MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, July 21st

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-29 22:22:28

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

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Tampa Bay vs. Toronto

1:07 PM	Tampa Bay – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.261	0.749	18.20%	0.64		0.252	0.732	18.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.729	18.10%	0.48		0.252	0.744	19.30%	0.50
SP STATS	Archer – RHP					Dickey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.17	2.96	7.03	10.02		1.30	4.69	6.46	9.26
LAST 14 DAYS	0.62	0.86	6.43	14.00		1.25	4.50	6.30	9.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TBR vs R		TBR BvP			TOR vs R		TOR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – TOR -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I get that R.A. Dickey is beyond rich now but I often wonder why players leave situation that they were super successful on for only a few dollars more. Dickey has been horrible in that dome with a 5.83 ERA and TAM is streaking. TAM is batting .254 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .322 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away Chris Archer has been a gas can on the road. I am not sold on his low K/9 total anyway. TOR is not the place you want to bring a lackluster road ERA into. The are batting .258 at home, .252 versus right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. *RG Start-Ability *2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Adam Lind s the most obvious play but TOR seems primed for5-6 runs today so consider everyone playable RG Stack Rating 5

• Away The way Dickey has been throwing a home consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 5

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Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati

1:10 PM	Pittsburgh – ROAD					Cincinnati – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.697	22.10%	0.54		0.250	0.722	19.90%	0.58
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.243	0.697	21.70%	0.41		0.249	0.718	19.60%	0.44
SP STATS	Locke – LHP					Bailey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.13	2.15	6.03	10.44		1.16	3.82	8.91	11.12
LAST 14 DAYS	1.31	2.84	4.43	9.10		1.24	3.48	8.47	11.73
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PIT vs R		PIT BvP			CIN vs L		CIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – CIN -144

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Since throwing his no-hitter, Homer Bailey has given up 10 hits in his last 2 starts. He is way better at home but I am worried about the Phillip Humber effect and until he throws another good start I am taking a pass on him. PIT is batting .239 on the road, .243 versus right-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Jeff Locke has not gotten the credit he deserves on the year. He has been fantastic and a start in CIN is not ideal but he has been great on the road with a 1.76 ERA. CIN is batting .258 at home, .250 versus left-handers, and .273 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home If you are going to roll with CIN bats then make it the right-handed ones. Locke has been shutdown good . RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Garrett Jones is 11 for 36 versus Bailey. Andrew McCuthcen is 11-31 versus him as well. Russell Martin is 4-11 versus him also. RG Stack Rating 4

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Philadelphia vs. NY Mets

1:10 PM	Philadelphia – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.257	0.714	19.60%	0.54		0.235	0.680	22.30%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.262	0.716	19.10%	0.42		0.237	0.681	22.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Lee – LHP					Harvey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.00	2.86	8.14	13.64		0.92	2.35	10.18	14.26
LAST 14 DAYS	1.30	5.40	6.87	9.55		1.46	5.54	10.38	10.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PHI vs R		PHI BvP			NYM vs L		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6.5

• Favored Team – NYM -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Matt Harvey versus the PHI is the most obvious play of the morning. He has huge K/9 potential and the PHI are very weak offensively . The PHI are batting .265 on the road, .264 versus right-handers, and .261 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

• Away I actually like Cliff Lee better than Matt Harvey this Morning. Why? Lee has a 2.09 road ERA and the Mets are very poor offensively. NYM is batting .233 at home, .239 versus left-handers, and .277 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home If you are playing the fade the Duda, Murphy, and John Buck all have positive BvPs versus lee. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away If you are playing the fade then Jimmy Rollins is 3-11 with 1 HR versus Harvey. RG Stack Rating 1

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LA Dodgers vs. Washington

1:35 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					Washington – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.261	0.712	18.10%	0.54		0.241	0.686	21.00%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.260	0.709	18.10%	0.42		0.217	0.631	20.70%	0.36
SP STATS	Kershaw – LHP					Zimmermann – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.91	1.98	8.62	14.21		0.97	2.58	6.47	12.48
LAST 14 DAYS	0.63	1.50	7.88	16.33		1.34	4.58	7.85	9.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs R		LAD BvP			WSN vs L		WSN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – LAD -113

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I know his opponent is one of the best pitchers in baseball but you would have to be a fool to bet against Jordan Zimmermann at home. He does not get the kind of Ks you want in a single pitcher format but he is a must play on a multiple pitcher format today versus this very weak LAD team. LAD is batting .266 on the road, .261 versus right-handers, and .212 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

• Away With a 1.98 ERA, Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball. He is an auto-play every time he takes the hill. WAS has been better lately but I would recommend him versus the 1929 NYY team. WAS is batting .266 at home, .216 versus left-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home Forget playing the fade on this one. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away Hanley Ramirez is 8-18 versus Zimmermann. I do not think there will be ton of runs today however. RG Stack Rating 1

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Atlanta vs. Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM	Atlanta – ROAD					Chicago White Sox – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.737	22.80%	0.60		0.249	0.686	20.30%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.238	0.704	22.60%	0.46		0.230	0.636	19.80%	0.35
SP STATS	Minor – LHP					Quintana – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.08	3.02	8.48	12.21		1.18	3.71	7.11	9.11
LAST 14 DAYS	1.26	3.26	9.42	12.03		0.81	2.57	9.86	14.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ATL vs L		ATL BvP			CHW vs L		CHW BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – ATL -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Jose Quintana numbers should get a boost versus ATL but this is probably the worst play if the day. His chances of getting hammered are much high than his chances of throwing a gem. ATL is batting .245 on the road, .239 versus left-handers, and .283 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Mike Minor draws the very weak CHW team and there is no reason not to use him today. CHW is batting .242 at home, .234 versus left-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Gordan Beckham, Alex Rios and Dayan Viciedo are the only CHW I would consider. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away I live the ATL right-handed bats in this one. One if them will go yard today RG Stack Rating 4

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