Astros vs. Nationals World Series Game 4 Betting Picks and Odds

The Houston Astros walked into Nationals Park Friday night and stole the first ever World Series game played in the nation’s capital to regain a little momentum in the series. Now trailing the Nationals 2-1, the Astros look to even the series Saturday night. Jose Urquidy is set to open Game 4 for Houston in what figures to be a bullpen game for them. Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Nationals. Here’s a breakdown and betting picks for Game 4 of the World Series.

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Astros vs. Nationals World Series Game 4 Betting Picks and Odds

  • Total Runs: 8.5

Winning game 3 allows the Astros the luxury of bullpen-ing their way through Game 4 rather than turning to Gerrit Cole on short rest in a do-or-die situation. It’ll be interesting to watch how manager AJ Hinch maneuvers his way through the potent Nationals lineup with all of the bullpen arms at his disposal, especially because he had to use four of these arms Friday night. It’s worth noting that the four guys who saw action in Game 3 pitched well surrendering only 2 hits and striking out 7 in 4.2 innings. However, the fact that the Nationals’ bats just saw these guys a day ago may play to their advantage in Game 4.

For Washington, the approach will be more conventional on the mound as Patrick Corbin gets his first start since Game 4 of the NLCS on October 15. Corbin has only had one inning of work since coming in the first game of this series. He’ll be well rested and poised to go deep into this ballgame. However, rust may also play a factor given the long layoff between starts. The Astros could jump on Corbin before he settles in if he isn’t sharp in the beginning.

Because of this, I like Over 8.5 runs. If Corbin does indeed struggle to find a rhythm, the Astros could put up a crooked number in the early innings. On the flip side, their bullpen doesn’t feel very imposing compared to the fire power the Nats possess. Game 3 was relatively low scoring, but each team had plenty of opportunities to score runs as they combined to leave 42 runners on base. If the same situations arise in Game 4 look for both teams to capitalize more often.

As for a winner, I’m leaning towards the Nationals to win and win big. While I think Corbin may be vulnerable early, I can see him settling in and holding off the Astros enough to allow his offense to pull away late. The Astros bullpen is not scary and the Nationals just saw five of the arms a game ago. Will Harris pitched 1.2 innings and it remains to be seen how much he’ll have in the tank for game 4. If Corbin can be competitive, I like the Nationals run line -1.5 at +175.

World Series Game 4 — Player Props

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Monkey Knife Fight Plays

Monkey Knife Fight offers several fun player prop bets for this game. For example, you can win 3x your buy-in for correctly picking the Over/Under on strikeouts for both starting pitchers. Urquidy’s is set at 4.5. To me, this is an easy under because his innings maybe limited. Corbin’s total is set at 6.5. In his last start against the Cardinals, he struck out 12 over 5 innings of work. If he can go deeper into this game, which is definitely plausible given his rest, he can eclipse the 6.5 strikeout mark.

Another one I like is the Home Run Derby challenge. For 2x my buy-in, I chose Alex Bregman, Juan Soto, and Anthony Rendon to combine for at least one home run. I know Bregman has struggled lately. He’s now 1-13 in this World Series after going 0-5 on Friday night. However, he’s just too good of a player to keep down for long. He’s one of the leading AL MVP candidates for a reason. It’s worth noting that his one hit in this series is in fact a home run. With a lefty on the mound for the Nats, this is as good a game as any for him to bust out of his slump. I don’t think I need to plead my case for the other two picks. We all know the power they possess. Juan Soto has been spectacular this entire postseason and especially in this World Series. Anthony Rendon is as clutch a player as any on either side in this one. I’m confident in at least one of these players to put one in the seats on Saturday night.

About the Author

  • Tyler Poda (tpodattu)

  • Tyler, a senior journalism student at Texas Tech University, is a Writing Intern for RotoGrinders-Sports Betting. Before attending Texas Tech, Tyler played college baseball. He enjoys betting on sports almost as much as he enjoys writing about them.

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