MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Monday, June 10th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Monday, June 10th
- Dylan Cease MORE Than 8.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
- Logan Gilbert MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON) But LESS Than 6.5 Strikeouts
- Aaron Judge LESS Than 10.0 Fantasy Points
Dylan Cease MORE Than 8.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
Cease draws the beloved A’s. Projected for 100 pitches with a 10.88 K/9, while seeing his BB/9 fall to 2.57 to start this season, we should get a ton of volume from Cease to get to 9 Ks against a projected lineup with a 27.1% K rate against RHP in 2024. Oakland’s implied team total is just under 3 runs, so Cease shouldn’t get in trouble. This is definitely a ceiling spot for him, with a very high floor (in the range of 7 Ks) and a double-digit ceiling, so I would say that our 8.6 projection might be on the conservative side.
Logan Gilbert MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON) But LESS Than 6.5 Strikeouts
The White Sox are really terrible and have an implied team total of just 2.75 runs, so Gilbert should deal for more than 6 IP. He has hit at least 6 IP in each of his last 5 starts and 10 of his last 11, so we just need that one extra out in the 7th inning against a terrible offense. The DEMON boost is huge for us, as we have Gilbert projected for 18.8 outs.
That said, the Sox aren’t a huge strikeout team for all of their shortcomings, and Gilbert isn’t a big-time strikeout guy. LESS than 6.5 strikeouts is kinda risky, as we have him projected for 6.3, but our MLB PrizePicks tool has it as one of the best plays on the board — one of the very few with any sort of positive Edge rating — so we should have some exposure to this play.
Aaron Judge LESS Than 10.0 Fantasy Points
Betting against Judge sucks, but Seth Lugo is a good pitcher, and 10 fantasy points is a really big number. Our MLB PrizePicks tool has Judge’s LESS than 10 fantasy points as one of the best hitting plays on a slate with very few hitting plays worth playing. Lugo doesn’t have many strikeouts in his arsenal, but he has a 3.79 xERA on the season to go with a decent 15.3% K-BB rate since the start of the 2023 season. The big thing for Lugo is that his fly balls are down to 25.6% while his ground-ball rate is up to 43.6% since the start of the 2023 season, rejuvenating his career. Also, this game being in Kansas City is a park downgrade for the Yankees bats.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
Not a great day for hitting projections, as today is more of a pitchers day. I’m likely playing a very small volume of small contests. High volume without great pitching or great hitting spots is very dangerous.
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