MLB Grind Down: Thursday, August 27th - Page Three

St. Louis at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST

St. Louis Arizona
stlouismlb Carlos Martinez arizonamlb Rubby De La Rosa
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Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
STL (-125) 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.272 0.811 0.349 0.177 SP vs. Left 0.305 0.893 0.384 0.146
SP vs. Right 0.232 0.612 0.273 0.279 SP vs. Right 0.232 0.666 0.292 0.22
Batter Splits STL BvP STL vs R Batter Splits ARI BvP ARI vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Carlos Martinez : FD: $10,200 — DK: $11,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 238.0 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 3.29 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.11 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 21.6% — BB%: 3.0% — HR/9: 0.6

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 16)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)

Analysis: Martinez may have a 4.91 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators still look solid. During that same stretch, he has a 3.11 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.6% over the last month of play. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks. While Arizona is ranked ninth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching, they do strikeout at the ninth-highest rate. The bigger issue here is his price tag. Gerrit Cole is the better play in this price range.

Pitcher Rating: 84.8


Rubby De La Rosa : FD: $7,300 — DK: $9,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 258.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 4.36 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.77 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.9

St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: De La Rosa has not been as sharp in his recent starts, posting a 4.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 14.6% over the last month of play. He draws an average matchup tonight against the Cardinals, who are ranked 16th in team wOBA and 11th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. De La Rosa should be avoided in all league formats tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 54.0

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

The Cardinals draw a decent matchup tonight against Rubby De La Rosa in the hitter-friendly Chase Field. De La Rosa has been tough on right-handed hitters, but he has allowed a .384 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 838 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.340 — wRC+: 168

Secondary Plays:

Jason Heyward : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 815 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 150


Arizona

Carlos Martinez has the same issue that Rubby De La Rosa has. While he is tough on right-handed hitters, he has given up a .349 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. David Peralta and Ender Inciarte are both in play tonight at home.

Elite Plays:

David Peralta : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 593 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.450 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 186

Secondary Plays:

Ender Inciarte : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 609 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 91


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious