MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, August 18th: Part Three

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-18 20:40:08

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Seattle vs. Texas

3:05 PM	Seattle – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.717	21.50%	0.56		0.263	0.742	16.90%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.252	0.739	21.20%	0.49		0.263	0.745	16.90%	0.48
SP STATS	Ramirez – RHP					Darvish – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.51	7.06	8.66	8.35		1.01	2.64	12.16	15.79
LAST 14 DAYS	1.15	6.23	9.69	8.67		0.82	1.64	14.32	21.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SEA vs R		SEA BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TEX -280

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Do not expect the 15 Ks Yu Darvish got against HOU the last time he pitched but SEA has recorded a hefty number of Ks on the season as well. Darvish is a ridiculous favorite today. There is no need to avoid him if you can afford his price. SEA is batting .238 on the road, .251 versus right-handers, and .199 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

• Away I would not start Erasmo Ramirez versus HOU. You cannot even begin to consider him today versus TEX with a player like Yu Darvish on the hill. TEX is batting .270 at home, .260 versus right-handers, and .248 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Though it pains me to say this since I hate Dallas, Fire up your Rangers Stacks! Andre Beltre has been productive all year and is playable either way. *RG Stack Rating 10 *

• Away Kyle Seager is 6-16 with 4 XBH versus Darvish if you are playing the fade. RG Stack Rating

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Houston vs. LA Angels

3:35 PM	Houston – ROAD					LA Angels – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.237	0.675	25.60%	0.53		0.265	0.750	18.30%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.248	0.692	27.00%	0.41		0.241	0.704	19.20%	0.45
SP STATS	Oberholtzer – LHP					Vargas – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.04	2.57	5.79	7.67		1.40	3.86	6.14	9.55
LAST 14 DAYS	0.89	0.87	6.24	13.40		2.20	8.31	6.59	3.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	HOU vs L		HOU BvP			LAA vs L		LAA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – LAA -170

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I love seeing Jason Vargas playing HOU. Not because I am going to use him but because I think everyone else will and he has a high potential for failure. HOU is actually a decent team versus left-handers and Vargas has been horrible at time this year. Vegas has him as the heavy handed favorite but my money is on the underdog today. HOU is batting .239 on the road, .246 versus left-handers, and .243 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Brett Oberholtzer has only given up 2 ER in his first 3 starts on the year. This is no small feat since those starts came against TEX, BOS, and BAL. He plays for HOU so a win is unlikely most days but I already told you I expect this to be that day that HOU actually puts up some runs so feel free to take him as a value play. LAA is batting .277 at home, .244 versus left-handers, and .261 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home Mike Trout is crushing left-handed pitching this year and is super hot with 34.25 fp over the last week. Chris Nelson and Mark Trumbo have been productive as well. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Jose Altuve is the obvious choice today but I think a few HOU players could offer value. Good luck finding them. RG Stack Rating 4

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Cleveland vs. Oakland

4:07 PM	Cleveland – ROAD					Oakland – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.256	0.736	21.30%	0.64		0.244	0.717	19.40%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.270	0.768	19.70%	0.51		0.239	0.717	20.30%	0.47
SP STATS	Kazmir – LHP					Milone – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.28	4.18	8.13	9.14		1.29	4.39	6.76	9.28
LAST 14 DAYS	1.22	5.00	10.00	9.00		2.81	14.73	5.63	-0.80
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CLE vs L		CLE BvP			OAK vs L		OAK BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – OAK -150

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tommy Milone has been useful at home with a 3.67 ERA and .256 BAA. He draws a CLE team that has struggled lately but also seems due to me. The hit left-handers for a high average and Milone has struggled mightily in August with a 14.73 ERA. CLE is batting .255 on the road, .265 versus left-handers, and .219 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Nothing sends up a red flag faster to me than a pitcher saying he is experiencing dead arm. Scott Kazmir is an easy name to avoid. He has been up and down all year, mainly down. Normally, I would like him in this park but there is too much risk involved in the play today. OAK is batting .236 at home, .239 versus left-handers, and .230 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Yoenis Cespedes has been hot for OAK and he draws the righty/lefty splits in his favor. Coco Crisp has a very nice BvP line versus Kazmir if he plays. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Carlos Santana, Michael Bourn, Drew Stubbs, Ryan Raburn, Jason Kipnis, and Nick Swisher all hit left-handers for a high average. Swisher has been the only hot Indian, beside Pocahontas. RG Stack Rating 6

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NY Mets vs. San Diego

4:10 PM	NY Mets – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.237	0.681	22.20%	0.54		0.245	0.690	20.60%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.242	0.687	22.90%	0.41		0.240	0.669	20.70%	0.38
SP STATS	Harvey – RHP					Stults – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.89	2.23	9.86	14.22		1.26	3.68	5.59	8.84
LAST 14 DAYS	0.94	3.05	7.57	11.40		1.66	3.93	5.47	7.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYM vs L		NYM BvP			SDP vs R		SDP BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6

• Favored Team – NYM -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I am not sure if Vegas has a lot of faith in Eric Stults or very little in NYM. Either way, the OU of this game is so low that Stults is worth a look even against Matt Harvey. Stults sports a very nice 2.37 ERA and .211 BAA at home and his K/9 makes a jump to playability there also. If you are not taking Harvey then I think you have to take Stults in a Multiple pitcher format. NYM is batting .249 on the road, .246 versus left-handers, and .264 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away When I see a matchup like Matt Harvey in this pitcher’s park facing a weak hitting offense I think of that scene in Bruce Almighty when he granted everyone’s prayer to win the lottery and it came out to be only 16 bucks. Matt Harvey is a great play today if you can afford him and are not worried about overlay. SDG is batting .240 at home, .242 versus right-handers, and .251 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jedd Gyorko and Will Venable have been hot for SDG if you are playing the fade. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away Stults is allowing a .298 BAA to right-handed batters. Marlon Byrd has been hot for NYM with 24 fp over the last 7 days. Josh Satin is batting for a high average versus left-handed pitching and should get the start today. RG Stack Rating 2

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NY Yankees vs. Boston

8:00 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.240	0.669	19.60%	0.52		0.273	0.785	20.30%	0.69
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.240	0.675	19.80%	0.39		0.249	0.712	21.10%	0.44
SP STATS	Sabathia – LHP					Dempster – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.33	4.66	7.59	10.40		1.45	4.50	8.29	9.29
LAST 14 DAYS	1.47	4.74	5.68	8.33		1.42	6.16	8.05	7.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			BOS vs L		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5

• Favored Team – BOS -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Ryan Dempster has not adjusted well to the AL. He is an average pitcher at best now and faces a very hot NYY team. NYY is batting .254 at home, .243 versus right-handers, and .317 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away This NYY team has worked my over the last couple of days. I keep jumping on a BOS stack and then NYY pitcher rise to the occasionand shut my players down so I am jumping ship and getting on board the CC Sabathia gravy train. CC is having a bad year but his last couple of starts have been promising. He is just a year removed from being one of the best pitchers in baseball at home and he is left-handed which should help him versus BOS. BOS is batting .263 on the road, .251 versus left-handers, and .275 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home If you think I am wrong about CC then consider a BOS right-handed stack. Dustin Pedroia has always hit CC well and is playable either way.RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Look for the hot play to continue. Alfonso Soriano is out of the world hot with 66.75 fp over the last 7 days. Granderson, Cano and Arod have been hot as well. RG Stack Rating 6

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