MLB Daily Grind Down May 30th Night Games
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
There was only 4 day games but it was enough to be playable. Today almost feels like a Saturday. We have 11 games for a nice sized slice of action in decent sized GPPs for this evening. Tonight, features a pair of highly touted rookies making their first starts and a few other guys trying to regain composure. Should be an interesting evening at the SP position. Here is Today’s Daily Grind Down to get you ready for your practice run for Friday night, otherwise known as Thursday
Boston at Philadelphia
| Boston | Philadelphia | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizens Bank Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Franklin Morales – | Jonathan Pettibone – (3-0), 3 ERA, 5.25 K/9, 1.306 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (6-28 H/AB) 0.214 BA-A, 21.43 K%, 0.714 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (2-0), 2.13 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.066 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
BOS BvP  | BOS vs R | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored BOS -155
Pitchers
- Home Jonathan Pettibone is the huge underdog in this game and has limited upside to begin with. While he has yet to allow more than 3 runs in a start, He has not had a clean start either. He is struggling with the long ball but has been good at home with a 2.13 ERA. BOS is batting .255 on the road, .277 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. They rank 3rd in runs scored and have the 3rd most Ks in the league. Avoid
- Away A year ago, Franklin Morales was a force on the road with a 2.66 road ERA. He is a K per inning guy. Hard to know what to expect from him in his first start on the year but he is worth a look in GPPs with that kind of upside. PHI is batting .248 at home, .255 versus right-handers, and .244 over the last 7 days. They rank 27th in runs scored and 14th fewest Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Domonic Brown has been red hot with 36.5 fp over the last week. He is also batting .310 versus left-handers Frandsen, Revere, and Ruis are all batting over .300 versus left-handers as well. Morales could struggle with control in his first start so I would consider everyone playable.
- Away Stephen Drew, Daniel Nava, Dustin Pedroia and Jacoby Elisbury have all been hot over the last 7 days. David Ortiz is batting .387 versus right-handed pitching and should get the start today at first base.
Detroit at Pittsburgh
| Detroit | Pittsburgh | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Doug Fister – (5-1), 3.62 ERA, 7.14 K/9, 1.273 WHIP | Jeff Locke – (4-1), 2.73 ERA, 5.52 K/9, 1.169 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (12-41 H/AB) 0.293 BA-A, 26.83 K%, 0.732 OPS-A | PvB | (1-4 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 0 K%, 0.75 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 4.23 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 1.482 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 3.58 ERA, 5 HRA, 5.2 K/9, 1.337 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| DET BvP | DET vs L | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored DET -125
Pitchers
- Home Jeff Locke has been on a nice little run and the OU of this game is very low but you would have to be a fool to take him today versus DET even at home. His 5.98 K/9 ratio is simply too low to offset the damage DET will most likely do against him and he is not favored to get the win. DET is batting .262 on the road, .286 versus left-handers, and .278 over the last 7 days. They rank 2nd in runs scored and have the 6th fewest Ks in the league. Avoid
- Away Doug Fister is a very solid play at home. He is a very average play on the road with a 4.38 road ERA. He has a solid K/9 ratio and that number should get a bump from PIT. He is slated to get the win so he is playable just do not expect for it to be a clean start. PIT is batting 244 at home, .245 versus right-handers, and .227 over the last 7 days. They rank 19th in runs scored and have the 8th most Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Andrew McCuthchen went 3-3 versus Fister the last time he faced him. He has a .346 home batting average also and is hot producing 24.25 fp over the last 7 days. Neil walker has been hotter producing 34.75 fp. Jose Tabata is batting .321 versus right-handed pitching
- Away Miguel Cabrera has come back down to earth but he is still producing 24.75 fp over the last week, which is more than most players produce when they hot. He is batting .405 versus left-handers. Johnny Peralta is batting .435 versus left-handers also. Mark Tulasosopo should get the start today if you are looking for value. Omar Infante normally bats in the 2 hole versus left-handers also and hits them well.
Washington at Baltimore
| Washington | Baltimore | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Yards | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Dan Haren – (4-5), 5.54 ERA, 6.47 K/9, 1.437 WHIP | Freddy Garcia – (0-2), 4.84 ERA, 3.26 K/9, 1.086 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (40-138 H/AB) 0.29 BA-A, 23.19 K%, 0.819 OPS-A | PvB | (6-42 H/AB) 0.143 BA-A, 23.81 K%, 0.333 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-4), 6.04 ERA, 8 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.306 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 5.74 ERA, 5 HRA, 3.4 K/9, 1.277 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs R | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored BAL -135
Pitchers
- Home Freddy Garcia has been okay on the year but he is not pitching well at home where he has a 5.74 ERA. Was is hitting the ball well lately so I do not think you can take a player with only 9 Ks in 5 starts against them. WAS is batting .218 on the road, .244 versus right-handers and .281 over the last 7 days with 10 HRs. They rank 26th in runs scored and have recorded the 7th most Ks.
- Away I think one of the biggest mistakes you can make in daily fantasy is being to slow to adjust. Dan Haren is not the same pitcher that he once was. It is time to accept that. The 10 Ks he recorded in his last start where nice but he still gave up 3 ER to PHI team ranked 27th in runs scored and lasted only 6.1 IP. His road ERA is dismal 6.03. BAL is a much tougher draw. They are batting .267 at home, .287 versus right-handers, and .333 over the last 7 days with 19 HRs. Yikes! They rank 1st in run scored and have recorded the 3rd fewest Ks. Avoid
Batters
- Home BAL has a .290 BAA versus Haren so there are positive BvPs to be had by almost everyone. . Chris Davis is out of this world hot with 52 fp over the last 7 days. Nick Markakis has recorded 31.5 fp. Adam Jones, J.J. Hardy, Manny Machado and Matt Wieters have all been hot as well so……….Ladies and Gentlemen start your BAL stacks!!!!
- Away Adam LaRoche has been ridiculously hot with 39 fp over the last 7 days. Ryan Zimmerman has been hot as well with 27.5 fp. Roger Bernadina should get the start again for the injured Bryce Harper if you are looking for value.
Cincinnati at Cleveland
| Cincinnati | Cleveland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Field | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Homer Bailey – (2-3), 3.09 ERA, 8.52 K/9, 1.119 WHIP | Scott Kazmir – (2-2), 6.35 ERA, 9.61 K/9, 1.637 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-53 H/AB) 0.245 BA-A, 20.75 K%, 0.83 OPS-A | PvB | (8-24 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 1 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 3.78 ERA, 4 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.17 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 4.8 ERA, 2 HRA, 11.4 K/9, 1.333 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CIN BvP | CIN vs L | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored CIN -130
Pitchers
- Home I was lucky enough to catch Scott Kazmir on his 10 K day. That also means that I have been unlucky enough to catch him in every start since then. He has held left-handed hitters to a .212 BAA. CIN is a heavily left-handed team so I might be willing to take one last ride on him in a GPP as a high risk/reward play. In Play
- Away Unless they are a truly elite player or they are facing a horrible team, I do not like taking pitcher on the road. Homer Bailey is having a great year but I would not be quick to classify him as elite. He faces a tough CLE team that is batting .258 at home, .253 versus right-handers, and .261 over the last 7 days. They rank 5th in runs scored and have recorded the 5th most Ks in the league. Not many players of his level today, however, so he is worth a gamble. In play
Batters
- Home Offense seems to come from up a down CLE’s LU. Michael Bourn ‘s .346 home batting average is worth special note but I think everyone is playable but I do not recommend a load. They should get to Bailey a little but not a lot.
- Away Kazmir is allowing right-handers to hit .327 versus him so Brandon Phillips looks really attractive today but all the right-handed bats are playable. Joey Votto is batting .293 versus left-handers and his talent could easily win out vs. the struggling pitcher. Votto and Phillips have both been hot.
NY Mets at NY Yankees
| NY Mets | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Dillon Gee – (2-5), 6.04 ERA, 6.72 K/9, 1.765 WHIP | Vidal Nuno – (1-1), 1.13 ERA, 5.63 K/9, 1.375 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (12-38 H/AB) 0.316 BA-A, 13.16 K%, 1 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 9.97 ERA, 6 HRA, 6.6 K/9, 2.354 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 0 ERA, 0 HRA, 6 K/9, 1.333 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| NYM BvP | NYM vs L | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored NYY -165
Pitchers
- Home Vidal Nuno has pitched well in his two spot starts on the year. I think he gets the win today and pitches well again simply because I do not think the Mets will sweep the Yankees and their bats typically are not as good as they have been the last two days. He is unplayable in a single pitcher format because of the lack of Ks but might be worth the risk in a multiple pitcher format if he is super cheap. NYM is batting .215 at home, .223 versus left-handers, and .249 over the last 7 days. They rank 22nd in runs scored and have recorded the 6th most Ks in the league. In Play
- Away There a pitchers that have been bad on year but there are few that have been worse than Dillon Gee. His 6.34 ERA and 1.73 WHIP are beyond what you would call horrible. Add to that the fact that NYY has a .316 BAA vs. him as a team and you have an explosive scenario. NYY is batting .255 on the road, .255 versus right-handers, and .246 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Don’t worry about the mules. Just load the wagon!!! Brett Gardner and Lyle Overbay have been hot and are playable either way. Robinson Cano is batting .333 versus right-handers.
- Away David Wright is finally heating up and gains the traditional splits in his favor today. John Buck is worth a look also as is Marlon Byrd in a game that’s OU is so high.
