NFL DFS FanDuel Ownership Projections: Week 11 Preview
In this space, we’ll preview FanDuel ownership projections for the Sunday main slate of Week 11 of the NFL DFS season. We’ll look at chalk. We’ll look at contrarian plays. We’ll look at plays that should be owned more than they will be. We’ll look at plays that should be owned less than they should be.
This isn’t a comprehensive look at ownership throughout the slate, but a peek into what stands out. The reasoning behind the analysis can be applied to dozens of other players on the slate.
NFL DFS Week 11 FanDuel Ownership Preview
- C.J. Stroud ($8,000) – 11.96%
- Tua Tagovailoa ($8,400) – 9.68%
- Tyreek Hill ($9,800) – 16.72%
- Jaylen Waddle ($7,100) – 22.48%
- Christian McCaffrey ($10,000) – 10.89%
- Washington Commanders DST ($4,700) – 17.07%
- Chicago Bears DST ($3,200) – 11.73%
Week 11 NFL DFS ownership projections for FanDuel are accurate at the time of publication and subject to change. Sign up for Premium to get updated ownership projections all the way to kickoff.
FanDuel Ownership Notes
Stacks Ownership Spread Out
The field is looking to go to the Texans the most, but not overwhelmingly. There are five QBs projected with over 8% ownership — C.J. Stroud, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Fields, Kyler Murray, and Dak Prescott — and they’re all viable for all formats. Then, there’s Brock Purdy, who’s currently projecting as the best value option, at 7.71%. Jared Goff is facing the terrible Bears at home in the dome at 7.57%.
And we still have Trevor Lawrence facing the pass-funnel Titans for $7,000 at 6.28%. Sam Howell is under 5% against the awful Giants.
That’s nine stacks right there, and we haven’t mentioned the Bills or Chargers, who could go off against anyone.
We’re projecting ownership to be spread out, so we can play whoever we want. This is all telling me to just play the Dolphins in single-entry because they’re the Dolphins. Tyreek Hill is extremely expensive and costs a lot in ownership. We can save a ton in salary and spend about the same in ownership on a Tagovailoa to Jaylen Waddle stack. But that’s me.
Regarding MME strategy, the field spreading exposure around might make for an advantage in taking hard stands for and against every stack. I’ll be taking hard stands with 20 lineups, for sure — planting my flag in three or four stacks instead of trying to cover all bases. You don’t have to do that if your risk tolerance is low. I’m just saying that there is a lot of potential in doing so.
Top Projection Low-Owned
The top projection on the slate is Christian McCaffrey and he might be under-owned, despite also being the most expensive player on the slate at $10,000. I’m not gonna pretend to know what to do with him at this point, but this is one of the most interesting ownership data points of the week.
It makes sense that he isn’t gonna be high-owned because he’s so expensive and there’s a lot on which to spend at WR to maximize our stacks. But salary shouldn’t take McCaffrey off of our radar if he’s gonna be in this ownership range.
Defense Ownership is Silly
I get it. The Giants are a dumpster fire. But spending $4,700 on a mega-chalk DST is silly. The Cowboys are a far better defense than the Commanders and they only scored eight fantasy points against the Giants in Week 10. The Giants were treating garbage time like it mattered and that killed our Cowboys play. If they do this again while down by a ton, they could do the same or worse to the Commanders.
What’s even weirder is the Bears DST at 11.73%. Sure, they’re cheap as hell, but the Lions in the Detroit dome is a strong offense and the Bears are a crappy defense. I can play just about any cheap DST against any team, but we should have an ownership edge when we’re making a leap at this roster slot.