2.53 ERA, 8.58 K/9, 0.922 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (14-73 H/AB) 0.192 BA-A, 16.44 K%, 0.63 OPS-A | PvB | (1-10 H/AB) 0.1 BA-A, 60 K%, 0.2 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 4.26 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.8 K/9, 1.224 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 1.47 ERA, 3 HRA, 8.2 K/9, 0.783 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHC BvP | CHC vs L | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored CWS -184
Pitchers
- Home The city of Chicago is up for grabs, but from the looks of it on paper, this might be a lopsided game. The Cubs managed to blank the White Sox last night and I think the opposite could happen in this one. Chris Sale is 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA and a 0.783 WHIP at home this season. Incredible numbers. Expect him to make quick work of this Cubs lineup. Target
- Away Hard to see Edwin Jackson pitching anything like Samardzija did last night. Jackson has an ERA over 6 and hasn’t had a really good game in quite a while. The White Sox lineup can go cold, but I don’t see Jackson being able to get enough run support to be in line for a win. Avoid
Batters
- Home Jackson has a high strikeout rate so I would probably stay away from the White Sox bats on sites that penalize for strikeouts. But Jackson gives up HR’s as well so both Alex Rios and Adam Dunn are in play if the price is right.
- Away Cubs hitters: AVOID, AVOID, AVOID
San Francisco at Oakland
| San Francisco | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Mike Kickham – | Jarrod Parker – (2-6), 5.76 ERA, 6.64 K/9, 1.624 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (6-21 H/AB) 0.286 BA-A, 0 K%, 0.905 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (1-3), 7.43 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.688 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored OAK -136
Pitchers
- Home Looking at Jarrod Parker season statistics, you would certainly think to avoid him in all starts, but he really hasn’t pitched bad in any of his last 5 starts and looks like he could be getting it together. His ERA above 7 at home this season is a bit scary, but I actually think he is one of the best cheap options at pitcher tonight. He gets the win, book it. In Play
- Away Michael Kickham is taking Vogelsong’s spot in the rotation while he is hurt and I’m not quite sure what to expect from him in his first career start. He has a good K rate in the minors, but has had an ERA over 4 there which is a bit high. I’m going to avoid for now. Avoid
Batters
- Home Target those right hand bats of the A’s today against the rookie. Donaldson, Cespedes, and Chris Young.
- Away Like I said, I think Parker pitches well, but Posey has been hot lately and could be a good play.
