Million Dollar Musings: Thursday, June 22
CheeseIsGood, a two-time winner of a $1,000,000 first-place prize in DFS, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cheese has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks.
Happy Thursday! It’s a slow day in MLB, with most of the games coming early in the day, where we’ve got a 5-game main slate beginning at 1:05pm ET. It’s a slate where we do find a top tier of MLB DFS picks on both the pitching and hitting sides, but it gets very spread out in a hurry after those top few plays.
We’ll include some expert tags in LineupHQ for the later three-game slate as well, but we begin with a look at these lunchtime games. Lunch!
Thursday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings
Three Aces
Joe Ryan vs. Red Sox – 27.1% K, 4.5% BB, 3.30 ERA, 3.50 SIERA
Blake Snell at Giants – 29.2% K, 12.6% BB, 3.48 ERA, 4.12 SIERA
Aaron Nola vs. Braves – 24.4% K, 6.3% BB, 4.66 ERA, 3.90 SIERA
Three Or So In The Mid-Tier
Bryce Elder at Phillies – 20.7% K, 6.6% BB, 2.60 ERA, 3.89 SIERA
Logan Allen vs. A’s – 22% K, 7.9% BB, 3.95 ERA, 4.31 SIERA
JP Sears at Guardians – 23.2% K, 5.1% BB, 4.24 ERA, 4.33 SIERA
Alex Wood, Tommy Henry
Cheap Nonsense
Brandon Walter at Twins – 1st career start (22.4% K, 9.1% BB at Triple-A)
NOLA, SNELL, RYAN
We have an interesting top three with Ryan, Nola, and Snell. All three have shown slate-winning upside multiple times this season, with all three also going through various stretches of ups and downs. While Ryan has the best overall skill set on the season, both Snell and Nola have longer track records and have ramped up their strikeouts recently.
This is the point in the broadcast where I stop and reiterate something I have said a hundred times – Blake Snell is an unpredictable wild card with slate-winning upside and slate-losing downside every time he takes the mound. Matchup barely matters for him; it’s Snell vs. Snell. If the good Snell shows up, like it has recently, then he wins. If the bad Snell shows up like he did most of April and May, he loses. With most pitchers, I can make some sort of educated guess based on the matchup, but with Snell, I just can’t. So what I want to do is look at the pitchers around him and then circle back.
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