MLB Daily Grind Down May 18th Night Games Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Detroit at Texas
| Detroit | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Anibal Sanchez – (4-3), 2.05 ERA, 11.38 K/9, 1.08 WHIP | Justin Grimm – (2-3), 4.28 ERA, 9.22 K/9, 1.49 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (16-45 H/AB) 0.356 BA-A, 20 K%, 1.111 OPS-A | PvB | (6-8 H/AB) 0.75 BA-A, 0 K%, 2 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 1.82 ERA, 1 HRA, 8.8 K/9, 1.257 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 2.84 ERA, 1 HRA, 12.8 K/9, 1.342 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
DET BvP  | DET vs R | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored DET -121
Pitchers
- Home Justin Grimm has no chance against this offense. He can be a decent matchup play but DET is too good and his K/9 is too low so even if he holds them to 3 or 4 runs, he turns out to be a wasted play. Holding DET to 3 or 4 runs is a good outing! DET is batting .256 on the road, .283 versus right-handers, and .264 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away I think the high OU in this game has more to do with the way Yu Darvish and Justin Verlander pitched two nights ago than it does with how Anibal Sanchez is pitching. Sanchex has been awesome. His 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP are elite and his K/9 has been high as well. TEX has a .356 BAA vs. him but he is pitching at a totally different level this year. He is risky to take in this ballpark but his upside is leaps and bounds greater than any other pitcher going today. TEX is batting .277 at home, .265 vs. right-handers, and .278 over the last 7 days. Target
Batters
- Home Lance Berkman, Nelson Cruz, David Murphy, and Geovany Soto all have positive BvPs. Adrian Beltre has been red hot producing 38.75 fp over the last 7 days. Mitch Moreland has produced 31.25 fp over the last 7 also.
- Away There is no BvP data but consider every Tiger in play in this park.
San Francisco at Colorado
| San Francisco | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Tim Lincecum – (3-2), 4.07 ERA, 9.71 K/9, 1.38 WHIP | Juan Nicasio – (3-1), 5.13 ERA, 6.06 K/9, 1.41 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (82-298 H/AB) 0.275 BA-A, 21.48 K%, 0.802 OPS-A | PvB | (5-23 H/AB) 0.217 BA-A, 13.04 K%, 0.739 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 4.5 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.4 K/9, 1.636 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 5.02 ERA, 4 HRA, 8.2 K/9, 1.186 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 10.5
- Favored SFO -116
Pitchers
After watching Matt Cain and Madison Bumgarner get hammered the last two nights. I have no faith in any pitcher in COL. A good game could happen. Lincecum had a nice outing in COL a year ago but it is too risky of a bet. I know it is a short day but look elsewhere for arms.
Batters
- Home Everyone has positive BvPs versus Tim. Carlos Gonzalez has been hot producing 35 fp over the last 7 days but consider everyone in play today.
- Away The BvPs are low and Chatwood is not that bad but everyone is in play in a game that has a 10.5 OU. Pablo Sandoval, Brandon Belt, Marco Scutaro, Hunter Pence, and Buster Posey have all produced over 20 fp in the last 7 days. Brandon Crawford has the best BvPs versus Chatwood.
Washington at San Diego
| Washington | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Jordan Zimmermann – (7-1), 1.69 ERA, 6.03 K/9, 0.87 WHIP | Eric Stults – (3-3), 4.57 ERA, 6.19 K/9, 1.41 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (0-2 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 2.05 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 0.636 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 5.87 ERA, 3 HRA, 7 K/9, 1.435 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs L | SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored WAS -128
Pitchers
- Home The low OU in this game makes me think that Eric Stults could be a nice against the grain GPP play today. There are not that many games going so his low K/9 is not that big of an issue. He has not pitched particularly well but WAS has not been hitting the ball all that great either. WAS is batting .223 on the road, .194 versus left-handers, and .216 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Jordan Zimmermann does not get enough Ks or we would be talking about him in the same breath as Justin Verlander and Yu Darvish. His low K/9 is not that big of a deal tonight because the short schedule limits our number of options. All of his other numbers are stellar and he faces a very poor hitting SDG team. SDG is batting.239 on the road, .246 versus right-handers and .234 over the last 7 days. Target
Batters
- Home I cannot recommend anyone from SDG in this game. Best of luck if you want to play the fade.
- Away Adam LaRoche and Ryan Zimmerman have both been hot producing around 30 fp over the last 7 days. Both gain the splits in their favor and hit HRs yesterday. Zimmerman is batting .409 versus left-handed pitching.
Kansas City at Oakland
| Kansas City | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 9:07 PM | ||||||
| Ervin Santana – (3-2), 2.79 ERA, 7.3 K/9, 1.1 WHIP | Tommy Milone – (3-5), 3.71 ERA, 7.94 K/9, 1.18 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (33-132 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 21.97 K%, 0.758 OPS-A | PvB | (8-38 H/AB) 0.211 BA-A, 10.53 K%, 0.658 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 4.26 ERA, 3 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.053 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 2.63 ERA, 5 HRA, 8.2 K/9, 0.988 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| KCR BvP | KCR vs L | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored OAK -128
Pitchers
- Home Tommy Milone is a 2.63 pitcher at home. He has ben consistant all year and is a solid option today given the fact that there is not many good options going. He has held KAN to a .211 BAA. KAN is batting .269 on the road, .286 versus left-handers, and .257 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Ervin Santana is another pitcher who just is not the same on the road. Do not let his 2.79 ERA fool you today. He has been a 4.26 pitcher on the road this year. He gets a bump from the pitcher’s park and OAK is slumping so he is playable. Just do not think of him as a lock. OAK is batting .232 at home, .229 versus right-handers, and .215 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home I am surprised that Josh Donaldson price remains low on some sites. He has produced 25 fp over the last 7 days and these numbers are on par with his season’s production. John Jaso is 7-14 versus Santana. He should return to the LU tonight. Yoenis Cespedes has 2 HRs in 6 AB versus him.
- Away Billy Butler has been hot producing 30 fp over the last 7 days. He draws a left-hander today and he has hit left-handers well over his career. The low Ou makes me think to look elsewhere for offense outside of this pitcher’s park but Alex Gordan is producing an a nice option if you can afford him. the lefty is batting .424 versus left-handed pitching.