MLB Daily Grind Down April 27th Part 3
Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox
| Tampa Bay | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Matt Moore – (4-0), 1.04 ERA, 10.04 K/9, 0.92 WHIP | Gavin Floyd – (0-3), 4.98 ERA, 10.19 K/9, 1.62 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (5-34 H/AB) 0.147 BA-A, 0.38 K%, 0.471 OPS-A | PvB | (29-123 H/AB) 0.236 BA-A, 0.21 K%, 0.813 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-0), 1.5 ERA, 1 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.25 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 2.25 ERA, 0 HRA, 8.3 K/9, 0.917 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
TBR BvP  | TBR vs R | CHW BvP | CHW vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored TAM -125
Pitchers
- Home Gavin Floyd gets enough Ks to be a factor. He is pitching as well as you can expect. The problem is that the CHW offense is simply not producing right now so you have no reason to think he can get you the win versus a hot pitcher. Avoid
- Away If Matt Moore can shutdown a then hot NYY team then he should have no problems mowing through this ice cold CHW team. Moore is dominating and is a perfect 4-0 on the season with a 1.04 ERA 0.92 WHIP and 29 Ks. Target
Batters
- Home Hot pitcher + and ice cold team…….the BvPs favor Moore. Look away.
- Away Ben Zobrist and Kelly Johnson have the best BvPs vs. Floyd. Matt Joyce has been hot and draws the lefty/righty matchup again today.
Colorado at Arizona
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeff Francis – (1-2), 8.44 ERA, 9 K/9, 2.25 WHIP | Wade Miley – (2-0), 2.77 ERA, 7.96 K/9, 1.08 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (19-62 H/AB) 0.306 BA-A, 0.1 K%, 0.855 OPS-A | PvB | (25-93 H/AB) 0.269 BA-A, 0.19 K%, 0.731 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 21.6 ERA, 0 HRA, 10.8 K/9, 5.4 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 2.7 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs L | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored ARI -170
Pitchers
- Home Wade Miley was a great pitcher at home a year ago. He has started off the season strong, He takes the hill as the huge favorite against a COL team that is hot as well. He should get the win but the high OU means it probably will not be clean.
- Away Jeff Francis used to be horrible at home and okay on the road. He is still horrible at home so far this year but has been even worse on the road. ARI is not a park that favors pitchers. You do not want to be struggling on the road there. Avoid
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt at home versus a lefty is an automatic play. Miguel Montero has positive BvPs also.
- Away Dexter Fowler has nice BvPs versus Miley. I also like the hot bat of Troy Tulowitzki versus the left-hander.
San Francisco at San Diego
| San Francisco | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Barry Zito – (3-1), 3.42 ERA, 6.59 K/9, 1.27 WHIP | Eric Stults – (2-2), 4.7 ERA, 6.65 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (34-130 H/AB) 0.262 BA-A, 0.18 K%, 0.708 OPS-A | PvB | (32-92 H/AB) 0.348 BA-A, 0.12 K%, 0.924 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 30.38 ERA, 2 HRA, 16.9 K/9, 3.75 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 7.2 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.2 K/9, 1.6 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs L | SDP BvP | SDP vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored SFO -125
Pitchers
- Home Eric Stults has been owned by this SFO team. They have a 3.48 BAA vs. him. He has not pitched all that well to start the season and his low K/9 are unattractive also. Avoid
- Away Barry Zito has 5 more days until his April magic wears off and we can began to target him again as a pitcher to stack against. For whatever reason, he has been a force at the start of the season over the last few years. It is hard not to like him today against a SD team struggling to score runs. Target
Batters
- Home SD is just not producing points right now. The only way I take any of them is if I take all of them and that’s only on the chance that Zito bombs.
- Away Buster Posey has been the Giants hottest hitter and he destroyed lefties a year ago. He is 5-9 with1 HR vs. Stults. Pablo Sandoval is a whopping 8-13 vs. him as well.
LA Angels at Seattle
| LA Angels | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 9:10 PM | ||||||
| Joe Blanton – (0-3), 7.84 ERA, 3.56 K/9, 2.08 WHIP | Felix Hernandez – (2-2), 2.08 ERA, 9.74 K/9, 1.01 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (24-88 H/AB) 0.273 BA-A, 0.19 K%, 0.67 OPS-A | PvB | (71-298 H/AB) 0.238 BA-A, 0.22 K%, 0.674 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 7.45 ERA, 5 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 1.862 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 2.45 ERA, 1 HRA, 10.4 K/9, 1.159 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SEA -170
Pitchers
- Home Felix Hernandez might not be CC at home but he is pretty good as well. He takes the hill as the huge favorite tonight but I am not sure he is worth the price today. LAA has not produced that many runs in SEA but they are a potent offense and at Felix’s price you need to be sure that he can get you the win, He certainly is playable but not a sure thing.
- Away Joe Blanton has given up at least 4 ER in his first 4 starts. He takes his show to SEA which should help but nothing can help a 2.08 WHIP that much. He has only 8 Ks on the year in 4 starts and faces a tough opponent. Avoid
Batters
- Home Kyle Seager has been the most productive daily fantasy player in baseball over the last 7 days. Kendrys Morales is on a nice little run and also the super cheap Justin Smoak who gets the splits in his favor today.
- Away Mike Trout has hit Felix very well to start his career. Mark Trumbo ‘s numbers are good also. Both have been really hot if you are fading Hernandez.
Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
| Milwaukee | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 9:10 PM | ||||||
| Wily Peralta – (1-1), 5.16 ERA, 5.27 K/9, 1.54 WHIP | Stephen Fife – (0-0), 7.71 ERA, 10.71 K/9, 1.71 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 2.7 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | HOME | NO DATA | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIL BvP | MIL vs R | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored LAD -130
Pitchers
- Home Stephen Fife got hit pretty hard in his first start of the year. The 5 Ks over 4.2 ER are something to look at but the only 82 pitches thrown are an indicator to me that he has limited upside. He is the favorite tonight vs. a MIL team batting only .235 on the road and .222 over the last 7 days.
- Away Wily Peralta is not producing enough IPs are Ks to be anything more than a matchup play. He is not pitching well and goes up against a Dodger team turning it up as of late. Avoid
Batters
- Home Matt Kemp has produced 31.3 fp over the last week. He is still cheap from his slump so I am playing him everyday until his price elevates. Mark ellis has also ben hot and I like the lefty/righty matchup for Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford today.
- Away I’m not thrilled about the Brewers on the road in a pitcher’s park but the young arm does not scare me away from them either. Jean Segura, Ryan Braun and Yuniesky Betancourt have been producing well for them.