MLB Grind Down: Friday, May 9th - Page 2

Philadelphia at NY Mets

Philadelphia NY Mets
Roberto Hernandez Vegas Moneyline Jenrry Mejia Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT NYM (-120) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.288 0.843 0.382 16.4% SP vs. Left 0.230 0.639 0.292 21.2%
SP vs. Right 0.263 0.687 0.313 19.5% SP vs. Right 0.288 0.741 0.325 25.5%
Batter Splits PHI BvP pop up 2 PHI vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits NYM BvP pop up 2 NYM vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Roberto Hernandez – Hernandez has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and 29 K’s over 34 innings of work. He is a very boom or bust option, but he does have a nice matchup against the Mets who are ranked 28th against RH pitching this season (team .277 wOBA). Hernandez could be a nice flier in a GPP. Rating = 6

Jenrry Mejia – Mejia has been rocked in each of his last two starts, but he does have a K/9 over 9.0 this season. He has great stuff, but has had trouble with his command this season and that’s not something that you want to see from your starting pitcher in daily fantasy. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Chase Utley – Even though this is a very pitcher-friendly ballpark, Utley makes a nice play at 2B tonight. He is batting .342 against RH pitching this season with 12 XBH’s.

Additional Plays: Domonic Brown

N.Y. Mets

Curtis Granderson – The Grandy Man is starting to heat up and has a nice matchup against Hernandez who gave up a .389 wOBA to LH batters last season. His price is still cheap across the industry and Granderson will make his way onto quite a few of my rosters.

Additional Plays: Daniel Murphy


Colorado at Cincinnati

Colorado Cincinnati
Jhoulys Chacin Vegas Moneyline Johnny Cueto Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT CIN (-165) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.278 0.736 0.328 11.6% SP vs. Left 0.158 0.462 0.212 22.9%
SP vs. Right 0.238 0.650 0.292 18.9% SP vs. Right 0.185 0.588 0.266 26.3%
Batter Splits COL BvP pop up 2 COL vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits CIN BvP pop up 2 CIN vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jhoulys Chacin – Chacin gave up 8 hits, 5 walks, and 4 earned runs in his first start of the season. He is a quality RH starter, but has a tough matchup against the Reds in the hitter friendly Great American Ballpark. I will be avoiding Chacin in all leagues tonight, especially with Cueto pitching opposite him.

Johnny Cueto – Cueto has been dominant this season with a 1.31 ERA, a 0.78 WHIP, and a K/9 of 9.8. This is the case of a red hot offense going up against a red hot pitcher. I am going to side with Cueto in this matchup. When he is on, there are few teams that can hit him and the Rockies haven’t been nearly as good offensively on the road as they have at home. Rating 9

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

I will be avoiding all Rockies’ bats tonight and I am going to make the bold prediction that Nolan Arenado hitting streak comes to an end tonight.

Cincinnati

Joey Votto – Last season Chacin gave up a .328 wOBA to LH batters and Votto has always hit well at Great American. Votto’s numbers are down a bit this season, but all that means is that his price is down as well. Target him tonight against the RH Chacin.

Additional Plays: Brandon Phillips


Chicago Cubs at Atlanta

Chicago Cubs Atlanta
Jason Hammel Vegas Moneyline Julio Teheran Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT ATL (-180) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.287 0.841 0.370 14.8% SP vs. Left 0.266 0.759 0.337 16.8%
SP vs. Right 0.229 0.628 0.282 19.5% SP vs. Right 0.209 0.558 0.262 25.2%
Batter Splits CHC BvP pop up 2 CHC vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits ATL BvP pop up 2 ATL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jason Hammel – Hammel has really pitched well for the Cubs this season and is following a familiar trend of getting off to hot starts in April and May. On the season he has a 2.43 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP and 32 K’s over 40 innings of work. Tonight he faces a very boom or bust Braves’ offense that is near the top of the league in both HR’s and strikeouts. I don’t like him for cash games, but will use him on a few tournament teams. Rating = 6

Julio Teheran – Teheran is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. He has been terrific for the tribe this season with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. His K/9 is down a bit at 5.9, but he is getting outs and that K-rate should get better as the season progresses. I love the matchup against the Cubs who are ranked 29th against RH pitching this season (team .276 wOBA). Rating = 9

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

I’ll be avoiding all Cubbies’ batters tonight, even after a solid performance offensively in last night’s game.

Atlanta

Freddie Freeman – If you are targeting any Braves’ batters tonight, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate as Hammel gave up a .370 wOBA to LH batters last season. Freeman has great power against RH pitching and makes a decent play tonight.

Additional Plays: Jason Heyward


Boston at Texas

Boston Texas
Clay Buchholz Vegas Moneyline Yu Darvish Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT TEX (-145) RIGHT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.204 0.569 0.260 21.9% SP vs. Left 0.219 0.651 0.295 29.1%
SP vs. Right 0.258 0.668 0.300 20.5% SP vs. Right 0.176 0.546 0.253 36.5%
Batter Splits BOS BvP pop up 2 BOS vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits TEX BvP pop up 2 TEX vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Clay Buchholz – Buchholz is starting to piece things together. He has now pitched well in back to back starts against two tough offenses in the A’s and the Blue Jays. His K-rate is still way down though and it’s going to take more than 2 decent starts before I start to consider him in cash games. Rating = 4

Yu Darvish – Darvish has been very good this season with a 2.87 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP. His K/9 is pretty mediocre by his standards at only 10.2. This is one of those situations where he could either dominate the Red Sox lineup or get knocked around a bit. There are certainly better options for cash games, but there aren’t many pitchers in baseball with as much upside as Darvish. Use him as a GPP play, but target one of the other aces with a better matchup in cash games. Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Even though this game will be played in the hitter friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington, I will not be using any Red Sox batters. They could put up some runs here, but no player in particular stands out as a great fantasy play.

Texas

Adrian Beltre – Buchholz is giving up a .379 batting average with a 1.00 OPS to RH batters this season. Beltre has 2 HR’s over his last 3 games and should have plenty of RBI opportunities tonight. Vegas expects the Rangers to score some runs here and so do I.

Additional Plays: Alex Rios, Shin-Soo Choo, Prince Fielder


NY Yankees at Milwaukee

NY Yankees Milwaukee
Masahiro Tanaka Vegas Moneyline Yovani Gallardo Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT NYY (-125) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.195 0.495 0.224 23.8% SP vs. Left 0.245 0.698 0.314 16.9%
SP vs. Right 0.241 0.805 0.346 36.9% SP vs. Right 0.270 0.700 0.313 18.6%
Batter Splits NYY BvP pop up 2 NYY vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits MIL BvP pop up 2 MIL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Masahiro Tanaka – Tanaka had his worst outing of the season in his last start, but that would still be a very nice start for most pitchers in baseball. He struck out 5 batters over 7 innings and gave up 3 earned runs while picking up the win. Tonight he faces a Brewers’ offense that is ranked 17th against RH pitching. I’m not sure that Tanaka is the safest cash game play, but I get the feeling that he throws a gem tonight. Rating = 8

Yovani Gallardo – Gallardo has pitched well this season with a 2.47 ERA and a 1.2 WHIP. His strikeouts have been down a little this season and for some reason I just can’t trust Gallardo in cash games. He’s given up 7 earned runs in his last 2 starts and I’m not sure the run support will be there tonight with Tanaka pitching for the Yankees. I’ll be avoiding Gallardo tonight. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

New York Yankees

Jacoby Ellsbury – Miller Park is a very HR friendly ballpark and even though Ellsbury doesn’t have a ton of power, he can run into a HR every now and then. He is batting .317 on the season and has already stolen 10 bases. He’s a solid cash game option in the OF.

Additional Plays: Carlos Beltran, Brian McCann

Milwaukee

With all of the aces on the mound tonight, there are a lot of teams with less than favorable matchups. That includes the Brewers who I will also be avoiding tonight.


MLB Grind Down Page 2Page 3

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious