NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Saturday (3/30)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Dejounte Murray, Bogdan Bogdanovic, and Khris Middleton? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Saturday, March 30, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Saturday! Today’s NBA schedule features only 3 games, but that doesn’t mean there are no good options to consider for bettors. The absence of Damian Lillard and Trae Young opens up a significant amount of usage for their teammates, which means there are opportunities worth exploring on the player prop market.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Saturday, March 30!
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NBA Player Props Today – Saturday, March 30, 2024
- Dejounte Murray Over/Under 26.5 Points
- Bogdan Bogdanovic Over/Under 18.5 Points
- Khris Middleton Over/Under 17.5 Points
Dejounte Murray Over/Under 26.5 Points
Dejounte Murray has excelled with Trae Young out of the lineup this season, but this is still a tall number for him to cover. In 21 games with Young inactive this year, he has only scored 27+ points 9 times, including only 2 of 7 home contests. According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Murray is averaging only 25.3 points per 36 minutes this year with Young off of the floor. We will play the probabilities here and roll with the under.
- PICK: Murray UNDER 26.5 Points (-110), FanDuel
Bogdan Bogdanovic Over/Under 18.5 Points
Entering play on Saturday, Bogdan Bogdanovic has only eclipsed this market number in 5 of 20 games this season, including only 4 of his last 15 contests. The Bucks have been vulnerable to opposing shooting guards of late, but the absence of Damian Lillard on the perimeter tonight might actually improve the team’s defensive efforts away from the rim. Bogdanovic is averaging only 16.0 points per game in March and has struggled with his efficiency of late. The math favors the under here.
- PICK: Bogdanovic UNDER 18.5 Points (-110), bet365
Khris Middleton Over/Under 17.5 Points
Damian Lillard has been ruled out for tonight’s action, which should lead to a bump in usage for Khris Middleton. According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Middleton sees the largest increase in usage (+8.3%) of any player on the Milwaukee roster when Lillard is off of the floor this season. In such situations, Middleton is averaging 24.9 points per 36 minutes of action. In four games with Lillard inactive this season, Middleton has scored 19 points, 10 points, 23 points, and 6 points. There is certainly variance here, but the Hawks have struggled against opposing small forwards of late – we will live with the results in this spot.
- PICK: Middleton OVER 17.5 Points (-105), BetMGM
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 105-94-4
Rebounds: 32-30-2
Assists: 21-21-3
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 14-15
Points + Rebounds: 10-1
Points + Assists: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-4
Three-Pointers Made: 18-18
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 3-3
Combined Record: 211-187-9 (53.2%)
Image Credit: Getty Images