MLB Grind Down: Thursday, September 24th - Page Three
Cleveland at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Cody Anderson |  | Kyle Gibson | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-117) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.252 | 0.77 | 0.329 | 0.113 | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.684 | 0.304 | 0.128 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 0.568 | 0.25 | 0.13 | SP vs. Right | 0.25 | 0.683 | 0.3 | 0.185 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | MIN vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Cody Anderson : FD: $6,000 — DK: $6,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 77.2 — SIERA: 4.79 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 12.3% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.2 — SIERA: 4.90 — ERA: 2.12 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 0.6
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Anderson is a low strikeout pitcher that should be avoided tonight. On the season, he has only struck out 12.3% of the batters that he has faced. While the Twins do not hit right-handed pitching well as a team, they are in a good spot tonight at home. There is more risk than potential reward tonight with Anderson.
Pitcher Rating: 45.3
Kyle Gibson : FD: $6,500 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 365.1 — SIERA: 4.19 — ERA: 4.09 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 39.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — ERA: 2.75 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.350 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Gibson has been in decent form recently, posting a 4.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.2% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked 16th in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Gibson isn’t the worst play on the board, but he’s not the best play either.
Pitcher Rating: 52.7
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Kyle Gibson, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Indians are in play here, but their hitters are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 245 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 175
Jason Kipnis : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 753 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.262 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 63
Minnesota
The Twins draw a favorable matchup tonight against Cody Anderson, who has had trouble generating swings and misses this season. The left-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, as Anderson has allowed a .329 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Aaron Hicks : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 383 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 69
Last 30 Days: PA: 81 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 115
Joe Mauer : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 748 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 114
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Sano : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.318 — wRC+: 171
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 151
Eddie Rosario : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.266 — wRC+: 105
San Francisco at San Diego – 9:10 PM EST
| San Francisco | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Madison Bumgarner |  | Ian Kennedy | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-157) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.218 | 0.554 | 0.245 | 0.314 | SP vs. Left | 0.235 | 0.736 | 0.319 | 0.253 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.232 | 0.649 | 0.285 | 0.246 | SP vs. Right | 0.255 | 0.754 | 0.329 | 0.231 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Madison Bumgarner : FD: $12,800 — DK: $12,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 423.0 — SIERA: 2.99 — ERA: 2.91 — K%: 25.9% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 2.87 — ERA: 2.00 — K%: 28.3% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 0.3
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Bumgarner is the premier pitching option in the evening slate of games. He has been sharp over the last month, posting a 2.87 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.3%. He draws a terrific matchup against the Padres, who are ranked 23rd in team wOBA and 25th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. He is also facing them in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. It’s hard to find a reason not to like him tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 93.4
Ian Kennedy : FD: $8,200 — DK: $7,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 358.1 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.92 — K%: 24.1% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.24 — ERA: 4.58 — K%: 29.4% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 0.8
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Kennedy has a 4.58 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators look good. During that stretch, he has a 3.24 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.4%. While he does have the benefit of playing at home in Petco Park, he draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Giants, who are ranked seventh in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Fire him up in tournaments, but lean to the safer options in cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 72.6
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
The Giants draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Ian Kennedy. They have a low team total and they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Buster Posey has had some success off of Kennedy in the past. He is really the only fantasy option on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 864 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 143
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.447 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 195
San Diego
The Padres loaded up on power right-handed hitters in the offseason, but they are still one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching. They should be avoided tonight against Madison Bumgarner, who is tough on both left and right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE