MLB Grind Down: Monday, September 14th - Page Three

LA Angels at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST

LA Angels Seattle
laangelsmlb Garrett Richards seattlemlb Taijuan Walker
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAA (-110) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.209 0.577 0.258 0.234 SP vs. Left 0.255 0.729 0.319 0.218
SP vs. Right 0.232 0.636 0.284 0.199 SP vs. Right 0.234 0.693 0.302 0.22
Batter Splits LAA BvP ANA vs R Batter Splits SEA BvP SEA vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Garrett Richards : FD: $8,400 — DK: $9,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 335.2 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.19 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.67 — ERA: 4.86 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 0.7

Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.371 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Richards has been better of late, but he hasn’t been the same high-strikeout pitcher that he was in 2014. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Mariners, although they do strikeout at a high rate against right-handed pitching this season. Richards is a viable SP2, but again, there is no reason to fade Clayton Kershaw on single-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating: 74.0


Taijuan Walker : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 197.2 — SIERA: 3.76 — ERA: 4.14 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.09 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 0.3

LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: Walker has been in average form recently, posting a 4.09 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.6% over the last month of play. He draws a nice matchup tonight against the Angels, who are ranked 21st in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. if he can pitch around Mike Trout, he could have a decent fantasy outing at home.

Pitcher Rating: 68.5

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

The Angels draw a difficult matchup tonight against Taijuan Walker in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Mike Trout is the only fantasy option on my radar in this one. He is still too cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Mike Trout : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 967 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 134


Seattle

The Mariners draw a tough matchup tonight against Garrett Richards, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE


Cincinnati at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST

Cincinnati San Francisco
cincinnatimlb Keyvius Sampson sanfranciscomlb Tim Hudson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SFG (-162) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.368 0.993 0.428 0.203 SP vs. Left 0.289 0.772 0.338 0.105
SP vs. Right 0.256 0.752 0.326 0.17 SP vs. Right 0.258 0.684 0.299 0.18
Batter Splits CIN BvP CIN vs R Batter Splits SFG BvP SF vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Keyvius Sampson : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.64 — ERA: 6.68 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 5.14 — ERA: 7.20 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 11.9% — HR/9: 1.1

San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)

Analysis: Sampson has been in awful form recently, posting a 5.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.9% over the last month of play. He should be avoided tonight against the Giants, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 40.7


Tim Hudson : FD: $5,800 — DK: $5,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 293.0 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 3.96 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 4.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 2.1 — SIERA: 2.27 — ERA: 0.00 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0

Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 17.3% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 23)

Analysis: Hudson has been a serviceable pitcher for the Giants over the last two seasons, but he is an easy fade in daily fantasy. His low strikeout rate of 14.2% during that span immediately takes him out of consideration. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Reds, who have the tenth-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 68.4

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

The Reds have a low team total tonight, as they square off against Tim Hudson in the pitcher-friendly AT&T Park. Joey Votto and Billy Hamilton are both secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Joey Votto : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 632 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.527 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 239

Billy Hamilton : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 779 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.078 — wRC+: 64
Last 30 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 119


San Francisco

The Giants draw a favorable matchup tonight against Keyvius Sampson, who has been downright awful against left-handed hitters this season. All of the left-handed bats in this lineup are in play tonight.

Elite Plays:

Brandon Belt : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 558 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 128

Secondary Plays:

Buster Posey : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 839 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 120

Angel Pagan : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 594 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 117


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious