MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Wednesday, August 14th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
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All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Wednesday, August 14th
- Walker Buehler MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON)
- David Peterson MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 16.5 Outs
- Tyler Anderson MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Tyler Phillips LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Davis Martin LESS Than 4.0 Strikeouts
Walker Buehler MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON)
Through 37 IP, Buehler has not looked good. He has a 4.91 xERA with just an 18.3% K rate. His 84.5% contact rate is something that the power and speed of the Brewers can exploit fairly easily, as is their M.O. Buehler’s given up 3+ ERs in 6 of his 8 starts, so why not tonight when the Brewers have a 4.27 implied run total? We have Buehler projected for 2.2 earned runs allowed and I, personally, don’t like it.
David Peterson MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 16.5 Outs
The Oakland A’s are pretty strong against LHP. Their projected lineup has struck out only 23% of the time, while carrying a .224 ISO and a 10.9% barrel rate. There’s nothing overpowering about Peterson, and lefties need the strikeout to get to Oakland or they explode. We have Peterson projected for 2 earned runs allowed and 14.9 outs. I think our projections are underplaying what Oakland can do against LHP in terms of producing runs with power and speed, but the outs projection seems spot-on.
Tyler Anderson MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
I’m going a bit against the projections here too. We have Anderson projected for 17.9 outs, but he’s been getting closer and closer to the 7th inning much more often lately. Anderson has produced 18+ outs in 4 of his last 6 — 21+ in 2 of those. There’s nothing scary about the Jays, whose projected lineup has just a .301 wOBA and .128 ISO against LHP, so Anderson could stretch out his ~100 pitches into the 7th inning.
Tyler Phillips LESS Than 17.5 Outs
The Marlins suck, so we should like Phillips for DFS, but 17.5 outs is a bit comical. Take away the 2 starts where he left his opponents scoreless, and he’s only surpassed 15 outs once in his other 4 starts. We have Phillips projected for a much more down to earth 15.8 outs. We should pretty much never project a starter to shut out their opponents.
Davis Martin LESS Than 4.0 Strikeouts
Through 75.2 career IP, Martin only has a 7.14 K/9, and this projected lineup for the Yankees only has a 21.2% K rate against RHP. Add in that Martin has a 3.09 BB/9 over his career, and his 82 projected pitches shouldn’t get him the volume to compile many Ks. This is a tight squeeze, as we have Martin projected for 4.1 Ks, but I can’t buy more than 3. I won’t have high exposure to this play, but I’ll have a sprinkle on a larger ticket.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
Super fun night on PrizePicks. The early DEMONs aren’t great and the standard projections are fairly tight, but a little bit of intuition can go a long way tonight.
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