MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, June 29th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review
- FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
- K% – Strikeout Percentage
- K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP
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Washington vs. NY Mets
| 1:10 PM | Washington – ROAD | NY Mets – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.232 | 0.664 | 21.70% | 0.49 | 0.228 | 0.666 | 22.90% | 0.52 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.239 | 0.685 | 21.60% | 0.41 | 0.227 | 0.667 | 23.10% | 0.41 | |
| SP STATS | Jordan – RHP | Gee – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.45 | 4.82 | 7.82 | 8.80 | |||||
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.10 | 3.60 | 7.65 | 11.00 | |||||
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
WSN vs R  | WSN BvP | NYM vs R | NYM BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
- Favored Team – NYM -110
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home After watching the NYM bullpen squander the win from Matt Harvey yesterday, It makes me wonder about taking any NYM starter. NYM has the 4th worst ERA by relievers. This should be another low scoring game. Dillon Gee is no Matt Harvey but he has 5 quality starts in his last 6 outings and held this WAS team to 1 ER in 7 IP earlier this year. Plus he is a much better pitcher at home with a 3.12 ERA. WAS is .213 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. They rank 29th in runs scored and have recorded the 9th most Ks. RG Start-Ability 6
- Away You might not have ever heard of Taylor Jordan but he is dominating the minor leagues. In 14 starts, he is 9-1 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. There is a reason why Vegas has the OU of this game set at only 7.5. He will be cheap today and I feel he is more than playable versus these NYM bats. NYM is batting .212 at home, .227 versus right-handers, and .253 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
Batter Grind Down
- Home The Mets remind me of the Astros to start the season because their bats are cheap and they could produce. David Wright and Eric Young Jr. have been hot for them. Look towards everyone else for value if you think the rookie could struggle. RG Stack Rating 4
- Away Ian Desmond has 2 HRs off of Gee in 20 AB. Both he and Ryan Zimmerman have been hot for WAS. Denard Span is batting over .300 versus right-handed pitching. Adam LaRoche hits righties well also and is quietly producing. RG Stack Rating 3
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Arizona vs. Atlanta
| 4:05 PM | Arizona – ROAD | Atlanta – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.260 | 0.720 | 18.30% | 0.56 | 0.240 | 0.716 | 23.60% | 0.58 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.267 | 0.739 | 18.80% | 0.48 | 0.245 | 0.726 | 23.90% | 0.48 | |
| SP STATS | Kennedy – RHP | Hudson – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.32 | 5.21 | 7.80 | 8.59 | 1.21 | 4.10 | 6.64 | 8.70 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.91 | 2.19 | 8.93 | 10.55 | 1.29 | 2.66 | 7.61 | 10.37 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| ARI vs R | ARI BvP | ATL vs R | ATL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7
- Favored Team – ATL -145
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Tim Hudson is still a really good pitcher at age 37. In his last 3 starts, he has induced 38 ground ball outs to only 21 fly ball outs. He has only given up 8 HR on the year. He has a sick 2.22 ERA at home and ARI is not the same team on the road. ARI is batting .262 on the road, .262 versus right-handers, and .257 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
- Away One really bad start in STL makes Ian Kennedy ‘s numbers look much worse than they actually are but he has been far from a reliable pitcher. I think he is in a good spot today versus a slumping ATL team that is 2nd in the leagues in Ks. In his last 2 starts he has looked like his old self going 12.1 IP with 3 ER and 12 Ks. ATL is batting .249 at home, .248 versus right-handers, and .244 over the last 7 days. He has more risk than Hudson but he also has more upside. RG Start-Ability 7
Batter Grind Down
- Home The low OU of 7 makes me think that there is not much value in the ATL bats today. Jordan Schafer has been producing and has positive BvPs versus Kennedy
- Away Hudson my favorite play of the morning but I have ben wrong before. The left-handed bats have had success versus him and Aaron Hill is producing and still cheap coming off of an injury. RG Stack Rating 2
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Toronto vs. Boston
| 4:05 PM | Toronto – ROAD | Boston – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.251 | 0.735 | 19.00% | 0.62 | 0.269 | 0.787 | 21.20% | 0.70 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.249 | 0.679 | 17.20% | 0.39 | 0.281 | 0.821 | 20.20% | 0.59 | |
| SP STATS | Rogers – RHP | Doubront – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.22 | 3.14 | 5.60 | 2.71 | 1.49 | 4.38 | 9.00 | 9.85 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.83 | 1.98 | 4.09 | 12.10 | 0.90 | 2.13 | 8.11 | 10.10 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| TOR vs L | TOR BvP | BOS vs R | BOS BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 10.5
- Favored Team – BOS -145
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Felix Doubront got the start I predicted he would 2 games back versus TAM. Actually, he has been great for a while posting 8 consecutive quality starts and has a nice 2.73 ERA in June. The OU of this game is very high but Doubront is producing and I trust him again today even against this potent TOR offense. TOR is batting .238 on the road, .246 versus left-handers, and .222 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
- Away Esmil Rogers move to the rotation has been successful. He gave up 3 HRs last time out to TAM so that might be a sign that his fortune is changing. Either way, he is on a very limited pitch count and is facing the best offensive team in baseball. BOS is batting .289 at home, .290 versus right-handers, and .365 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home Don’t Worry about the mules just load the wagon. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away Edwin Encarnacion is 5-12 with 1 HR versus Doubront. Colby Rasmus is 5-13 with 1 HR. Jose Bautista has 2 HR in 12 AB. Jose Reyes is 6-9 with 1 HR. Encarnacion and Bautista have both been hot for the Jays. Jose Reyes is batting .400 versus left handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 5
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St. Louis vs. Oakland
| 4:07 PM | St. Louis – ROAD | Oakland – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.275 | 0.743 | 17.70% | 0.61 | 0.249 | 0.732 | 19.70% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.289 | 0.769 | 18.10% | 0.50 | 0.249 | 0.725 | 19.50% | 0.47 | |
| SP STATS | Wainwright – RHP | Parker – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.01 | 2.37 | 8.18 | 14.73 | 1.30 | 4.30 | 6.10 | 8.80 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.93 | 2.57 | 5.79 | 11.50 | 0.80 | 2.40 | 3.60 | 10.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| STL vs R | STL BvP | OAK vs R | OAK BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
- Favored Team – STL -115
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Jarrod Parker has been okay on the year and I think his 4.88 home ERA is more attributed to bad luck than anything else. This is a tricky game because both of these two offenses are really good but the pitchers going are also good as well. I cannot see a reason to take Parker given the risk because his K/9 is a little low but I am not that excited about any of STL’s bats either. STL is batting .272 on the road, .288 versus right-handers, and .248 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4
- Away OAK got to Shelby Miller yesterday but he is still only a rookie. Adam Wainwright numbers might not be as impressive but I have a hard time believing that we see the As pounce on him today. He has been a 2.71 pitcher on the road and a 2.28 pitcher in day games. I love him today in this park. OAK is batting .243 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .263 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7
Batter Grind Down
- Home I am high on Wainwright even on the road but if you think I am wrong then Josh Donaldson has been hot with 25.75 fp over the last 7 days. I do not think you can call it being hot anymore, however, because he has been steadily producing those numbers for a long time now.
- Away Yadier Molina and Allen Craig are your best bets today but I am not overly confident in any STL bats in this park.
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San Francisco vs. Colorado
| 4:10 PM | San Francisco – ROAD | Colorado – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.273 | 0.724 | 16.50% | 0.56 | 0.271 | 0.772 | 19.20% | 0.66 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.283 | 0.725 | 16.60% | 0.42 | 0.273 | 0.787 | 19.50% | 0.54 | |
| SP STATS | Cain – RHP | De La Rosa – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.13 | 4.55 | 8.34 | 10.33 | 1.26 | 3.21 | 5.90 | 9.40 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.76 | 1.32 | 8.86 | 14.10 | 0.91 | 2.19 | 6.69 | 9.05 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| SFG vs L | SFG BvP | COL vs R | COL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5
- Favored Team – Pick’em
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home I am on board the Jorge De La Rosa ‘s bandwagon. Okay, I may the first person taking a seat but if he keeps pitching the way he is than there will be more to come. He has been a 3.40 pitcher at home this year and he has been great on the road as well. SFO is batting .262 on the road, .280 versus left-handers, and .230 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5
- Away There was a time when I was overly cute and would use a player like Matt Cain on the road in a tough park. I’ve long since learned to stop that behavior but I will say this Cain has 18 Ks in his last 2 starts and has held this team to a mere .228 BAA versus him. COL is batting .288 at home, .273 versus right-handers, and .292 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4
Batter Grind Down
- Home Buster Posey, Pablo Sandoval, Hunter Pence, Brandon Belt and Marco Scutaro are all batting over .300 versus left-handers. Posey has been hot with 26.75 fp over the last week and is 5-16 versus De La Rosa. Pablo Sandoval is 10-28 with 1 HR versus him. RG Stack-Rating 5
- Away No one has good numbers versus Cain but the Mile High Effect makes everyone playable. Michael Cuddyer has been very hot with 36.5 fp over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 4
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