MLB Daily Grind Down May 31st Part 3
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
San Francisco at St. Louis
| San Francisco | St. Louis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busch Stadium | 8:15 PM | ||||||
| Matt Cain – (3-2), 5.12 ERA, 7.99 K/9, 1.173 WHIP | Shelby Miller – (5-3), 1.74 ERA, 9.79 K/9, 0.93 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (50-165 H/AB) 0.303 BA-A, 19.39 K%, 0.842 OPS-A | PvB | (4-19 H/AB) 0.211 BA-A, 15.79 K%, 0.789 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 5.46 ERA, 11 HRA, 8.6 K/9, 1.277 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 0.99 ERA, 2 HRA, 11.2 K/9, 0.622 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
SFG BvP  | SFG vs R | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored STL -141
Pitchers
- Home Shelby Miller at home versus SFO is the other trap. I do not know why but people tend to gravitate towards the next big thing. Miller has certainly been electric at home with a 0.99 ERA and .143 BAA. This is your choice in double ups or H2Hs but it is too easy a selection in GPPs. It could turn out to be the right choice, however. SF is batting .252 on the road, .272 versus right-handers, and .261 over the last 7 days. They rank 12th in runs scored and have recorded the 30th fewest Ks. Target
- Away Like I said in my opener, GPPs are often won by the players that have the stones to play a guy like Matt Cain on the road. His 5.00 ERA is very high but his WHIP is only a 1.19, which makes me think that some of that is bad luck. His K/9 is well above average so he has huge GPP upside if you want to gamble. STL is tough draw at home. They are batting .272 at home, .283 versus right-handers and .263 over the last 7 days. They rank 9th in runs scored and have the 7th fewest Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Matt Carpenter is 6-7 versus Cain, Carlos Beltran is 7-9 with 1 HR. Matt Holliday has 3 HRs in 40 AB. Jon Jay and Yadier Molina have positive BvPS also. Molina and Carpenter have been hot. David Freese and Allen Craig have also been hot producing over 20 fp.
- Away If you are playing the fade then Hunter Pence has taken this guy yard and is hot producing 30.75 fp over the last week. Marco scutaro is batting .345 versus right-handed pitching.
LA Dodgers at Colorado
| LA Dodgers | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Clayton Kershaw – (5-2), 1.35 ERA, 8.86 K/9, 0.821 WHIP | Jon Garland – (3-5), 5.19 ERA, 4.5 K/9, 1.558 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (47-181 H/AB) 0.26 BA-A, 25.97 K%, 0.757 OPS-A | PvB | (44-192 H/AB) 0.229 BA-A, 9.9 K%, 0.703 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 2.22 ERA, 0 HRA, 7.6 K/9, 0.918 WHIP | HOME | (3-2), 5.4 ERA, 3 HRA, 2.7 K/9, 1.567 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAD BvP | LAD vs R | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored LAD -137
Pitchers
- Home “Jon Garland(player-profile)”:/players/Jon_Garland-11085….. I am taking this one off. If you want to take Garland in COL versus one of the very best pitcher in baseball then go ahead. It could work. Avoid
- Away Clayton Kershaw on the road in COL? You would have to be off your rocker to play him today. Let’s not forget that he is one of the 5 best pitchers in baseball, though. With a 1.68 ERA and 0.87 WHIP, He is off to another CY Young. It is hard to trust him for his price in COL but it is also hard not to play him based off of his record. COL is batting .276 at home, .263 versus left-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. They rank 7th in runs scored and have the 15th most Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Dexter Fowler is 12-30 versus Kershaw. Carlos Gonzalez, Michael Cuddyer, and Troy Tulowitzki have all been very hot producing over 30 fp in the last 7 days. Tulowitzki gains the traditional splits in his favor today and is batting .405 at home.
- Away A stack is playable. Adrian Gonzalez has been hot producing 38.5 fp and is playable either way. Adam Either is 4-9 versus Garland.
Houston at LA Angels
| Houston | LA Angels | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Stadium | 10:05 PM | ||||||
| Dallas Keuchel – (1-1), 4.93 ERA, 5.79 K/9, 1.725 WHIP | Tommy Hanson – (2-1), 3.86 ERA, 5.46 K/9, 1.429 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (2-6 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 0 K%, 1.167 OPS-A | PvB | (12-56 H/AB) 0.214 BA-A, 32.14 K%, 0.571 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 3.38 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.2 K/9, 1.313 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 4.5 ERA, 3 HRA, 3.9 K/9, 1.813 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| HOU BvP | HOU vs R | LAA BvP | LAA vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored LAA -250
Pitchers
- Home Tommy Hanson is huge favorite. He seems like an obvious good play against an Astros tem that leads the league in Ks. The Astros have been tough lately and I am not sure I trust him in his first start back. He will be used by a heavy portion of the field but it is hard to ignore the line and today culd be a day in which simply not making a mistake wins you a GPP. Target
- Away Dallas Keuchel is not playable. He will probably get hit really hard today in LAA. If your goal is to lose points then take him. Avoid
Batters
- Home Ladies and Gentlemen start your LAA stacks.
- Away Jason Castro is on fire producing 31.25 fp over the last week. He is also batting .319 versus right-handed pitching. HOU could get to Hanson so they could offer value to your LU if he does not pitch well.
Chicago White Sox at Oakland
| Chicago White Sox | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Dylan Axelrod – (2-3), 4.13 ERA, 4.84 K/9, 1.267 WHIP | Bartolo Colon – (4-2), 4.31 ERA, 4.99 K/9, 1.109 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (38-126 H/AB) 0.302 BA-A, 14.29 K%, 0.897 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 5.16 ERA, 3 HRA, 4 K/9, 1.676 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 4.32 ERA, 2 HRA, 4 K/9, 1.04 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHW BvP | CHW vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored OAK -170
Pitchers
- Home Bartolo Colon has been good on the year and catches a struggling CHW team but I do not trust him. He has a low K/9 and even though he is a huge favorite today, there are probably better options to be had. CHW is batting .253 on the road, .240 versus right-handers, and .240 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Dylan Axelrod is my sneaky play in a multiple pitcher GPP today. He has a low K/9 ratio but he also carries a low price tag and could easily pitch well against an OAK team that struggles at home. OAK is batting .232 at home, .261 versus left-handers, and .274 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Josh Donaldson, Coco Crisp, and Yoenis Cespedes have all been hot producing over 25 fp in the past 7 days. Nate Freiman and Josh Donaldson are both batting well over .300 versus left-handers.
- Away Paul Konerko is 14-43 with 3 HRs versus Colon. Alex Rios is 9-22 versus him also. CHW has struggled all year but has talent. I think they hit him for 3-5 runs today.
Toronto at San Diego
| Toronto | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Chad Jenkins – (1-0), 3.6 ERA, 3.6 K/9, 1.6 WHIP | Jason Marquis – (6-2), 3.27 ERA, 5.24 K/9, 1.327 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (38-110 H/AB) 0.345 BA-A, 10 K%, 0.864 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 3.6 ERA, 1 HRA, 3.6 K/9, 1.6 WHIP | HOME | (4-1), 3.72 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.404 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TOR BvP | TOR vs R | SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored SDG -129
Pitchers
- Home Jason Marquis has been very solid at home. The Blue Jays bat very poorly on the road. He is useless in a single pitcher format but you might consider him in a multiple pitcher format.
- Away Hopefully I should not have to tell you not to play Chad Jenkins avoid
Batters
- Home SDG has been producing okay over the last week. Jenkins is not good and TOR pen is not much better. Consider everyone playable. Everth Cabrera has been hot.
- Away Edwin encarnacoon is 9-18 with 2 HRs versus Marquis. Jose Bautista and Emilo Bonaficos BvPs are positive also
