MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Tuesday, August 27th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match. Also, check out more apps like PrizePicks.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Tuesday, August 27th
- Bobby Witt MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Jack Flaherty MORE Than 6.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
- Logan Webb MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Eduardo Rodriguez MORE Than 5.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
- Triston Casas MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Bobby Witt MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Gavin Williams is a pitcher who looks good for stretches of just about every game but blows up frequently. He’s allowed a .198 ISO on a 9.5% barrel rate and 57.1% hard-hit rate to righties. Witt has a .433 wOBA and .275 ISO on a 14.7% barrel rate, 58.6% hard-hit rate, and 28.7% fly-ball rate against RHP. It’s supposed to be hot across the country today, and Cleveland won’t be immune to the heat wave. We have Witt projected for a whopping 2.8 total bases on despite the great Guardians bullpen. This is saying a lot for his matchup with Williams.
Jack Flaherty MORE Than 6.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
Sneaky great spot for us. The wheels are falling off of the Orioles. Something about which I normally wouldn’t care, but this is a young team without experience playing this deep into the season and is still developing. The Orioles are still really good, but Flaherty has been great. He has a 26.9% K-BB rate and is averaging close to 95 pitches per start. Projected for 95 tonight, his command and run prevention should get him into the 7th inning, so we should like the probability of 7 Ks, as we have him projected for 7.2. It’s rare that we see this sort of advantage over a PrizePicks DEMON projection.
Logan Webb MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
The Brewers can win games with speed, but Webb prevents so much power and has one of the longest leashes in the game. Averaging ~98 pitches per start this season, he’s on a run of logging 24, 23, 21, 17, and 27 outs over his last 5 starts. We have Webb (conservatively) projected for 18.1 on an evening where his floor is probably in the range of 16-17 with a ceiling of a complete game. He doesn’t strike guys out, but his command is excellent, and he keeps the ball on the ground at a 56.5% rate.
Eduardo Rodriguez MORE Than 5.5 Strikeouts (DEMON)
I don’t love this play because Rodriguez is a moderate strikeout pitcher and the Mets don’t strike out much, but we have Rodriguez projected for 5.3 Ks, so he has to get mentioned here, carrying a beatable PrizePicks projection. If I’m playing 10 contests, I would sprinkle this play in 1 of them but wouldn’t be heavily exposed to this tight of a squeeze.
Triston Casas MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Yariel Rodriguez is a good strikeout pitcher, but he’s really struggling to throw strikes. Over 50% of his pitches are outside of the strike zone — over 44% of his first pitches miss. Long story short, he’s behind in counts a lot, and this plays well for Casas as a power hitter carrying a total bases PrizePicks standard projection under 2.0. Rodriguez hasn’t given up power to lefties, but his 3.1% barrel rate allowed has to regress when he’s walking 15.5% of them. Casas has an 11.3% barrel rate against RHP and is projected by us for a whopping 2.2 total bases.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
This should be a busy night for us. I normally play 12-15 contests. I’m gonna spend down a bit per contest to play 20-25, as there are so many great plays.
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