MLB Daily Grind Down: Monday, July 22nd

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-22 19:25:38

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

It is great Monday today with 14 games on the docket. Should be plantey of action tonight. There are quite a few bad arms going tonight which means that it will probably be a high scoring evening. Here is today’s Daily Grind Down to help get you ready.
Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

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Pittsburgh vs. Washington

7:05 PM	Pittsburgh – ROAD					Washington – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.697	22.10%	0.54		0.241	0.686	21.00%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.243	0.697	21.70%	0.41		0.249	0.706	21.10%	0.44
SP STATS	Morton – RHP					Haren – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.26	3.19	6.39	7.67		1.42	5.61	7.84	7.76
LAST 14 DAYS	1.31	4.15	6.92	8.50		1.27	1.64	11.45	11.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PIT vs R		PIT BvP			WSN vs R		WSN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – WAS -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Dan Haren has looked pretty good in July so far but those 2 starts were against MIA and PHI and they were on the road. His home ERA is 6.62. He is still maintaining a high K/9 but the 19 HR in 17 starts is too big of a problem and he is allowing opponents a .324 BAA versus him at home. PIT is batting .239 on the road, .243 versus right-handers and .243 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Charlie Morton has been serviceable since joining the rotation. He is not a huge K guy and I am not sure he is worth the risk on the road today against a rejuvenated Nationals team. WAS is batting .263 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .255 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jayson Werth has 2 HRs since the start of the second half. Bryce Harper and Denard Span are both batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Andrew McCutchen is 5-12 since the start of the second half with 2 HRs. Garrett Jones is off to a hot start as well going 4-9 with 2 HRs. Both of those players hit right-handers at a high clip. There is a high chance that Haren does not pitch well so consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 7

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LA Dodgers vs. Toronto

7:07 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.261	0.712	18.10%	0.54		0.252	0.732	18.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.260	0.709	18.10%	0.42		0.250	0.696	17.50%	0.43
SP STATS	Ryu – LHP					Johnson – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.26	3.09	7.20	10.96		1.50	5.16	9.12	8.26
LAST 14 DAYS	1.43	5.40	4.82	7.10		1.22	5.00	9.00	8.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs R		LAD BvP			TOR vs L		TOR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – TOR -115

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Josh Johnson gets the slight nod today in this game but he has been far too erratic. He has been much better at home with a 3.67 ERA and his still averaging over a K per inning on the year so the upside is there for him if you want to gamble. LAD is batting .268 on the road, .263 versus right-handers, and .267 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Hyun-Jin Ryu has been a very average pitcher on the road. He is fantastic at home which means his price is too high for him today in TOR but he has upside and I would take him over Johnson if I had to make a play in this game. TOR is batting .258 at home, .251 versus left-handers, and .225 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, and Jose Reyes have all come out of the break hot. All 3 hit left-handers very well. I also think Brett Lawrie could be a sneaky play RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Hanley Ramirez has come out of the break hot going 6-13 with 2 HRs. LAD as a team owns a sick .370 BAA versus Johnson so consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 6

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Atlanta vs. NY Mets

7:10 PM	Atlanta – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.737	22.80%	0.60		0.235	0.680	22.30%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.748	22.90%	0.50		0.234	0.679	22.20%	0.42
SP STATS	Teheran – RHP					Gee – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.23	3.35	7.49	10.72		1.44	4.32	7.28	9.16
LAST 14 DAYS	1.51	4.58	6.80	8.40		1.39	3.10	5.37	9.70
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ATL vs R		ATL BvP			NYM vs R		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – ATL -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Dillon Gee has been fantastic at home on the year with a 2.83 ERA. His upside should get a boost today from an ATL team that is 2nd in the league in Ks but be careful because this team has already hung him for 2 loses on the year. ATL is batting .245 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Julio Teheran is the favorite in this matchup and for good reason. He has been pitching very well on the year and his numbers do not take much of a dip on the road. It only helps things that he is going against a Mets team that has struggled to score runs all year. NYM is batting .242 at home, .234 versus right-handers and .278 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Wright, Marlon Byrd and Juan Legares have been hot coming out of the break. Left-handers are batting .291 versus Teheran so a few of them might be worth a shot today. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away Gee is allowing left-handers to bat .322 versus him so that spells good news for Heyward, Freeman and McCann. Heyward is 8-19 with 1 HR versus Gee. Justin Upton, Chris Johnson, and Freddie Freeman ‘s BvPs are positive as well. RG Stack Rating 5

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Tampa Bay vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Tampa Bay – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.261	0.749	18.20%	0.64		0.277	0.793	20.60%	0.70
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.729	18.10%	0.48		0.255	0.723	22.20%	0.44
SP STATS	Moore – LHP					Workman – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.29	3.44	9.08	11.90		0.86	5.40	10.00	6.05
LAST 14 DAYS	0.84	1.31	11.14	18.07		0.86	5.40	10.00	6.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TBR vs R		TBR BvP			BOS vs L		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – TAM -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Matt Moore is having a great year. This BOS team is the league’s highest scoring offense but he has had ton of success versus them. He is holding left-handed batters to a .209 BAA and most of BOS best hitters are lefties. Plus, BOS Ks at a high rate so there is upside in the play. BOS is batting .263 on the road, .257 versus left-handers, and .243 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away Brandon Workman has a pretty high ERA but his WHIP is extremely low. TAM is tough draw but he offers a lot of upside for a near basement price so he is worth a look today. TAM is batting .266 at home, .250 versus right-handers and .312 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home TAM has been firing on all cylinder since the break. Production comes from up and down the LU so nayone of these guys could be a good selection. Will Meyers and James Loney are both batting over .300 versus right handers RG Stack Rating 6

• Away BOS as a team has a .209 BAA versus Moore. David Ortiz has the only positive set of BvPs with 5-11 line. Jonny Gomes should get the start and makes a great value play. RG Stack Rating 3

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NY Yankees vs. Texas

8:05 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.684	19.60%	0.54		0.260	0.739	17.30%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.246	0.699	19.40%	0.42		0.264	0.756	17.30%	0.49
SP STATS	Nova – RHP					Darvish – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.29	3.63	9.35	10.10		1.05	3.02	11.86	14.89
LAST 14 DAYS	0.65	1.59	9.00	19.50		1.67	7.50	9.00	7.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TEX -180

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I think the OU for this game is higher than it should be. Yu Darvish has been fantastic on the year and NYY has been struggling offensively. If you can make him work in your Lu then you should feel safe playing him. NYY is batting .242 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Ivan Nova is having a quietly good year. He has not been good on the road with a 5.51 ERA and TEX can be an unforgiving park. His K/9 is 9.35 on the year so the upside is there for him. I think he could be a nice against the grain GPP play if you are not taking Darvish. TEX is batting .268 at home, .264 versus right-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home TEX offense is overrated and overpriced. The have been consistently hitting the under all year. The only peak my interest when I seem them facing a left-hander. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away If you are playing the fade then Robinson Cano and Ichiro Suzuki have positive BvPs versus Darvish. RG Stack Rating 1

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