MLB Player Props Today: Ramirez, Naylor, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (July 2)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, and Kris Bryant? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Sunday, July 2, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Sunday! Today’s 15-game MLB slate begins at 12:05 p.m. EST with a matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles. Nine of those contests have a scheduled first pitch of 2:10 p.m. EST or later, giving the betting community plenty of time to get their action locked in to end the week.
Since May 1, we are 87-67-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 71-36-3 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for July 2!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 58-60-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 27-9
Strikeout: 45-25-3
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Jose Ramirez u1.5 Total Bases
- Josh Naylor u1.5 Total Bases
- Kris Bryant less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts
Jose Ramirez u1.5 Total Bases (-130), BetMGM
Jameson Taillon has been a trainwreck against left-handed batters this season, but there is reason to believe that he finds some success on Sunday. Looking at the forecast, winds are expected to be blowing in nearly 10 miles-per-hour from left field around first pitch, which is a major hindrance for batters who put the ball in the air frequently. Across the platoon, Taillon is allowing a 53.2% fly ball rate in 2023, which could actually benefit him in this spot against Jose Ramirez, who has a 45.6% fly ball rate against right-handed pitching this year. Take the under in this spot.
Josh Naylor u1.5 Total Bases (-115), BetMGM
Similar to his other left-handed hitting teammates, Josh Naylor could have trouble garnering multiple total bases at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Wrigley Field is one of the oldest ballparks in the MLB, and its construction allows wind to play a major role in home games for the Chicago Cubs on a daily basis. In January 2007, Chris Constancio documented in The Hardball Times that “more than 23% of fly balls result in home runs when the wind is blowing strongly toward the ivy-covered outfield walls, but only 13% of fly balls result in home runs when the wind is blowing in from the outfield.” Today, the winds are likely to be blowing in over 10 miles-per-hour around first pitch, which is going to make life very difficult for batters such as Naylor to have a productive performance at the dish.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Kris Bryant less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
In 2022, Matt Manning posted a pedestrian 20.3% strikeout rate against right-handed batters. In a small sample size to begin 2023, Manning’s strikeout numbers look extremely similar. This season, Kris Bryant has struck out in only 12.9% of his plate appearances against right-handed pitchers when playing at Coors Field. Trust Bryant to put the ball in play each time he steps in the box this afternoon.
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