MLB Grind Down: Thursday, June 25th - Page Three

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2015-06-25 18:43:44

NY Yankees at Houston – 8:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
NY Yankees					Houston
			Adam Warren					Dallas Keuchel
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			HOU (-145)					7
SP vs. Left	0.203	0.575	0.257	0.201	SP vs. Left	0.205	0.526	0.237	0.254
SP vs. Right	0.242	0.691	0.308	0.196	SP vs. Right	0.237	0.636	0.284	0.167
Batter Splits	NYY BvP		NYY vs L		Batter Splits	HOU BvP		HOU vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Adam Warren : FD: $6,600 — DK: $5,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 155.2 — SIERA: 3.72 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 7.7% — FB Rate: 32.8% — HR/FB: 8.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.97 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 5.6% — FB Rate: 37.6% — HR/FB: 8.6%

Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 26.0% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.371 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 24.3% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 11)

Analysis: Warren has settled into his starter role nicely, posting a 3.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.3% over the last month of play. He does produce a lot of fly balls though, which is a big concern against this Astros’ offense that has more home runs than any team in baseball. This is a great matchup for strikeouts, but the risk is there too. Warren is best suited as a tournament play tonight in Houston.

Pitcher Rating:62.1

Dallas Keuchel : FD: $9,800 — DK: $9,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 307.1 — SIERA: 3.10 — K%: 18.7% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 18.0% — HR/FB: 11.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 42.2 — SIERA: 2.70 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 6.1% — FB Rate: 14.7% — HR/FB: 35.3%

New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.371 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Keuchel has been dominant over the last month, posting a 2.70 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.4%. He produces an extremely high ground-ball rate, which makes it tough for his opponents to get extra-base hits. Keuchel is a sizable favorite tonight at home, although the matchup against the Yankees is less than ideal. On the season, New York is ranked 6th in wOBA and 6th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching.

Pitcher Rating:76.9

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

We have a hot offense against a pitcher that has been locked in all season. Dallas Keuchel has the highest ground-ball rate of any qualified starter, which makes scoring against him difficult. The Yankees do hit left-handed pitching well, but they are secondary fantasy options tonight in Houston.

Alex Rodriguez

Salaries: FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 148

Chris Young

Salaries: FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 4 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 193

Chase Headley

Salaries: FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 219 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 88

Houston

Carlos Correa : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,100

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 140

Analysis: The impressive rookie continues to make plays, both offensively and defensively. He has a .371 wOBA and a .241 ISO over the last 14 days and he draws a decent matchup tonight at home against Adam Warren. The Astros have the 2nd-highest team total on the board tonight, so feel free to use a few Houston bats in your lineups.

George Springer

Salaries: FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 435 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 127

Luis Valbuena

Salaries: FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 632 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 124