MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, August 17th, Part Two

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-17 18:30:02

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Colorado vs. Baltimore

7:05 PM	Colorado – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.262	0.734	19.80%	0.60		0.265	0.757	18.30%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.265	0.751	20.00%	0.49		0.275	0.785	17.90%	0.53
SP STATS	Bettis – RHP					Norris – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.38	5.06	3.38	4.33		1.39	3.78	6.61	9.17
LAST 14 DAYS	1.38	5.06	3.38	4.33		1.24	2.65	7.94	11.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	COL vs R		COL BvP			BAL vs R		BAL BvP

Batter Grind Down

• Home RG Stack Rating

• Away RG Stack Rating

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – BAL -190

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Bud Norris left his last start early with back tightness. He made a relief appearance after that. There are too many red flags for me today to consider taking him even though he is the heavy favorite. COL is batting .246 on the road, .266 versus right-handers, and .314 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away If I need to tell you not to take Chad Bettis with his very low K/9, high ERA and mid 80s pitch count against the league’s 4th highest scoring offense at home then you need to stop playing daily fantasy right now. BAL is batting .256 at home, .271 versus right-handers, and .241 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Stack em! A hot left-handed Chris Davis is your best play if you can afford him! RG Stack Rating

• Away Norris is allowing left-handers to bat .302 versus him. Helton, Blackmon and Dickerson are your best bets. Dexter Fowler has been hot over the last 7 days with 27.5 fp. RG Stack Rating 6

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LA Dodgers vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.266	0.724	18.40%	0.56		0.253	0.704	19.90%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.269	0.726	18.20%	0.43		0.238	0.695	21.00%	0.42
SP STATS	Kershaw – LHP					Kendrick – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.87	1.88	8.60	14.48		1.36	4.48	5.40	8.47
LAST 14 DAYS	0.82	1.23	7.36	13.67		2.31	10.22	5.21	3.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs R		LAD BvP			PHI vs L		PHI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – LAD -200

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Do you remember back in May when Kyle Kendricks had numbers that rivaled Kershaw’s? It seems like a lifetime ago. We said his ERA would normalize but it has actually jumped higher than his career average. There is no need to gamble on him versus the Dodgers today. LAD is batting .274 on the road, .272 versus right-handers, and .308 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away It is unreal to me that Clayton Kershaw has a 1.88 ERA at this point in the season. He is the best pitcher in baseball. There is no room for debate. I think you can start to make an argument that this year is as good if not better than Bob Gibson’s 1968 season. There can be an argument made for not taking him today in a single pitcher format but do whatever you need to tonight to fit him into your roster on a multiple pitcher site. PHI is batting .247 at home, .237 versus left-handers, and .186 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

Batter Grind Down

• Home Carlos Ruiz is 5-12 versus Kershaw if you want to play the fade. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away Hanley Ramirez is back from injury and producing. He is 9-33 with 1 HR versus Kendrick. Andre Ethier is 5-19 with 2 HRS. RG Stack Rating 5

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Washington vs. Atlanta

7:10 PM	Washington – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.241	0.687	20.40%	0.52		0.254	0.742	22.20%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.220	0.643	20.70%	0.37		0.257	0.751	22.50%	0.50
SP STATS	Strasburg – RHP					Minor – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.04	2.83	9.43	12.05		1.04	2.87	8.20	12.42
LAST 14 DAYS	0.69	1.13	10.69	18.50		1.00	2.70	6.75	12.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs L		WSN BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6.5

• Favored Team – ATL -112

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Mike Minor takes the hill as the slight favorite in this game. The field is going to be all over this game on both sides of the equation because of the low OU. Minor is the most likely to walk away with the win. Both players have GPP winning upside and offer high upside because people will shy away from the uncertainty of this matchup. WAS is batting .221 on the road, .221 versus left-handers, and .302 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Stephen Strasburg has more upside in this matchup. ATL has recorded the 2nd most Ks on the year and Strasburg is a high K pitcher. It is hard for me to go against Minor today but I will not fault you for making the play that has the highest ceiling. ATL is batting .266 at home, .256 versus right-handers, and .243 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Freddie Freeman, Brian McCann and Jason Heyward have owned Strasburg going a combined 21-54 with 2 HRs. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away If you are playing the fade then Jayson Werth has been very hot with 29.5 fp over the last 7 days, has positive BvPs versus Minor, and hits left-handers for a high average. RG Stack Rating 1

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Cincinnati vs. Milwaukee

7:10 PM	Cincinnati – ROAD					Milwaukee – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.723	20.10%	0.58		0.252	0.707	19.60%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.727	20.20%	0.48		0.249	0.703	19.00%	0.42
SP STATS	Latos – RHP					Gallardo – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.24	3.04	9.00	12.67		1.48	4.91	7.10	8.31
LAST 14 DAYS	0.86	0.00	7.15	17.55
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CIN vs R		CIN BvP			MIL vs R		MIL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – CIN -150

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home When I see a right-hander who got hit hard in back to back starts by CHC and SDG, then I think of it as an obvious avoid against a CIN team that is loaded with quality left-handed bats. Yovani Gallardo is having a rough year and all of his numbers are down. Daily Fantasy is as much about risk management as it is about player projection. let the gamblers roll with Gallardo today. CIN is batting .244 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .201 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away Not to tip my hand but I will be using Mat Latos tonight versus this struggling MIL team. Latos is a better pitcher on the road and he has yet to give up a run in August while maintaining a .179 BAA. What is not to like? MIL is batting .258 at home, .249 versus right-handers, and .275 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home Carlos Gomez is 6-12 with 2 HRs versus Latos if you are playing the fade. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away CIN owns a .302 BAA as a team versus Gallardo. Jay Bruce ‘s 13-32 with2 HRs is the most notable but I think Votto and Choo are both in play. Frazier and Phillips could be sneaky GPP plays also since Gallardo has struggled so much. RG Stack Rating 6

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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota

7:10 PM	Chicago White Sox – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.248	0.678	19.60%	0.51		0.241	0.695	22.00%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.240	0.653	19.70%	0.37		0.247	0.697	22.70%	0.42
SP STATS	Sale – LHP					Albers – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.06	2.73	9.51	14.05		0.41	0.00	2.11	14.55
LAST 14 DAYS	1.33	2.95	7.68	13.37		0.41	0.00	2.11	14.55
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHW vs L		CHW BvP			MIN vs L		MIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – CHW -125

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home After 2 starts in the MLB, Andrew Albers has gone 17.1 IP with 0 ER! He will be a hot play today but I am not buying into him just yet. CHW has been hot lately and I think Albers will come back down to earth. I would not fault you for using him though since he still offers great value. Just be wary of his low K/9. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away I do not see how you cannot use Chris Sale tonight. His numbers take a slight dip on the road but are still very good. He runs into a MIN team that has recorded the most Ks since the All-Star break and whose best hitters are all left-handed. Pay for Sale tonight. He is worth it. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home Brian Dozier is 2-6 with 2 HRs versus Sale. and has been hot with 22.25 fp over the last 7 days. Joe Mauer has been super hot with 35.75 fp over the last 7 and hits left-handers for a high average. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away What better place to look for value than with CHW and their underperforming bats versus a middle aged rookie pitcher. Alexi Ramirez is my favorite play but I like all of the right-handed bats today. RG Stack Rating 4

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