NHL Grind Down: Tuesday, November 7th

by Ben (benwell311) Last Updated 2017-11-08 01:40:47 Premium Content Part of the product SimLabs+

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The RotoGrinders NHL Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the NHL schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy hockey there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, salaries, and more.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. Hockey is an extremely high variance sport. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System (Offense):

Green : Friendly matchup at 5v5 and/or on the power play; multiple lines worth stacking
Yellow : Line specific matchup at 5v5 and/or friendly power play matchup
Orange : Stacking is best left for GPPs, secondary scoring units and/or power play in tough matchup
Red : Difficult 5v5 and/or power play matchup, stacking not advisable

Stackability Rating System (Goalies):

Green : Goalie has a plus draw and is playable in all formats
Yellow : There is risk at 5v5 or the penalty kill; iffy for cash games and better for GPPs
Orange : Realistic risk at 5v5 and the penalty kill; not advisable in cash games but viable in GPPs
Red : Elevated risk in all situations and not a recommend crease to chase

Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders

Edmonton Oilers					New York Islanders
			Cam Talbot					Jaroslav Halak
			Record					Record
			4-8-1					8-5-1
Stats	GF/GP	GA/GP	PP%	PK%	Stats	GF/GP	GA/GP	PP%	PK%
Team Stats	2.31	3.31	14.63	67.44	Team Stats	3.79	3.21	22.45	81.25

Oilers Offensive Outlook

5v5 (adj) (13 games): 71.23 CF/60 (2) | 60.84 CA/60 (10) | 3.01 xGF/60 (1) | 2.26 xGA/60 (19)

The Oilers are working through some things right now. They have all kinds of signs pointing towards an offensive breakout — one of the best xGF/60 numbers, a strong possession number, great shot generation — but the results haven’t exactly been there.

Tonight they’ll head east and start a road trip in Brooklyn. The Islanders have been improving defensively over the past two weeks and now sport respectable numbers, especially their expected goals allowed at 5v5. Goaltending has been an issue, so the door is cracked open for the Oilers to come through.

Lines could be shaken up a bit here to try and jumpstart the offense. The problem, of course, isn’t the top line, although Connor McDavid will make a strong linemate out of just about anyone. He should continue to skate with Leon Draisaitl and Patrick Maroon. The Islanders don’t always try to match their scoring lines against the opposition, but there should still be a fair amount of McDavid vs Tavares here. McDavid is mostly matchup proof, so while the draw isn’t ideal, it’s nothing to shy away from on its own. In fact, this could be one of the rare nights where McDavid comes with reasonable ownership. The trade off for the slightly subpar 5v5 matchup is facing a struggle New York netminder.

Ryan Strome will make his return to Brooklyn coming off a solid outing from a few nights ago with linemates Drake Caggiula and Jussi Jokinen. It could be argued that this line has more upside than the “second” line of Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic, and whomever fills in for Kailer Yamamoto. Though the numbers point to some better days ahead for the Edmonton offense, on paper tonight’s matchup isn’t a great spot to see results.

Oilers Special Teams Outlook
The Islanders have been right around the middle of the road in terms of going shorthanded this year. When they have played a man or two down, they are right near the league median in shot attempts and scoring chances allowed. They have really done a good job limiting the high-danger shot attempts allowed to opposing power plays, however, ranking just third from the bottom in terms of lowest HDCA/60. Edmonton has been quite strong on the power play so far this year, posting rates in the top ten in shot attempts and scoring chances generated. Unfortunately they have been one of the league’s worst teams at drawing penalties. Add it all up, and it’s a neutral matchup when things shake out.