MLB DFS First Look on DraftKings and FanDuel: Thursday, July 16th

Soto of the Mets

The MLB DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, pitcher & hitter breakdowns, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our MLB DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

MLBFLpremiumad

MLB Odds & Schedule

Away Team Pitcher Name Handed Line A-Total Home Team Pitcher Name Handed Line H-Total G-Total Time (ET)
New York Mets Christian Scott RHP 110 4.40 Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola RHP -130 5.10 9.5 7:10 PM

🔒 Take this data further with Million Dollar Musings — CheeseIsGood turns statistics into a daily game plan: favorite stacks, pivots, and contrarian angles for tonight’s slate. Unlock with MLB Premium →


Playbook

Pitcher Breakdown

Note: Stats are from the 2026 season.
Pitcher — Name Team Handed Opponent Line OTOT DK FD Starts xwOBA xERA SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% HC% Time (ET)
Aaron Nola PHI RHP vs NYM -130 4.40 $15,900 17 0.327 4.48 4.01 6.04 23% 8% 11% 40% 34% 7:10 PM
Christian Scott NYM RHP at PHI 110 5.10 $16,500 11 0.335 4.73 4.00 3.49 28% 12% 12% 28% 38% 7:10 PM

NOTE: Used our new and improved PlateIQ tool yet? Get all of the MLB stats you need for your DFS lineups and sports betting card in one centralized location that is easy to digest. Check out the video below and let player props guru, kmurray03, walk you through the premier tool in the industry. Get access to PlateIQ and much more with an MLB Premium subscription!

Offense Breakdown

Note: Stats are from the 2026 season.
Offense Total TvsLHP TvsRHP Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed PvsLHB PvsRHB Time (ET)
New York Mets 4.40 0.321 0.302 at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.297 7:10 PM
Philadelphia Phillies 5.10 0.302 0.326 vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.386 7:10 PM

Hitter Breakdown

Note: Stats are from the 2026 season. They are broken down by the handedness of the opposing pitcher (vs. LHP / RHP).
Batter — Name Team Handed Order Total wOBA ISO xOBP xwOBA xISO ExitV HC% BAR% BB% K% DK Pos FD Pos Matchup Opposing Pitcher HAND xwOBAvL xISOvL K%vL xwOBAvR xISOvR K%vR Time (ET)
A.J. Ewing NYM LH 1 4.40 0.347 0.117 0.379 0.368 0.165 91.1 43% 5% 12% 23% $10,200 OF $12,000 OF at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Juan Soto NYM LH 2 4.40 0.425 0.304 0.442 0.456 0.345 93.7 54% 12% 18% 13% $14,700 OF $19,200 OF at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Bo Bichette NYM RH 3 4.40 0.290 0.111 0.318 0.317 0.131 92.3 47% 5% 6% 19% $12,600 3B $11,400 SS/3B at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Francisco Lindor NYM SH 4 4.40 0.309 0.187 0.331 0.348 0.215 92.3 53% 7% 8% 21% $11,400 SS $13,800 SS at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Carson Benge NYM LH 5 4.40 0.306 0.141 0.335 0.340 0.164 92.1 44% 5% 6% 21% $11,100 OF $13,500 OF at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Jorge Polanco NYM SH 6 4.40 0.297 0.150 0.294 0.270 0.082 91.7 33% 0% 9% 16% $6,300 2B/3B $6,900 1B/2B at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Jared Young NYM LH 7 4.40 0.315 0.208 0.301 0.328 0.205 92.5 49% 9% 8% 21% $7,500 1B $6,000 1B/OF at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Brett Baty NYM LH 8 4.40 0.284 0.094 0.316 0.308 0.143 91.7 40% 5% 10% 25% $8,100 2B/3B $6,300 1B/2B/3B/OF at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Francisco Alvarez NYM RH 9 4.40 0.327 0.194 0.308 0.334 0.227 92.8 46% 10% 8% 26% $9,600 C $8,400 C at PHI Aaron Nola RHP 0.350 0.187 22% 0.297 0.184 25% 7:10 PM
Trea Turner PHI RH 1 5.10 0.303 0.150 0.277 0.282 0.120 92.3 42% 4% 4% 25% $12,900 SS $12,900 SS vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Kyle Schwarber PHI LH 2 5.10 0.392 0.320 0.344 0.361 0.278 94.2 58% 10% 15% 37% $14,400 OF $19,500 OF vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Bryce Harper PHI LH 3 5.10 0.436 0.340 0.418 0.439 0.302 92.8 50% 10% 15% 18% $13,500 1B $17,100 1B vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Brandon Marsh PHI LH 4 5.10 0.388 0.215 0.338 0.357 0.195 91.7 47% 7% 5% 23% $12,000 OF $15,000 OF vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Alec Bohm PHI RH 5 5.10 0.296 0.137 0.331 0.325 0.132 92.1 45% 3% 7% 14% $9,000 3B $10,200 3B vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Bryson Stott PHI LH 6 5.10 0.294 0.155 0.310 0.316 0.154 92.1 44% 6% 7% 18% $10,500 2B $11,100 2B/SS vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Gabriel Rincones PHI LH 7 5.10 0.244 0.159 0.180 0.192 0.112 92.1 37% 4% 4% 30% $6,600 OF $5,700 OF vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
J.T. Realmuto PHI RH 8 5.10 0.296 0.167 0.321 0.318 0.152 92.1 39% 5% 7% 23% $9,900 C $9,600 C vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM
Justin Crawford PHI LH 9 5.10 0.300 0.104 0.297 0.276 0.070 91.0 37% 1% 6% 21% $8,400 OF $7,800 OF vs. NYM Christian Scott RHP 0.306 0.176 30% 0.386 0.138 25% 7:10 PM

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious