Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Tuesday 5/27
Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.
Happy Tuesday! We have a big 11-game slate that appears to have quite a bit of everything in all different price ranges. At first glance, my thought here is that the salaries look just right, which would mean we can build lineups in any way, from spend-up pitchers and value bats to cheap pitching with expensive bats in good matchups. The weather looks to be clear for the main slate, so we can just dive in and then wait to see those MLB starting lineups filter in throughout the day.
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Tuesday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings
I’m going to use $8,000 on DK as the cut-off for the top tier, which leaves us with a solid group of 9 pitchers who all look appropriately priced.
TOP TIER PITCHING
- Hunter Brown vs. A’s – 30.6% K, 6.9% BB, 2.04 ERA, 2.89 SIERA
- Carlos Rodon at Angels – 31% K, 10.1% BB, 2.88 ERA, 3.26 SIERA
- Nathan Eovaldi vs. Blue Jays – 27.6% K, 3.5% BB, 1.60 ERA, 2.67 SIERA
- Joe Ryan at Rays – 30.6% K, 3.7% BB, 2.68 ERA, 2.77 SIERA
- Corbin Burnes vs. Pirates – 23.6% K, 10.6% BB, 2.73 ERA, 4.03 SIERA
- Tylor Megill vs. White Sox – 31% K, 10.8% BB, 3.56 ERA, 3.34 SIERA
- Stephen Kolek vs. Marlins – 20.2% K, 7.7% BB, 2.84 ERA, 3.82 SIERA
- Cade Horton vs. Rockies – 14 career IP
- Max Meyer at Padres – 26.4% K, 7.1% BB, 4.15 ERA, 3.20 SIERA
This slate is tough with the way that matchups line up. The least talented pitchers of this top tier based on current season K-BB% and SIERA are Corbin Burnes and Stephen Kolek, but they have close to ideal matchups against the Pirates and Marlins. We also add Cade Horton and his unknown skill set into the ideal matchup category. Meanwhile, some of the best pitchers on this slate are priced way up, with Hunter Brown reaching the rare $11,000 mark. Between the top four of Brown, Rodon, Eovaldi, and Ryan, it certainly seems likely that someone posts a have-to-have-it score, but also likely that at least a couple of them end up being fine but not really worth the salary on a big slate.
All of these guys are very playable in any format, and you could rank them in just about any order, but at some point you need to make a decision, whether it’s the same as mine or not.
The first thing I’m doing is cutting Nathan Eovaldi from the primary pool. He’s real-life fantastic and certainly playable, but he’s the lowest strikeout pitcher among the top four, and he has a low-strikeout matchup. With the other two pitchers priced up about $10,000, it’s more about deciding if we need to spend this much salary on anyone tonight. I have no concerns with Hunter Brown after the bad start last week; everyone has to get their bad starts out of the way sometime. It’s more just that this is a low strikeout matchup with some power risk and he’s very expensive. He had 5 straight games with 9 strikeouts prior to that last start, so there is no question about the upside, and what I’ll say is that he is my SP1 in a no salary cap world. We’ll need to see what else we find before deciding what to do with that.
Carlos Rodon has the same upside as Brown, and while his matchup also has power risk, there are a lot more strikeouts in the Angels lineup. We’ve seen this issue all season for the Angels, where it seems like they should be good against lefties, but in reality, they have the 2nd-highest strikeout rate in the league against LHP. Brown and Rodon are so close here that I lean to just playing Rodon with the slight discount.
Joe Ryan is another slight step down in salary without losing any strikeout upside. Ryan also has better control than either Brown or Rodon, and his matchup falls somewhere in between them. We need to wait to see the Tampa lineup before determining exactly what to do with Ryan because of his massive splits. He is something like the best pitcher in the world against righties with a 39% K rate this season but is just an average strikeout pitcher against lefties. Most likely he only sees 4 righties, which would leave him just a tiny skosh behind Rodon.
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About the Author

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2