NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Friday (12/29)

jalen-suggs-800x480

What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Jalen Suggs, Daniel Gafford, and Jalen Williams? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Friday, December 29, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.

Friday’s 10-game NBA slate begins at 7:00 p.m. ET and has action spread throughout the evening, concluding with a matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Clippers at 10:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV. There will be plenty of stars in action, including Jayson Tatum, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Nikola Jokic, Devin Booker, Kevin Durant, Ja Morant, and Kawhi Leonard – meaning that there are no shortage of high-quality player props to evaluate to begin the weekend!

If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Friday, December 29th!

Don’t live in a state with sports betting? Use our PrizePicks referral code & Underdog promo code GRINDERS for a combined $200 in sign-up bonuses on NBA DFS Pick’em today.

NBA Player Props Today – Friday, December 29, 2023

Jalen Suggs Over/Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Entering play on Friday, Jalen Suggs is averaging 14.1 points per game on 50.7% shooting from the floor and 39.7% shooting from beyond the arc at home, compared to 10.9 points per game on 43.3% shooting from the floor and 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc on the road. Tonight, he gets a favorable matchup at home against a Knicks team that ranks 28th in defensive efficiency, 23rd in opponent 3-point attempts allowed per game, and 24th in opponent 3-point percentage across the last 30 days of action. According to props.cash, Suggs has eclipsed this market number in 9 of 14 home games overall and 8 of 11 since November 9. He should have every opportunity to deliver for us in this spot.

Daniel Gafford Over/Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists

This season, Daniel Gafford is averaging 8.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game at home on 15.5 rebound chances and 2.3 potential assists. On Friday, he gets a favorable matchup against a Nets team that ranks 24th in defensive efficiency, 21st in opponent rebounds per game, and 24th in opponent assists per game during the last 30 days.

In that stretch, Brooklyn has allowed 9+ rebounds to Mark Williams, Onyeka Okongwu, Clint Capela, Domantas Sabonis, Jusuf Nurkic, Nikola Jokic (twice), Walker Kessler, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jalen Duran – just to name opposing centers. According to props.cash, 16 of the last 18 centers to face the Nets have gone over their pregame market number for assists.

Gafford should be competitive at this market number this evening, making it a worthwhile risk for bettors.

Jalen Williams Over/Under 3.5 Assists

In 11 road games this season, Jalen Williams is averaging only 3.2 assists on 4.6 potential assists per game. According to props.cash, he has eclipsed this market number only twice in his last 10 road contests, and that trend is likely to continue tonight against a Denver defense that has allowed the 4th-fewest opponent assists per game across the last month. Mathematically-speaking, Williams is more probable than not to end with fewer than 4 assists.

Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.

NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type

Points: 44-30-2
Rebounds: 16-20-1
Assists: 12-13-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 8-13
Points + Rebounds: 6-1
Points + Assists: 1-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-2
Three-Pointers Made: 12-5
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1

Combined Record: 104-84-6 (56.0%)

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom