MLB Daily Grind Down May 31st Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Tampa Bay at Cleveland
| Tampa Bay | Cleveland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Field | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Matt Moore – (8-0), 2.29 ERA, 8.84 K/9, 1.091 WHIP | Corey Kluber – (3-3), 5.19 ERA, 8.68 K/9, 1.404 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-64 H/AB) 0.203 BA-A, 29.69 K%, 0.688 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (4-0), 2.4 ERA, 4 HRA, 8.1 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 4.85 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.7 K/9, 1.538 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
TBR BvP  | TBR vs R | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored TAM -10
Pitchers
- Home Corey Kluber has been below average at home and on the road this year. He has limited K/9 potential anyway and looks to be a real bad selection versus a hot TAM team. TAM is batting .249 on the road, .251 versus right-handers, and .267 over the last 7 days. They rank 5th in runs scored and have recorded the 6th fewest Ks.
- Away The difference between Matt Moore and Max Scherzer for me today is Moore’s opponent. Sure, CLE is a tough draw. They are batting .260 at home, .279 versus left-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days. The rank 4th in runs scored but have the 5th most Ks in the league. It is their K total that gives Moore huge upside if he pitches well and thus makes him playable in GPPs. It only helps the fact that he seems to be a near lock to get the win versus Kluber. In Play
Batters
- Home The OU high in this game so CLE should get to Moore a little. CLE has cooled as of late but Carlso Santana is never a bad play at home versus a left-hander. Drew Stubbs also hits left-handers very well if you are looking for value.
- Away Kelly Johnson has been very hot prosucing 31.75 fp. Matt Joyce, Desmond Jennings and James Loney have all been hot also producing over 20 fp in the last 7 days. James Loney is batting .311 versus right-handed pitching.
NY Mets at Miami
| NY Mets | Miami | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Shaun Marcum – (0-5), 6.59 ERA, 6.64 K/9, 1.587 WHIP | Jacob Turner – | ||||||
| PvB | (26-73 H/AB) 0.356 BA-A, 6.85 K%, 0.89 OPS-A | PvB | (6-29 H/AB) 0.207 BA-A, 13.79 K%, 0.552 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 4.97 ERA, 0 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.579 WHIP | HOME | NO DATA | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| NYM BvP | NYM vs R | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas 7.5
- OU 7.5
- Favored NYM -144
Pitchers
- Home Jacob Turner had a little success with MIA last year but has looked really bad in AAA this year. The Mets are not a powerhouse team but they are better than MIA. Do you really want to gamble on a bad pitcher on a bad team? NYM is batting .243 on the road, .232 versus right-handers and .231 over the last 7 days. They rank 23rd in runs scored and have recorded the 6th most Ks in the league. Avoid
- Away Shaun Marcum gets the easiest draw in baseball tonight un MIA. He has not been good on the year but he has been borderline okay on the road with a 4.97 ERA. I am not taking him tonight because I think to many people will be on him but he could pitch really well versus this team. MIA is batting .208 at home, .224 versus right-handers, and .209 over the last 7 days. They rank 30th in runs scored and have recorded the 10th fewest Ks on the year. In Play
Batters
- Home If you think bad Marcum will show up then Marcell Ozuna, Chris Coghlan, Derek Dietrich, and Justin Ruggiano are the players that are producing for MIA. MIA is so bad that if you do not take Marcum then you need to play the fade with one of these guys.
- Away Justin Turner, Daniel Murphy, and David Wright all have plus .300 averages versus right-handers. Something tells me this start could get ugly so I like the left-handed bats of Ankiel, Duda, and Davis as well.
Washington at Atlanta
| Washington | Atlanta | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner Field | 7:30 PM | ||||||
| Stephen Strasburg – (2-5), 2.66 ERA, 8.71 K/9, 1.123 WHIP | Julio Teheran – (3-1), 3.99 ERA, 5.49 K/9, 1.362 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (40-129 H/AB) 0.31 BA-A, 31.01 K%, 0.86 OPS-A | PvB | (16-42 H/AB) 0.381 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 0.952 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 3.66 ERA, 4 HRA, 8.7 K/9, 1.271 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 3.86 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.3 K/9, 1.393 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored WAS -106
Pitchers
- Home Julio Teheran is very playable to me tonight. Yes he has limited K/9 upside and his ERA is only slightly above average but he could turn out to be the play of the day if the higher priced players all facing much tougher matchups all go bust. WAS seems hot coming out of a hitter’s friendly park in BAL but they were very cold before that and are without their best player in Bryce Harper. WAS is batting .14 on the road, .241 verus right-handers, and .268 over the last 7 days. WAS ranks 26th in runs scored and has recorded the 8th most KS in the league. In Play
- Away Any other day, I would tell you to shy off of Stephen Strasburg and his 3.66 ERA on the road. This is a weird day and he is trending upward in his last 3 starts with 23 IP, 3 ER, and 20 Ks. He has also thrown over a 110 pitches in those three starts. I could see him getting the loss and still producing close to the same amount of fp as a safer play who gets the win. ATL is batting .258 at home, .255 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. The rank 14th in runs scred and have recorded the 2nd most Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Dan Uggla is 11-23 versus Strasburg with 2 HRs. Jason Heyward is 7-14 versus him also. Gattis and McCann‘s BvPs are positive as well. Freddie Freeman has been hot producing 30.75 fp over the last week. Freeman and McCann are both batting well over .300 versus right-handed pitching.
- Away Adam La Roche has been hot producing 39.5 fp over the last 7 days. His BvPs versus Teheran are encouraging also. Ryan Zimmerman has been hot as well with 26.5 fp over the last week. Denard Span hits righties very well.
Kansas City at Texas
| Kansas City | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Wade Davis – (3-3), 5.91 ERA, 7.17 K/9, 1.969 WHIP | Derek Holland – (3-2), 3.3 ERA, 8.1 K/9, 1.167 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-48 H/AB) 0.271 BA-A, 25 K%, 0.729 OPS-A | PvB | (21-62 H/AB) 0.339 BA-A, 27.42 K%, 0.919 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 5.04 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 2 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 2.6 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.8 K/9, 1.193 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| KCR BvP | KCR vs L | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored TEX -210
Pitchers
- Home Derek Holland is your safe play. If you think none of the better pitchers facing tougher matchup will out pitch him than he is the easy selection of the night. He is pitching well and has produced a higher K/9 this year. KAN is batting .264 on the road, .272 versus left-handers, .223 over the last 7 days. They rank 24th in the league in runs scored and have recorded the 2nd fewest Ks on the year. Target
- Away Wade Davis ‘s 5.71 ERA and 1.87 WHIP are not good considering the fact that he is facing one of th toughest draws in baseball. His K/9 is mediocre as well so he is unplayable today. TEX is batting .285 t home, .276 versus right-handers, and .292 over the last 7 days. They rank 9th in runs scored, and have recorded the 4th fewest Ks on the year. Avoid
Batters
- Home Ladies and Gentlemen start your TEX stacks! Nelson Cruz has been hot and is playable in a stack despite the righty/righty matchup.
- Away Billy Butler and Jeff Francoeur both hit lefties well. They have positive BvPs versus Holland. No one has been all that hot but Arlington is a place where teams bats can come alive.
Seattle at Minnesota
| Seattle | Minnesota | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Hisashi Iwakuma – (5-1), 2.37 ERA, 8.55 K/9, 0.872 WHIP | Mike Pelfrey – (3-4), 6.69 ERA, 4.26 K/9, 1.82 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (4-37 H/AB) 0.108 BA-A, 24.32 K%, 0.351 OPS-A | PvB | (14-48 H/AB) 0.292 BA-A, 22.92 K%, 0.688 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-1), 3.23 ERA, 8 HRA, 8.3 K/9, 1.051 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 6.12 ERA, 2 HRA, 3.2 K/9, 1.84 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SEA BvP | SEA vs R | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored SEA -124
Pitchers
- Home Mike Pelfrey has been a gas can. No reason think it stops now. Sure, SEA has struggled but Pelfrey has been worse. SEA is batting .224 on the road, .235 versus right-handers, and .228 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Hisashi Iwakuma is lights out at home even though few people know it. He is slightly above average on the road. He might be in a good spot to produce today against a very poor batting MIN team. MIN is batting .259 at home, .239 versus right-handers, and .225 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Joe Mauer has been hot producing over 25.25 fp over the last 7 days. He and Justin Morneau are both batting over .300 versus right-handed pitching.
- Away Its weird to say this but….Ladies and Gentlemen start your SEA stacks. A very hot Kendrys Morales is playable either way. Raul Ibanez has an 11-35 BvP line with 1 HR.
