MLB DFS Top Stacks: Wednesday, August 14th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles are about the individual players most likely to succeed, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. With some help from our Top Stacks tool, we will aim to look more at the process instead of just the picks and the teams instead of just the players. We’ll still analyze the MLB player projections that are available in our MLB optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We’re back at it on Wednesday with plenty of high-powered offenses and not many stud pitchers to worry about. Let’s find out who’s worth the money and who’s not!
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Underdog Fantasy promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Wednesday, August 14th
CHALKY STACK
Yankees at Davis Martin
It’s been an interesting couple of days in the Windy City for the Yankees. They were blown out on Monday after leaving 16 runners on base. Yesterday, Juan Soto was the entire offense, and Jonathan Cannon pretty much held everyone else in check.
The Yankees will have another prime spot to do damage against Davis Martin. It’s a little hard to profile what kind of talent he is. Martin barely pitched last season, but he had a 4.83 ERA across 63.1 MLB innings in 2022. He hasn’t pitched much at all in 2024, but he’s had a bumpy start across 12.1 innings at the MLB level this summer, while also showing some control issues. I will say, he did just pitch a really nice game against Oakland though.
But I just can’t buy into him having success against one of the most patient lineups in the league. In 2023, he gave up 23 home runs in 140.1 innings – across Double-A, Triple-A, and the bigs.
I think it goes without saying that Aaron Judge and Soto are top bats pretty much every time the Yankees take the field. But even without Jazz Chisholm, the Yankees become much more stackable with Giancarlo Stanton back and healthy. And he’s also proven to be reverse-splitsy this season, with a .280 ISO and .386 wOBA vs. RHP. Austin Wells has finally shown signs of life against RHP (.194 ISO, .344 wOBA), and if there is any silver lining about Chisholm being out, Oswaldo Cabrera is swinging a lukewarm bat, and he’s much better from the left side of the plate. He’s a nice value option at the hot corner.
The White Sox have the 3rd-worst bullpen ERA and have given up the 3rd-most home runs in the league this season. There are no pitchers priced above $9,300 on DraftKings, and nobody fairly expensive seems like a must-have. Without salary being too much of an issue, I have the Yankees as my top stack. They have by far the highest implied run total, currently at 5.9.
Our Top Stacks tool projects them to carry the most ownership but also with the highest Opto%.
PIVOT STACK
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
