MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, June 30th

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-01 16:55:14

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

I am a little sad not to be doing the DraftStreet Q today. I have already won my 2 seats so I have to sit back and be a spectator. It was a nice weekend run going from Fanduel’s Friday and Sturday Qs into Draftstreet’s Sunday Q. On the plus side, it will save me a little cash. Here is todays Daily Grind Down to help you win it in on me behalf.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

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Washington vs. NY Mets

1:10 PM	Washington – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.232	0.664	21.70%	0.49		0.228	0.666	22.90%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.239	0.685	21.60%	0.41		0.229	0.665	22.50%	0.40
SP STATS	Gonzalez – LHP					Wheeler – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.15	3.34	9.18	10.81		1.50	0.00	10.50	17.00
LAST 14 DAYS	0.79	1.93	12.21	15.00		1.50	0.00	10.50	17.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			NYM vs L		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – WAS -125

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home After looking like an Ace in his first start, Zack Wheeler got roughed up in his second start by CHW of all teams. The mets are letting him pitch but walks have cut both of his 2 starts short. WAS is bating .235 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Gio Gonzalez had a rough April, which has kept his salary low. He posted a 2.48 ERA in May and has gone even lower than that in June. He has been just as good on the road as he has been at home and he draws a NYM team bating .213 at home, .228 versus right-handers, and .253 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home*Marlon Byrd and David Wright have been hot for NYM. Eric Young Jr. is batting leadoff and cheap on most sites. *RG Stack Rating 2

• Away WAS does not excite me as a team but they should scores some runs today. In some instances, the obvious choices are the best choices and I would roll with Ryan Zimmerman, Ian Desmond, and Adam LaRoche today. RG Stack Rating 3

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San Diego vs. Miami

1:10 PM	San Diego – ROAD					Miami – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.249	0.705	20.90%	0.58		0.230	0.615	18.80%	0.41
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.246	0.694	21.50%	0.42		0.235	0.614	17.70%	0.30
SP STATS	Cashner – RHP					Eovaldi – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.23	3.56	6.57	7.76		0.67	3.00	4.50	7.00
LAST 14 DAYS	1.27	3.07	6.97	12.10		0.67	3.00	4.50	7.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SDP vs R		SDP BvP			MIA vs R		MIA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – SDG -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Nathan Eovaldi has been good in his first 2 starts but he has yet to throw over 90 pitches. We saw a couple of players like this that got let loose yesterday and had great days but it is an unsafe play most of the time. SDG is batting .241 at home, .246 versus right-handers, and .245 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Andrew Cashner does not get all that many Ks and he is a much worse pitcher on the road then he is a home but he has pitched well in MIA in the past and is on a roll. In his last start versus LAD he induce 21 ground ball outs to only 4 fly balls. MIA is batting .235 at home, .234 versus right-handers, and .270 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home MIA offense has been revitalized but their players are still cheap. There is a ton of value to be had with Marcell Ozuna being the most obvious choice. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away Pedro Ciriaco and Logan Forsythe have positive numbers versus right-handers. Kyle Blanks is another bat you can look to today who was recently hot. RG Stack Rating 3

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Arizona vs. Atlanta

1:35 PM	Arizona – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.260	0.720	18.30%	0.56		0.240	0.716	23.60%	0.58
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.247	0.676	17.20%	0.38		0.245	0.726	23.90%	0.48
SP STATS	Cahill – RHP					Maholm – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.32	3.92	6.30	8.14		1.25	3.57	6.67	10.21
LAST 14 DAYS	1.45	2.70	14.52	7.10		1.56	4.26	8.11	8.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ARI vs L		ARI BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – ATL -140

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Paul Maholm has given up an HR in each of his last 6 starts. He has been fantastic at home on the year with a 1.80 ERA and he catches an ARI team that has been not as productive as of late. ARI is batting .262 on the road, .251 versus left-handers, and .236 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Trevor Cahill troubles on the road from a year ago have continued into this one. His road ERA is a hefty 4.74. Last time out, he gave up 6 ER to WAS. His numbers should get a boost from a slumping ATL team that is second in the league in Ks but he seems far to risky of a play to me. ATL is batting .251 at home, .249 versus right-handers, and .283 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home This game is going to go one of 2 ways. Either Cahill is going to pitch surprisingly well and record 8 Ks or ATL is going to bat around on him and he will be gone after 5. I trust ATLs bats. Jason Heyward has been hot over the last 7 days producing 22.5 fp RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Paul Goldshmidt versus any left-hander is playable. Martin Prado is 8-17 versus Maholm. Jason Kubel is 5-12 with 1 HR. Cody Ross is 5-14 with 1 HR versus him as well. RG Stack Rating 2

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Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh

1:35 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD					Pittsburgh – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.721	19.50%	0.56		0.239	0.691	22.50%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.713	18.60%	0.42		0.243	0.701	22.40%	0.42
SP STATS	Lohse – RHP					Morton – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.23	3.68	5.70	8.01		1.09	1.74	6.24	9.55
LAST 14 DAYS	0.95	1.35	6.30	11.67		1.09	1.74	6.24	9.55
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIL vs R		MIL BvP			PIT vs R		PIT BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – PIT -140

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Charlie Morton also has had a problem with walks, which has cut short his outings. He has produced so far but I am not sold on him and do not think that he is worth the gamble given his low K/9. MIL is batting .252 on the road, .256 versus right-handers, and .274 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away I am trying to figure out why Kyle Lohse does not garner more respect. Sure, his K/9 totals are low but to have him listed as the underdog versus a poor pitcher coming off of an injury does not make sense to me. Lohse has been consistent no matter where he has pitched and sports a very nice 2.45 ERA in June. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home You have to be completely out of the loop to not know that Pedro Alvarez is on a streak right now. He is a day game HR machine. Starlin Marte is also hot with 31.25 fp over the past week. PIT as a team has a .323 BAA versus Lohse so consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away This is more of a hunch then anything but I think that MIL gets to Morton today. Mortan is living too dangerously and has managed to escape so far but I think his luck runs out today. Carlos Gomez and Jean Segura are batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

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Toronto vs. Boston

1:35 PM	Toronto – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.735	19.00%	0.62		0.269	0.787	21.20%	0.70
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.754	19.70%	0.52		0.246	0.718	23.40%	0.45
SP STATS	Buehrle – LHP					Dempster – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.35	4.60	6.07	8.20		1.36	4.23	9.09	10.21
LAST 14 DAYS	1.17	1.50	8.25	14.50		1.46	3.66	6.09	9.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs R		TOR BvP			BOS vs L		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 10

• Favored Team – BOS -128

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Ryan Dempster is the favorite in this game but the OU is a very high 10 which scares me away from him even though he has a decent ERA and a nice K/9. In order for me to chose a hurler, I have to have absolutely no reason to avoid him. TOR is batting .239 on the road, .251 versus right-handers, and .225 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Mark Buehrle frustrates me every time he takes the hill. Today looks like a day in which you can count on him to get shelled. He has a 5.63 ERA on the orad. BOS owns a .318 BAA versus him and he just gave up 4 ER to TAM. That mean he will probably go 7 IP with 1 ER today. BOS is batting .289 at home, .247 versus left-handers, and .347 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Ortiz is 24-67 with 3 HRs versus Buehrle but everyone has positive BvPs. Dustin Pedrioa has been hot with 35.25 fp over the past 7 days and gets a left-hander at home. RG Stack Rating 9

• Away I said Jose Bautista had been hot over the last 7 days and got called out for it. Yes, his 5-25 line for the past 7 days is a .200 average but all 5 of those hits have been for extra bases and he has 9 RBIs over that time. There is baseball hot and there is daily fantasy hot and Bautista is has produced 31 fp over the last 7 days. Edwin Encarnacion has also produced 27 fp over the last 7. RG Stack Rating 4

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