MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, August 15th Part 2

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-16 04:33:26

night games coming soon

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Kansas City vs. Detroit

7:05 PM	Kansas City – ROAD					Detroit – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.692	16.60%	0.55		0.279	0.783	17.50%	0.65
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.260	0.698	16.70%	0.41		0.282	0.781	16.80%	0.52
SP STATS	Guthrie – RHP					Sanchez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.37	4.10	5.05	9.05		1.13	2.58	9.99	13.41
LAST 14 DAYS	1.14	3.00	7.29	13.00		0.78	2.45	12.04	16.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	KCR vs R		KCR BvP			DET vs R		DET BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – DET -185

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Anibal Sanchez has been a monster all year at home with a 2.08 ERA. He draws a KAN team that has been better as of late but has disappeared often throughout the year. The one thing you can say about KAN is that they have recorded the fewest Ks on the year so Sanchez’s upside will take a hit today but he is a lock to get the win against Guthrie. KAN is batting .262 on the road, .259 versus right-handers, and .286 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

• Away With all the grief we have put on him, it is easy to overlook the fact that Jeremy Guthrie is having a nice MLB season. He has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP and a 12-8 record. He is still useless most days for daily fantasy and you would have to really like to play against the grain to consider him today against this deadly DET team. DET is batting .298 at home, .284 versus right-handers, and .298 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

Batter Grind Down

• Home DET owns a .302 BAA versus Guthrie. Miguel Cabrera ‘s 11-32 with 3 HRs is the most notable. He is super hot with 46.25 fp over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 9

• Away Billy Butler, Alex Gordon, and Justin Maxwell have been hot for KAN. Left-handers have had decent success on the season versus Sanchez if you want to play the fade. RG Stack Rating 2

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Boston vs. Toronto

7:07 PM	Boston – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.273	0.785	20.30%	0.69		0.254	0.741	18.20%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.712	21.10%	0.44		0.255	0.755	18.20%	0.51
SP STATS	Peavy – RHP					Buehrle – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.17	4.50	8.12	11.00		1.33	4.43	6.12	8.75
LAST 14 DAYS	1.42	6.00	5.25	7.50		1.62	6.35	7.30	8.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BOS vs L		BOS BvP			TOR vs R		TOR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – BOS -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I am started to realize that my disdain for Mark Buehrle might be more of a personal issue. He has been solid at home for TOR this year and the left-handers gets a BOS team that is loaded with left-handed bats. BOS is a very stout team, though, and I am going to stay the course by saying to avoid Mark and his low k/9 today. BOS is batting .262 on the road, .250 versus left-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away I was one of those people that thought that Jake Peavy become energized after moving to a team in the penenant race. It has not happen so far. He got pummelled by KAN his last time out. He has a Dismal 6.63 ERA on the road and has given up 17 HR in 15 starts. I do not need to tell you that Rodgers Stadium produces quite a few HRs. TOR is batting .259 at home, .253 versus right-handers and .226 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Whenever a pitcher is struggling on the road then everyone is worth a look. Jose Bautista and Brett Lawrie are your best bets. Adam Lind is 3-9 with 1 HR versus Peavy. RG Stack Rating 7

• Away Dustin Pedroia, Mike Napoli, Jonny Gomes, and Shane Victorino are your best bets. Will Middlebrooks could be a sneaky good value play. He is back in the bigs and hit left-handlers very well a year ago. David Ortiz also hits left-handers for a high average. RG Stack Rating 6

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Seattle vs. Tampa Bay

7:10 PM	Seattle – ROAD					Tampa Bay – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.717	21.50%	0.56		0.263	0.749	18.60%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.252	0.739	21.20%	0.49		0.286	0.778	18.90%	0.51
SP STATS	Saunders – LHP					Cobb – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.52	4.69	5.34	7.92		1.17	3.01	8.22	11.94
LAST 14 DAYS	1.88	5.23	5.35	7.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SEA vs R		SEA BvP			TBR vs L		TBR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TAM -200

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Alex Cobb is making his first start since landing on the DL 2 months ago. He will most likely be on a pitch count so that limits his upside greatly. He is a huge favorite so Vegas expects him to get the win. With limited options going today, he is probably worth a look on a multiple pitcher site even though his upside will be capped to 6 IP. SEA is batting .248 on ther road, .252 versus right-handers, and 221 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Joe Saunders has been awful on the road and he runs into a TAM team tha is very good at home. What is worse is that he is allowing right-handlers a .323 BAA and TAM kills left-handed pitching. TAM is batting. RG Start-Ability 2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Fire up your TAM stacks! This one could get ugly quick. TAM owns a .303 BAA versus Saunders. James Loney is 8-27 with 2 HRs. RG Stack Rating 10

• Away You know how it works with pitchers coming back from injuries. Cobb could struggle and be done after 3 IP so a SEA load is playable. The left-handed batsd of Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, and Dustin Ackley have been productive for SEA. Ackley has 1 HR in 8 AB versus Cobb. RG Stack Rating 5

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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota

8:10 PM	Chicago White Sox – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.248	0.678	19.60%	0.51		0.241	0.695	22.00%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.685	19.50%	0.40		0.238	0.694	21.80%	0.43
SP STATS	Rienzo – RHP					Pelfrey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.49	2.95	6.96	8.70		1.58	5.32	5.41	5.96
LAST 14 DAYS	1.71	4.76	6.49	6.55		1.90	5.40	5.40	5.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHW vs R		CHW BvP			MIN vs R		MIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – MIN -135

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home This is a matchup of who is worse, Mike Pelfrey or the CHW offense. My money is on CHW because they have been swinging the bat better lately and Pelfrey has been horrible at home with a 5.43 ERA and .322 BAA. Plus, he is allowing right-handers a .337 BAA and CHW’s best hitters are right-handers. CHW is batting .253 on the road, .252 versus right-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away Andre Rienzo first 3 starts have been promising but not good for the purpose of daily fantasy. He just gave up 4 ER off of 2 HRs to MIN the last time he pitched. He will be cheap again today and cheap players have upside. He is throwing a 100 pitches a game if you want to gamble. MIN is batting .253 at home, .243 versus right-handers, and .238 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Justin Morneau and Oswaldo Arcia took Rienzo deep last time out. Those two players plus Joe Mauer and Brian Dozier have been hot for MIN. RG Stack Rating 7

• Away CHW has been producing top from bottom. Alexi Ramirez has been hot producing 25.5 fp over the last 7 days. CHW owns a .343 BAA versus Pelfrey. Adam Dunn has also been hot. He is 8-33 with 2 HRs versus Pelfrey as well. RG Stack Rating 7

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Cincinnati vs. Milwaukee

8:10 PM	Cincinnati – ROAD					Milwaukee – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.723	20.10%	0.58		0.252	0.707	19.60%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.727	20.20%	0.48		0.261	0.719	21.20%	0.43
SP STATS	Cingrani – LHP					Lohse – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.10	2.87	10.53	9.54		1.14	3.26	5.98	9.25
LAST 14 DAYS	1.30	2.70	10.80	11.50		1.25	3.75	6.75	10.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CIN vs R		CIN BvP			MIL vs L		MIL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – CIN -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Kyle Lohse keeps chugging along on the season. All of his numbers are above average but not great so he is often overlooked in daily fantasy. He is a great spot to produce today because he is holding left-handers to a .234 BAA on the year and has held this CIN team to a .243 BAA against him. His lower K/9 means that his upside is capped bt CIN has been struggling a bit as of late and is not that great of a road team. CIN is batting .244 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .202 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away Tony Cingrani upside is not capped. All of his numbers are elite and his splits do not take a huge dip on the road. He catches a MIL team that has all but given up on the year. MIL is batting .257 at home, .263 versus left-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Call me crazy but MIL hits left-handers well so I do not think it is a bad spot to take Carlos Gomez, Jonatahn Lucroy, or Aramis Ramirez if you want to play the fade. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Jay Bruce and Joey Votto are both batting over .300 versus Lohse. Brandon Phillips has been hot with 21.25 fp over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 2

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NY Mets vs. San Diego

10:10 PM	NY Mets – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.237	0.681	22.20%	0.54		0.245	0.690	20.60%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.235	0.678	21.90%	0.41		0.240	0.669	20.70%	0.38
SP STATS	Wheeler – RHP					Ross – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.39	3.63	7.11	9.90		1.21	2.75	7.75	4.77
LAST 14 DAYS	1.62	3.97	7.30	9.55		1.08	2.08	10.38	14.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYM vs R		NYM BvP			SDP vs R		SDP BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SDG -137

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tyson Ross has put together some strong outings since moving to the rotation and they were against some pretty good opponents. He draws a NYM team that has been struggling and will be without their best hitter. I think he is a must play in a multiple pitcher format given his price. NYM is batting .249 on the road, .236 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Zack Wheeler actually has been much better on the road. His home ERA is a dismal 6.20 but his road ERA is 2.21. He should get helped today from this park and SDG struggles to score runs at home. He has upside. SDG is batting .237 at home, .240 versus right-handers, and .218 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home Will Venebal and Jedd Gyroko have been hot for SDG. Yonder Alonso is batting .298 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Marlon Byrd and Ike Davis have been productive for NYM. Daniel Murphy is hitting right-handers for a decent average. RG Stack Rating 1

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