MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Tuesday, July 2nd
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
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All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Tuesday, July 2nd
- Luis Gil MORE Than 2.5 Walks Allowed (DEMON), LESS Than 16.5 Outs, and LESS Than 35.0 Fantasy Points
- Hayden Wesneski MORE Than 4.5 Strikeouts (DEMON) and MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Ryan Feltner MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Sean Manaea MORE Than 15.5 Outs and MORE Than 23.5 Fantasy Points
- Mitch Keller LESS Than 32.5 Fantasy Points and MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Luis Gil MORE Than 2.5 Walks Allowed (DEMON), LESS Than 16.5 Outs, and LESS Than 35.0 Fantasy Points
The Reds aren’t super scary, but Luis Gil brings an insane 12.7% BB rate to a table with a lot of speed and baserunning aggression from Cincinnati. There should be a lot of traffic wreaking havoc on the basepaths, causing too much trouble for Gil to get away with. The speed of Elly De La Cruz and Noelvi Marte surrounded by a little bit of power in Yankee Stadium could spell disaster for Gil. We have Gil projected for just 32.1 fantasy points on 15.2 outs. If we really wanna hit the gas against Gil’s command, there’s a juicy DEMON boost on his walks allowed (2.5), against which we have a projection of 3.3. These are all top plays, according to our projections.
Hayden Wesneski MORE Than 4.5 Strikeouts (DEMON) and MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
First, I wanna thread the needle on a couple of DEMON boosters. Hayden Wesneski has been recently used as a long opener after flirting with the bullpen, but the Phillies lineup is bare with Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto, and Kyle Schwarber, while Wesneski has shown 90-pitch upside with 6+ IP. Taking this perspective, 4.5 Ks and 15.5 outs are just too low. We have Wesneski projected for 4.8 Ks on 15.6 outs, given his pretty decent 23.5% K rate and 8.6% BB rate.
Ryan Feltner MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
Ryan Feltner doesn’t have much strikeout stuff, but his command has been great in 2024. Just a 6% BB rate and averaging 88+ pitches per start this season should go a long way. He’s logged 18, 15, and 19 outs over his last 3 starts and has gotten outs into the 6th inning in 9 of 16 starts this season. We have Feltner projected for 15.2 outs, so we’re purely playing the juice on this one.
Sean Manaea MORE Than 15.5 Outs and MORE Than 23.5 Fantasy Points
The best play on the board, according to our pick’em tool is Sean Manaea to get some volume. The Nationals are pesky, but they aren’t very effective. Any decent pitcher can throw 6 IP against them. Manaea hasn’t had much volume recently, but he is averaging 91+ pitches per start this season, and we have him projected for 16.8 outs and 26.5 fantasy points. The walks have been a problem for Manaea this season, but the Nationals projected lineup has just a 5.8% BB rate against lefties, so we shouldn’t be too worried about Manaea getting in his own way.
Mitch Keller LESS Than 32.5 Fantasy Points and MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
The 2nd-best play, according to our pick’em tool, is Mitch Keller to score under 32.5 fantasy points. The Cardinals aren’t any damn good, but PrizePicks tends to over-project Keller for whatever reason. He just has a 21.7% K rate, so he’ll be reliant on BABIP to compile fantasy points through outs, and I don’t like that given the Cardinals’ speed, along with Keller’s 29.6% line-drive rate allowed. We have Keller projected for 29.0 fantasy points and 6.4 hits allowed, giving us a great edge on both plays.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
This is an excellent PrizePicks slate where the DFS slate lacks a little luster because the pitchers are just oddly projected. Take advantage of this soon before the lines get more efficient. Our pick’em tool is showing a ton of edges tonight.
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