MLB Daily Grind Down: Wednesday, September 25th Part 3

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2013-09-25 16:22:59

Detroit vs. Minnesota

8:10 PM	Detroit – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.282	0.785	16.90%	0.65		0.241	0.698	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.293	0.796	16.20%	0.53		0.237	0.692	22.40%	0.43
SP STATS	Scherzer – RHP					Correia – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.97	3.00	10.00	14.45		1.44	4.29	5.05	7.64
LAST 14 DAYS	1.24	4.24	11.12	11.33		1.82	4.09	4.91	6.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	DET vs R		DET BvP			MIN vs R		MIN BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Max Scherzer – The Tigers have their division locked up but they are still fighting for a better seed so I don’t think that will affect Scherzer’s value all that much in this one. I don’t think he will be on a pitch count or anything. He has a great matchup against this Twins lineup and he has one of the best K rates in baseball. Rating = 9

• Kevin Correia – Correia has a high ERA, a low K rate, and an extremely tough matchup against the Tigers. This is an easy one. Rating = 1

Batter Grind Down

DET – Correia is giving up a .298 batting average to both lefties and righties. One player that I really like in this one is Austin Jackson, he seems to excel against pitchers that can’t strike out many batters. I also really like the big bats of Prince Fielder and Miguel Cabrera.

MIN – This game is all about the Tigers. This Twins lineup does not do anything for me.

Boston vs. Colorado

8:40 PM	Boston – ROAD					Colorado – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68		0.264	0.735	19.80%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.284	0.819	20.40%	0.57		0.268	0.748	19.70%	0.48
SP STATS	Peavy – RHP					Chacin – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.11	4.02	7.55	10.74		1.23	3.21	5.73	10.10
LAST 14 DAYS	1.23	4.15	8.31	9.50		1.53	3.71	5.82	8.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BOS vs R		BOS BvP			COL vs R		COL BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Jake Peavy – Peavy has been very good for the Red Sox, but I’m not breaking my Cardinal Rule of never taking a pitcher in Coors Field. Rating = 3

• Jhoulys Chacin – Chacin is in the same boat. I could quote his numbers for you, but at the end of the day I’m just going to tell you not to take a pitcher in Coors Field. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

BOS – This one should be another high scoring game in Coors. The Red Sox offense was pretty quiet last night but you can’t expect that to happen two nights in a row. I’m not sure if David Ortiz will be in the lineup since they are playing under NL rules, but double check the lineup. I like Dustin Pedroia, Salty, and Stephen Drew.

COL – Even though this looks like a tough matchup, Peavy doesn’t scare me away from any of the Rockies bats. I like all of the lefties against him including Corey Dickerson, Charlie Blackmon, and Charlie Culberson. All are cheap and have good upside.

Kansas City vs. Seattle

10:10 PM	Kansas City – ROAD					Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.688	16.60%	0.54		0.243	0.706	21.70%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.261	0.696	17.00%	0.40		0.246	0.723	21.40%	0.47
SP STATS	Santana – RHP					Iwakuma – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.13	3.16	6.98	10.58		1.02	2.76	7.50	11.69
LAST 14 DAYS	0.76	1.71	6.86	12.33		0.73	0.00	4.20	13.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	KCR vs R		KCR BvP			SEA vs R		SEA BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Ervin Santana – Santana is a bit too expensive for my taste today. He is a very good pitcher, but when his price is up there with the other aces, I usually lean towards someone else. Santana has a decent matchup against the M’s, but they do have a lot of left handed bats in their lineup. Rating = 6

• Hisashi Iwakuma – Iwakuma is an excellent pitcher that has a 0.910 WHIP at home. That is the type of WHIP that I like to see from my pitchers. The Royals are all but out of the playoff race with that loss last night and I think their bats will have a let down game against Iwakuma. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

KC – Not a big fan of the Royals tonight, Iwakuma just doesn’t give up many base runners at home.

SEA – Not a huge fan of the M’s bats either though. With so many other good options, I think the best route is to take a pitcher from this game and avoid both offenses.

Arizona vs. San Diego

10:10 PM	Arizona – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.717	18.30%	0.56		0.247	0.693	20.90%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.258	0.717	18.50%	0.45		0.242	0.671	20.90%	0.38
SP STATS	Delgado – RHP					Kennedy – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.19	3.96	6.08	8.27		1.42	5.06	8.06	8.54
LAST 14 DAYS	1.44	5.93	3.41	4.40		1.63	8.38	6.85	3.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ARI vs R		ARI BvP			SDP vs R		SDP BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Randall Delgado – Delgado is an interesting play tonight. The Padres have been the worst offense in baseball in September and he has the privilege of pitching in Petco. I think he makes a sneaky play even though he hasn’t pitched well on the road. Rating = 6

• Ian Kennedy – Except for a couple of starts, Kennedy has pitched well since coming over from the D-Backs. One of those teams that he struggled with happened to be his former team. This time around may be different though as this game is in Petco instead of Chase Field. I like Kennedy, but of the two I like Delgado more. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

ARI/SD – Taking hitters in Petco is never one of my favorite things to do. There just isn’t that upside that you like to have with your hitters. I think this game will play out a lot like last night’s 2-1 game.

LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco

10:15 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.266	0.723	18.40%	0.56		0.259	0.692	16.90%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.708	19.40%	0.43		0.264	0.706	16.90%	0.41
SP STATS	Nolasco – RHP					Zito – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.20	3.55	7.35	10.16		1.74	5.91	5.91	5.14
LAST 14 DAYS	1.77	7.62	7.62	5.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs L		LAD BvP			SFG vs R		SFG BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Ricky Nolasco – Nolasco has really struggled against this Giants team this season. In two starts against them he has an ERA over 10. I think he will pitch better than that tonight, but sometimes in baseball, teams hit certain pitchers well. I think Nolasco should be in line for the win though which always helps his cause. Rating = 5

• Barry Zito – Even though Zito has been decent at home this season and is basically the price of a relief pitcher, I am not touching him with a ten foot pole. He is more likely to blow up than to have a good outing and the Dodgers are a tough offense that is getting ready for the playoffs. Rating = 1

Batter Grind Down

LAD – Dodgers that hit lefties well include Yasiel Puig, Hanley Ramirez, Matt Kemp, and Adrian Gonzalez. Check the lineup and get a couple of these guys into yours.

SF – If you are looking at taking any Giants tonight, you are probably looking at Buster Posey, Hunter Pence, and/or Pablo Sandoval. I’m not crazy about any of the three, but they aren’t terrible plays either.