MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Monday, September 2nd
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $50 bonus. Also, check out more apps like PrizePicks.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Monday, September 2nd
- Logan Gilbert MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Juan Soto MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Corbin Burnes MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Freddy Peralta MORE Than 6.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
Logan Gilbert MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
Logan Gilbert isn’t the most trustworthy for mass strikeouts-per-inning in DFS, but he’s been a top-10 pitcher in baseball this season and gets to face an A’s projected lineup that has a .310 wOBA and .158 ISO against righties. Gilbert has only allowed a .255 wOBA and .143 ISO. Only walking 4.5% of hitters and the A’s lineup’s 25.2% K rate should allow for Gilbert to get economical with his pitch count, which has been high as of late. Gilbert’s thrown 97, 100, 96, 92, and 98 pitchers over his last 5 starts, so we should like him to go into the 7th inning. We have Gilbert projected for a whopping 19.3 outs, so this is one of the most profitably projected PrizePicks projections we’ve had to attack all season.
Juan Soto MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Speaking of highly profitable, Juan Soto having a DEMON projection anywhere under 2.5 against a bad novice pitcher like Jack Leiter in a good hitting ballpark is a place that we need to attack. PrizePicks low-balling at 1.5 is one we need to pounce on early and fairly often. Soto has a .304 ISO on a 22.1% barrel rate against righties, while Leiter is just getting mashed in a small sample by lefties. Leiter’s allowed a .541 wOBA and .382 ISO on an 18.5% barrel rate across the 40 lefties he’s faced, and his minor league numbers don’t suggest he’s ready to dominate in any given MLB game. We have Soto projected for 2.5 total bases.
Corbin Burnes MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
Corbin Burnes has seen his Ks fall, but he’s very effective and not by accident. He’s allowed just a .285 wOBA and .132 ISO on the season with just a 6.5% barrel rate, averaging nearly 95 pitches per start. My horrible White Sox’s projected lineup has been absolutely horrible, forcing just a .265 wOBA and .114 ISO on a 5.9% barrel rate against righties. Burnes has been roughed up lately but should get his groove back in a big way today. We have him projected for 18.3 outs.
Freddy Peralta MORE Than 6.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
PrizePicks isn’t soft on K projections today, but we can attack with Freddy Peralta, who’s projected by us for 6.3 Ks. The Cards don’t strike out much, but Peralta comes with a 28% K rate baked in. Peralta gets in trouble with walks and power, but the Cards’ projected lineup has just a 6.5% BB rate and a 6.8% barrel rate against righties, so Peralta’s vulnerabilities should get masked. Any great spot for Peralta to go 6 IP is a great spot for him to get 7 Ks.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
I normally don’t play DEMON projections more than twice, but Gilbert and Soto project so well by us against the PrizePicks projections that I’ll be playing them more like 3-4 times in a high-volume day for PrizePicks.
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