MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, August 11th: Part Two
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Boston vs. Kansas City
| 2:10 PM | Boston – ROAD | Kansas City – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.273 | 0.784 | 20.50% | 0.69 | 0.256 | 0.685 | 16.90% | 0.54 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.284 | 0.814 | 19.90% | 0.57 | 0.253 | 0.682 | 17.10% | 0.39 | |
| SP STATS | Lackey – RHP | Shields – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.19 | 3.23 | 8.10 | 11.21 | 1.26 | 3.08 | 7.47 | 11.01 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.45 | 5.40 | 5.50 | 6.55 | 1.54 | 1.38 | 4.15 | 12.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
BOS vs R  | BOS BvP | KCR vs R | KCR BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5
- Favored Team – Pick’em
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home James Shields is our high risk/reward player of the day. He has had his problems at home and draws a BOS team that is among the league’s best offenses. They K at a high rate however and shields pitches deep into games and gets his fair share of Ks. BOS is batting .265 on the road, .287 versus right-handers, and .286 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
- Away John Lackey has been only okay on the road with a 4.12 ERA. KAN has been much better as of late. They rank 8th in runs scored since the Allstar break. Plus, they K at a low rate so it is probably best to avoid Lackey today. KAN is batting .257 at home, .260 versus right-handers, and .307 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
Batter Grind Down
- Home Billy Butler is 6-12 with 1 HR versus Lackey. Alex Gordon is 4-10 versus him as well and Miguel Tejada is 14-47 with Eric Hosmer, Butler, and Gordon have been hot for KAN. 1 HR. RG Stack Rating 4
- Away Jacoby Ellsbury, David Ortiz, and Dustin Pedroia all have positive BvPs versus Shields. Ortiz, Ellsbury, and Stephen Drew have all been hot for BOS. RG Stack Rating 5
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Minnesota vs. Chicago White Sox
| 2:10 PM | Minnesota – ROAD | Chicago White Sox – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.241 | 0.691 | 21.70% | 0.53 | 0.246 | 0.674 | 19.70% | 0.51 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.251 | 0.693 | 21.20% | 0.41 | 0.250 | 0.683 | 19.70% | 0.40 | |
| SP STATS | Correia – RHP | Quintana – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.43 | 4.49 | 4.93 | 7.53 | 1.24 | 3.62 | 7.20 | 9.24 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 2.50 | 9.39 | 3.75 | 1.10 | 1.33 | 3.75 | 8.25 | 9.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| MIN vs L | MIN BvP | CHW vs R | CHW BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5
- Favored Team – CHW -140
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Jose Quintana is quietly having an outstanding year. Today, he draw MIN which would seem to be an easier matchup but he plays for CHW so he is never a lock to get the win. MIN is batting .229 on the road, .247 versus left-handers, and .229 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
- Away Who is worse, Kevin Correia or CHW offense? We are about to find out. Correia has been an accident waiting to happen on the road with a 6.87 ERA but he faces a team today that has struggled as well. I think you have to go one way or the other on this matchup because both sides offer so much value. CHW is batting .242 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
Batter Grind Down
- Home CHW as a team owns a .317 BAA versus Correia. Alexi Ramirez, Gordon Beckham, Adam Dunn and Paul Konerko have been hot for CHW. RG Stack Rating 4
- Away Josh Willingham is 5-6 with 2 HRs versus Quintana. Justin Morneau is 4-7 versus him as well. Carroll, Trevor Plouffe, and Dozier are all batting over .300 versus left-handers. RG Stack Rating 3
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Texas vs. Houston
| 2:10 PM | Texas – ROAD | Houston – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.261 | 0.737 | 17.10% | 0.59 | 0.235 | 0.670 | 25.50% | 0.52 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.262 | 0.731 | 17.00% | 0.46 | 0.249 | 0.693 | 26.90% | 0.41 | |
| SP STATS | Perez – LHP | Keuchel – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.42 | 3.93 | 5.52 | 8.13 | 1.52 | 4.64 | 6.91 | 6.83 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.58 | 6.10 | 6.24 | 5.05 | 1.53 | 4.80 | 6.60 | 7.33 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| TEX vs L | TEX BvP | HOU vs L | HOU BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9
- Favored Team – TEX -185
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Dallas Kuechel is not in a good spot today. He has a 5.75 ERA and .306 BAA at home this year and faces a TEX team that crushes left-handers. Plus, he pitches for HOU so he is unlikely to get the win. TEX is batting .255 on the road, .262 versus left-handers, and .270 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
- Away Martin Perez will be cheap and gets enough Ks to make him a serious factor in GPPS today versus a HOU team that has 174 more Ks on the year than hits. HOU is batting .233 at home, .233 versus right-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8
Batter Grind Down
- Home Robbie Grossman, Jason Castro and Jose Altuve have been hot for HOU. RG Stack Rating 2
- Away This is called a lay-up. Adrian Beltre, Alex Rios, Jeff Baker, Ian Kinsler and Elvis Andrus. RG Stack Rating 9
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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis
| 2:15 PM | Chicago Cubs – ROAD | St. Louis – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.242 | 0.705 | 19.70% | 0.54 | 0.274 | 0.747 | 17.80% | 0.61 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.245 | 0.708 | 18.80% | 0.44 | 0.284 | 0.765 | 17.60% | 0.49 | |
| SP STATS | Jackson – RHP | Kelly – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.35 | 4.65 | 7.45 | 8.95 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 6.64 | 3.58 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.99 | 1.84 | 5.70 | 12.10 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 5.21 | 11.55 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| CHC vs R | CHC BvP | STL vs R | STL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8
- Favored Team – STL -190
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home What do you do with Joe Kelly today? His splits all lean toward avoiding him but he is facing the cubs and is a huge favorite. He will be a factor on multiple pitcher sites but I think it is best to avoid him today because his low K/9 totals give him limited upside. CHC is batting .230 on the road, .245 versus right-handers, and .232 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5
- Away Edwin Jackson has had a down year. After that great July that he posted, he is a 12.60 pitcher so far here in August. Things do not look good for him today because he has struggled on the road and he is a reverse split pitcher who is facing a revers split hitting team. Plus, he plays for the Cubs. STL is batting .277 at home, .284 versus right-handers, and .264 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
Batter Grind Down
- Home Matt Holliday, Matt Carpenter, David Freese, Jon Jay, and Carlos Beltran have been productive for STL. The team owns a .288 BAA versus Jackson. RG Stack Rating 6
- Away Donnie Murphy and Welington Castillo have been hot for CHC. Junior Lake has been steadily producing as well. RG Stack Rating 3
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Baltimore vs. San Francisco
| 4:05 PM | Baltimore – ROAD | San Francisco – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.265 | 0.755 | 18.20% | 0.62 | 0.261 | 0.695 | 16.90% | 0.51 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.274 | 0.785 | 17.90% | 0.53 | 0.265 | 0.709 | 16.70% | 0.41 | |
| SP STATS | Norris – RHP | Cain – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.39 | 3.89 | 6.68 | 9.14 | 1.17 | 4.57 | 8.25 | 9.73 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.07 | 3.65 | 11.16 | 13.05 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 8.40 | 15.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| BAL vs R | BAL BvP | SFG vs R | SFG BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7
- Favored Team – Pick’em
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Call me crazy but Matt Cain numbers outside of his ERA have been good all year and he is finally pitching the way we said he should. He was a juggernaut at home a year ago. BAL is a tough draw but Las Vegas has faith in him enough to set this game’s OU to only 7. I think he holds BAL to less than 3 ER today. BAL is batting .271 on the road, .274 versus right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
- Away If I am not taking Cain today then I am taking Bud Norris. Norris has less upside but pitches in front of a much better offense and catches a very cold SFO team. Both pitchers should benefit from this park. I like Cain better because SF records a limited amount of KS but Norris is the safer play. SFO is batting .258 at home, .261 versus right-handers, and .212 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
Batter Grind Down
- Home Brandon Belt is super hot with 31.75 fp. SFO is too cold for me to consider anyone else right now until they start producing some runs. RG Stack Rating 3
- Away Adam Jones, Chris Davis, and J.J. Hardy have been productive for BAL over the last 7 days. Hardy is 4-14 with 1 HR versus Cain. RG Stack Rating 3
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