Rams vs. Lions Player Props: Top NFL Picks for Kupp, Goff, and Stafford
What kind of performances can we expect during the Wild Card round from Cooper Kupp, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for today – Sunday, January 14, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.
Sunday Night Football this week features a postseason matchup with no shortage of storylines between the Los Angeles Rams and Detroit Lions. Matthew Stafford will return home to where he spent the first 12 years of his career. Jared Goff will get to host a playoff game against the franchise that decided to move on from him as their starting quarterback.
Ahead of kickoff in this Wild Card matchup, the Lions are favored by 3 points on the spread. The over/under is set at 53 points.
If looking to wager on the player prop market instead of a side or total today, we have three prop leans for today’s matchup between the Rams and Lions!
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Rams vs. Lions NFL Player Props – Wild Card Round
- Cooper Kupp OVER 5.5 Receptions
- Jared Goff OVER 258.5 Passing Yards
- Matthew Stafford OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Cooper Kupp OVER 5.5 Receptions (-150), FanDuel
Cooper Kupp has dealt with a number of injuries this season, but he seems to finally be healthy heading into the postseason. In his final five regular season games, Kupp had at least 6 receptions four times, with the lone exception coming in Week 17 against the Giants on the road. Detroit’s secondary unit has been abysmal all season, ranking 23rd in DVOA against top receivers and 20th in DVOA against second options in the opponent’s passing game. Kupp should be plenty busy on Sunday in what is expected to be a high-scoring affair. Bettors can also play Kupp at OVER 6.5 receptions at other sportsbooks if looking for a ladder or plus-money opportunity.
Jared Goff OVER 258.5 Passing Yards (-110), FanDuel
In 8 home games during the regular season, Jared Goff had at least 272 passing yards five times and never fewer than 236 passing yards. He has long been known for his ability to play at a high level at home, and that should manifest itself again on Sunday in a favorable matchup against the Rams. Los Angeles went 7-1 after their bye week, but they ranked only 13th in defensive EPA/play during the 7 games that their starters played. During that stretch, they allowed more than 300 passing yards to Tyrod Taylor, Derek Carr, and Lamar Jackson – none of whom are decidedly better throwing the football in a dome than Goff. This market number is simply too low here.
Matthew Stafford OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-136), FanDuel
Matthew Stafford had a slow start to 2023, but he turned on the jets during the second-half of the campaign after his weapons returned to full health. From Week 12 to Week 17, Stafford posted a 15-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio, with fewer than 1 touchdown pass in only one of those 6 games. Among quarterbacks with at least 100 plays in that stretch, Stafford ranked 3rd in EPA/play and 4th in success rate – both indicators that he was playing at a high level. Detroit’s run defense has been among the best in the NFL in recent weeks, making it more likely that the Rams are going to be scoring through the air than on the ground in this matchup.
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