Million Dollar Musings: Friday, April 28
CheeseIsGood, a two-time winner of a $1,000,000 first-place prize in DFS, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cheese has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks.
Happy Friday! We’ve got an 11-game slate tonight, however, the early weather forecast has that looking more likely to be a 9-game slate. For now, I am leaving the games in Washington and New York out of my analysis and considering them to be unplayable unless things change.
After getting those weather games out of the way, we are left with a slate that has clear best plays and chalk on both sides. Jacob deGrom is on the mound along with some other aces, and then we have the Diamondbacks traveling to Coors Field to give us chalk on the hitting side.
Let’s jump on in and see what we can find in the way of MLB DFS picks beyond the obvious.
Friday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings
We have another loaded pitching slate, and the majority of the aces are avoiding the weather tonight. I’ll list a couple of cheap nonsense darts, but at first glance, I cannot make any case for goofing around tonight when the top tier is this good.
TOP TIER ACES
Jacob deGrom vs. Yankees – 42.5% K, 3.2% BB, 3.07 ERA, 1.67 SIERA
Luis Castillo at Blue Jays – 27.6% K, 7% BB, 2.75 ERA, 3.31 SIERA
Framber Valdez vs. Phillies – 23.8% K, 7.8% BB, 2.74 ERA, 3.12 SIERA
Aaron Nola at Astros – 27.8% K, 4.1% BB, 3.51 ERA, 3.03 SIERA
Shane Bieber at Red Sox – 24% K, 4.9% BB, 2.93 ERA, 3.40 SIERA
All these pitchers are great, but only one of them is Jacob deGrom. We’re not even a month into the season, and I have nothing left to say about this guy. Maybe he only gets 85 pitches, maybe he gets hurt again, or maybe the BABIP goes wonky. I don’t care. He’s so much better than everyone it is comical. The only reason not to lock-button him is that the sites have finally brought his salary up to where it belongs, over $11k on both sites. I suppose you can also make the case that because he doesn’t have the same pitch count upside as other aces, his ceiling is theoretically limited. However, he can strike out so many batters in such a short time, that he is still the highest floor and highest ceiling pitcher on this slate.
