Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Tuesday 7/8

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2025-07-08 15:44:02 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

Happy Tuesday! We have a loaded 13-game slate that gives us a ton to like on both sides. There is no end to viable options on either the pitching or hitting sides, but I’m going to get down to as narrow of a pool as possible. This means there are going to be a lot of very good players who are not on my list, so feel free to come to a different conclusion or simply land on a bigger pool than me.

We’ll need to keep an eye on the MLB weather for tonight, most notably with the SEA/NYY and TOR/CWS games. I’m including both of those games in the analysis for now, and we’ll get a final verdict tonight on Crunch Time.

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Tuesday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

After the few pitchers up top, the pricing get a bit different between the sites. For that reason, I’m making this top tier include everyone from $8,000 and up on DK. Even with that, we’ll still find a few guys in the cheaper tier for DK who are priced up on FD.

TOP TIER PITCHING

• Hunter Brown vs. Guardians – 32.1% K, 7.4% BB, 1.82 ERA, 2.82 SIERA
• Robbie Ray vs. Phillies – 27.1% K, 9% BB, 2.68 ERA, 3.63 SIERA
• Nick Pivetta vs. Diamondbacks – 27.8% K, 6.2% BB, 3.25 ERA, 3.33 SIERA
• Logan Gilbert at Yankees – 36.8% K, 5.5% BB, 3.40 ERA, 2.24 SIERA
• Sonny Gray vs. Nationals – 26.8% K, 4.5% BB, 3.51 ERA, 3.13 SIERA
• Nathan Eovaldi at Angels – 26.8% K, 4.4% BB, 1.75 ERA, 2.91 SIERA
• Jacob Misiorowski vs. Dodgers – 28% K, 13.3% BB, 3.20 ERA, 4.09 SIERA
• Shota Imanaga at Twins – 18.7% K, 6.8% BB, 2.78 ERA, 4.79 SIERA
• Seth Lugo vs. Pirates – 21.9% K, 7.9% BB, 2.65 ERA, 4.08 SIERA
• Merrill Kelly at Padres – 24.5% K, 6.9% BB, 3.55 ERA, 3.62 SIERA
• Chris Bassitt at White Sox – 23.2% K, 6.4% BB, 4.32 ERA, 3.64 SIERA
• Will Warren vs. Mariners – 28.7% K, 10.5% BB, 5.02 ERA, 3.58 SIERA

This is a great group of pitchers, and because we have so many names up here, I’m going to be a little bit picky, though you could certainly make a case for any of them.

First off, I have zero interest in a child who may or may not be able to locate the strike zone from 60 feet away. Jacob Misiorowski has all kinds of talent, but I’m nowhere near ready to trust him at this salary against the Dodgers on this deep of a pitching slate.

Nathan Eovaldi went from 45 pitches in his first start off the IL, up to 72 pitches in 5 scoreless innings last week. He looked as good as ever, and I would guess he can get up towards 85 or so pitches here. With his efficiency, that’s plenty for a quality start with some moderate upside against the high-strikeout Angels. But sadly, he’s been priced up to $10,000 on DK and $9,400 on FD, which leaves him as just an MME leftover.

The reason $10,000 for Eovaldi is not cutting it for me is that we have the elite Hunter Brown in a good matchup and the new version of Mr. Consistency, Robbie Ray. It’s so weird seeing Ray, of all people ,being so consistent, but until something changes, I think what we see is what we get. That’s 100 pitches of a guy with above-average strikeouts whose control has been unlike anything we’ve seen before, with just a 5.9% walk rate over his last 9 starts.

It’s important to note here that the ‘Robbie Ray Rule’ (fade him when he’s chalk, play him when he’s not) is not actually about present day Robbie Ray at all. That rule is about any pitcher with poor control, high upside, and power risk. Well, 2025 Ray is just not one of those guys. So, the rule that sounds like it was made just for him does not actually apply to him at this moment.

What I’ll say here is that as good as Ray has been, it’s still not as good, or as consistent, as Hunter Brown. Brown has allowed more than 2 runs in only 2 of his 17 starts and just keeps piling up easy innings with plenty of upside. I think he’s worth $11,000 on DK and $10,800 on FD, and he’s my SP1. That makes Ray just a great SP2 if going double spend-up, or he is an MME pivot off Brown if you need the $500.

After Brown and Ray up top, my next trio of consideration is Sonny Gray, Logan Gilbert, and Nick Pivetta. Gilbert has far and away the best skill set of that group, but he’s also got the risky matchup against the Yankees in New York along with potential weather issues. Gilbert has been so elite, the matchup really doesn’t bother me. Plus, as much power as the Yankees have, it’s still a plus matchup for strikeouts from the highest-strikeout pitcher in the league this season.

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