MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, August 22nd Part 2

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-22 19:58:44

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Colorado vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	Colorado – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.262	0.734	19.80%	0.60		0.253	0.704	19.90%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.267	0.754	19.90%	0.49		0.254	0.698	19.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Bettis – RHP					Kendrick – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.81	5.30	3.96	3.80		1.36	4.36	5.25	8.37
LAST 14 DAYS	1.67	3.95	4.77	4.73		1.62	4.96	4.47	6.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	COL vs R		COL BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – PHI -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Kyle Kendrick has been awful since the All-Star Break with a 7.20 ERA and a .356 BAA. Vegas give him the slight edge in game with a high OU versus the young right-hander so he is worth a look since there is only 4 games going tonight. He was pitching fantastic to start the year so maybe there is some magic left in the tank versus a COL team that is not that dangerous on the road. COL is batting .249 on the road, .271 versus right-handers, and .268 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Chad Bettis has thrown around 80 pitches in each of his starts. It is obvious that the young pitcher is being monitored. He has not been overly productive with his time so he is not worth a look today even against a PHI team that has looked horrible as of late. PHI is batting .248 at home, .223 versus right-handers, and .190 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home PHI is slumping but they can still pose a threat at home. Today, might be a good day to use some of their bats for a value. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Charilie Blackmon, Wilin Rosario and Troy Tulowitzki have been hot for COL. Todd Helton is 5-15 with 1 HR versus Kendrick. RG Stack Rating 4

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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City

8:10 PM	Chicago White Sox – ROAD					Kansas City – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.248	0.678	19.60%	0.51		0.259	0.692	16.60%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.689	19.20%	0.40		0.258	0.684	16.50%	0.39
SP STATS	Quintana – LHP					Shields – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.25	3.66	7.38	9.60		1.27	3.19	7.08	10.82
LAST 14 DAYS	1.38	3.93	8.95	12.03		1.35	4.05	4.05	9.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHW vs R		CHW BvP			KCR vs L		KCR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – KAN -170

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home James Shields has run into some problems this year at home but he has absolutely owned CHW this season with a 1.73 ERA in 4 games. That was when they were a much better team. KAN has been producing as of late so they should score him some runs today. There is no reason to shy off of him. CHW is batting .254 on the road, .253 versus right-handers, and .286 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Jose Quintana has pitched well for CHW. The problem with him today is that he rarely goes deep into games and KAN is a very patient team. KAN has recorded the fewest Ks on the year. They have 35 fewer Ks than the next closest team. Even if he pitches well, he will be gone by the 6th and probably have only 2 Ks under his name. KAN is batting .255 at home, .257 versus left-handers, and .230 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Quintana is a reverse split pitcher. Left-handers are batting .278 versus him. Eric Hosmer is a left-hander who hits other left-handers well and he has been KAN hottest player 22.75 fp over the last 7 days. David Lough, Aclides Escobar, Mike Moustakas, and Salvador Perez have positive BvPs versus Quintana. Billy Butler is historically better at home versus left-handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away Alexi Ramirez is 14-32 with 2 HR versus Shields. Gordon Beckham is 7-22 versus him as well. De Aza and Dunn have been productive over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 2

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Atlanta vs. St. Louis

8:15 PM	Atlanta – ROAD					St. Louis – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.742	22.20%	0.61		0.273	0.741	18.00%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.745	22.70%	0.50		0.235	0.662	18.70%	0.39
SP STATS	Maholm – LHP					Kelly – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.40	4.41	6.25	8.91		1.37	3.01	6.41	4.21
LAST 14 DAYS						1.42	2.70	5.56	9.73
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ATL vs R		ATL BvP			STL vs L		STL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – STL -138

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Joe Kelly faces a very good ATL offense tonight but it is also an offense that he has held scoreless in 6.1 IP before and one that Ks at the 2nd highest rate in the MLB. That makes Kelly your high risk/reward player of the night. I do not like the fact that he cannot seem to make it past 6 IP but there are not many options tonight so he might be worth the gamble for the reduced price. ATL is batting .243 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .231 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Paul Maholm has not been the same pitcher we saw a year ago. He seems to have gotten worse as the season has moved on. He has a 21.00 ERA and .438 BAA since the All-Star Break. His road ERA is 6.03 and STL as a team owns a .296 BAA versus him. STL is batting .277 at home, .240 versus right-handers, and .238 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Don’t worry about the mules. Just load the wagon!! Matt Holliday ‘s 6-31 with 3 HR line seems enticing. Carlos Beltran, Matt Carpenter, Allen Craig and Yadier Molina are all battinng over .300 versus Maholm. Carpenter, Molina, Beltran, and Jon Jay have been hot for STL. RG Stack Rating 10

• Away ATL as a team owns a .346 BAA versus Kelly. Justin Upton 3-6 is the best set of BvPs. Freddie Freeman has been the hottest Brave. Jordan Schafer is a nice value play tonight with the righty/lefty matchup in his favor. RG Stack Rating 5

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Pittsburgh vs. San Francisco

10:15 PM	Pittsburgh – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.702	22.30%	0.55		0.259	0.690	17.20%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.243	0.700	21.90%	0.42		0.254	0.670	17.40%	0.36
SP STATS	Locke – LHP					Cain – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.33	2.90	6.66	9.72		1.12	4.35	8.06	9.92
LAST 14 DAYS	2.29	7.71	5.79	3.67		0.76	3.00	6.86	11.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PIT vs R		PIT BvP			SFG vs L		SFG BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SFO -121

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I hate to tell you we told you so, avtually I love to tell you we told you so! Matt Cain has been on a tear for the last couple of months. He has a 2.43 ERA and .196 BAA since the ALL-Star Break. Even though his ERA is high, he has maintained an elite WHIP. Things are finally starting to level out for him. He has been great at home and I think he is a safe bet tonight. PIT is batting .239 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, and .230 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Jeff Locke has actually been better on the road than he has been at home. He has been much better with a 1.81 ERA and .182 BAA. The risky thing about him for tonight is that he is left-handed and SFO best hitters hit left-handers very well. Plus, I think the low of averages are finally catching up to him. His 1.32 WHIP is more in line with a player who has a mid 3 ERA than a below 3 ERA. SFO is batting .255 at home, .252 versus left-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home Marco Scutaro, Andres Torres, Buster Posey, and Hunter Pence all have high batting averages versus left-handers on the season. Pablo Sandoval has hit left-handers very well in the past. LOcke has actually had more trouble with left-handers than right-handers giving up a .272 BAA so consider a hot Brandon Belt if he plays. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Russell Martin and Garrett Jones are each batting .294 versus Cain. Pedro Alvarez and Andrew McCutchen have been hot over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 2

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