MLB Grind Down: Thursday, September 3rd - Page Two

LA Dodgers at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST

LA Dodgers San Diego
ladodgersmlb Mat Latos sandiegomlb Colin Rea
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD (-135) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.255 0.695 0.304 0.179 SP vs. Left 0.244 0.739 0.316 0.18
SP vs. Right 0.234 0.674 0.296 0.199 SP vs. Right 0.343 0.948 0.407 0.189
Batter Splits LA vs R Batter Splits SDP BvP SD vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Mat Latos : FD: $6,200 — DK: $7,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 210.0 — SIERA: 3.99 — ERA: 4.03 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.1 — SIERA: 4.20 — ERA: 6.05 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.9

San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Latos hasn’t been in the best of form recently, but the perfect cure for the pitching blues. Tonight he gets to face the strikeout-happy Padres in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Latos is cheap and he is a small favorite tonight in a game that features a low total of 7.0 runs. Latos makes a great SP2 on multi-pitcher sites and he’s not the worst play on single-pitcher sites if you are looking to stack the game in Coors Field.

Pitcher Rating: 69.5


Colin Rea : FD: $5,000 — DK: $6,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 19.2 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 5.95 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 0.9

Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.260 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 23.5% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Rea is off to a decent start in his major league career. In his first 19 innings of work, he has a 3.87 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.4%. While he is very cheap tonight, he draws a tough matchup against the Dodgers, who have the third-highest team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Mat Latos is the preferred target in this one.

Pitcher Rating: 62.8

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers draw a decent matchup tonight against Colin Rea tonight, but they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Rea has reverse splits this season, but it’s hard to trust them with a sample size of only 19 innings. I still give the edge to the left-handed hitters in this matchup.

Elite Plays:

Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 885 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 99

Secondary Plays:

Chase Utley : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 693 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 74 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 148

Andre Ethier : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 665 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 166


San Diego

The Padres have one of the lowest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Mat Latos, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA over the last two seasons. Cory Spangenberg could be a nice value play if he is batting at the top of the lineup, but the rest of the Padres can be avoided.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Cory Spangenberg : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 257 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 154


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious