MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Tuesday, July 30th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match. Also, check out more apps like PrizePicks.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Tuesday, July 30th
- Lance Lynn MORE Than 6.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Griffin Canning LESS Than 5.5 Strikeouts and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Matt Waldron LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Robbie Ray LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Edward Cabrera MORE Than 2.5 Walks Allowed
Click here to load Sonty’s Outs picks directly into your PrizePicks card!
Lance Lynn MORE Than 6.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
Texas has a lot of power, and Lynn struggles with power. The Rangers’ projected lineup has a .201 ISO against RHP, while Lynn is surrendering a 10.3% barrel rate. Going against Lynn’s volume is never pretty, but he’s had a very inconsistent leash lately. Lynn has fallen short of 17.5 outs in 6 of his last 9 starts. Our MLB Weather page and WeatherEdge have this game forecasted for 92-degree temps with a 76-degree dew point, so it will hot and muggy in St. Louis, which transforms Busch Stadium into a hitters park. Everything is going against Lynn here. We should be too, as we have him projected to give up 6.2 hits and log only 15.4 outs.
Griffin Canning LESS Than 5.5 Strikeouts and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
PrizePicks sure seems to have some high outs projections today. So many not-good pitchers projected for 17.5 outs, so let’s attack all of them. We’ll next move on to Canning, who gets to face the Rockies away from Coors Field but hasn’t logged 18 outs in any of his last 4 starts. He has a 7.8% K-BB rate and has allowed a .194 ISO this season. Even a good spot for Canning is a bad spot for his volume because he gets in trouble so often. We have Canning projected for just 5 Ks and 16 outs. The Rockies strike out a lot, but Canning has 6+ Ks in just 1 of his 17 starts.
Matt Waldron LESS Than 17.5 Outs
Waldron isn’t as vulnerable as Lynn or Canning, but he has to face the Dodgers, and 17.5 outs is a huge number for any starter facing the Dodgers. Even these beat-up Dodgers. Waldron doesn’t get clobbered, but Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith, and Teoscar Hernandez at the top of the order are just enough firepower to give him fits. We have Waldron projected for a solid outing but just 16.2 outs and with a low ceiling.
Robbie Ray LESS Than 17.5 Outs
Robbie Ray is still Robbie Ray. Tons of Ks, tons of BBs, and a lot of power surrendered. He should rack up the Ks tonight, but the A’s pack a ton of pop on contact against LHP. Their projected lineup has a whopping .218 ISO on an 11.3% barrel rate against LHP. This game being in Oracle is good for Ray, but the A’s have proven that ballpark doesn’t really matter as much when you’re smashing everything 435 feet. Ray should get a lot of Ks, he should get a lot of fantasy points, but even at his best, he’s gonna give up the walks and doesn’t have a high pitch-count leash (yet), so we have him projected for just 15.9 outs.
Edward Cabrera MORE Than 2.5 Walks Allowed
This dude is like a righty Robbie Ray. 27.8% K rate, 13.6% BB rate, and an 11.9% barrel rate allowed. No one probably knows as well as Cabrera how hard Cabrera gets hit, and it shows in his resistance to throwing strikes. Add his BB rate to the 10.3% BB rate of the Rays projected lineup against RHP, and we should get to MORE than 2.5 walks fairly simply, despite Cabrera’s more controlled pitch count. We have Cabrera projected for 3.1 BBs.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
Normally, in this space, we attack excellence through DEMONs, but this is a great day to attack futility. We’re not just looking for low projections. We’re looking for inefficient projections, and PrizePicks has a ton of them today. We can utilize the plays discussed above to find hitters for correlation in our contests. Power against Lynn, Ray, and Canning, especially.
Image Credit: Getty Images