MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Wednesday, April 3
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple.
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MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Wednesday, April 3
- Yordan Alvarez MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Kyle Tucker MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Vladimir Guerrero MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
- Ross Stripling MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON)
Yordan Alvarez MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Not a great slate to attack the pitcher projections on PrizePicks. I suggest a lower-volume night with longer DEMON shots.
The number one name on the short list is Alvarez against Chris Bassitt, who has allowed a 12.1% barrel rate to lefties since 2023. Alvarez is hitting 2nd in a good ballpark against a pitcher who struggles with power prevention against lefties. Alvarez is struggling to start the season, but we should keep going to the well when we get these payout boosts for him in great spots. If you wanna be more cautious, his standard PrizePicks projection is 1.5 total bases, but I wanna go for more with his 21.3% barrel rate against RHP, facing this particular righty.
Kyle Tucker MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
The same Alvarez logic applies to this lefty. Tucker has a 10.9% barrel rate against RHP and seldom lets an opportunity go to waste. He isn’t as great as Alvarez, so maybe the standard 1.5 play is the prudent combo with the Alvarez DEMON play. We could go either way, based on risk tolerance.
Vladimir Guerrero MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
We’re staying in the same game with Guerrero, who is in a solid spot to get on base with his bat. He goes up there to hit against Cristian Javier, who has allowed a 50% hard-hit rate to righties since 2023, whereas Guerrero has a 56.6% hard-hit rate against RHP to go with a 12% barrel rate. We can get aggressive with a home run play here, but more than 0.5 total bases for the same payout is the smarter play. He doesn’t hit many fly balls, but he hits the ball so hard that seeing-eye singles are always in play for these soft total bases projections.
Ross Stripling MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON)
I think this is my favorite play on the board. Stripling is pitching during the afternoon, so we have to squeeze this one in now, but it’s a great play against a Red Sox offense with a 4.5 implied total that I think is also too soft. Stripling doesn’t walk anyone, but he doesn’t miss many bats, allowing a 78.7% contact rate since 2023.
The way to get to the Red Sox is by striking them out because they have five bats in their projected lineup with hard-hit rates over 50% and four double-digit barrel rates against RHP (to go with the 9.6% rate of Trevor Story). Great ballpark for pitching, but Stripling gives up a lot of power — 2.01 HR/9 on a 10.2% barrel rate since last season. We have him projected for 2.5 earned runs allowed straight-up. The DEMON boost is a great opportunity for us to maybe get a little extra money.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
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