MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, May 13th - Page 2

Boston at Minnesota

Boston Minnesota
Felix Doubront Vegas Moneyline Ricky Nolasco Vegas Over/Under
LEFT BOS (-110) RIGHT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.274 0.699 0.316 20.6% SP vs. Left 0.271 0.755 0.338 17.7%
SP vs. Right 0.260 0.753 0.335 18.1% SP vs. Right 0.263 0.677 0.303 20.0%
Batter Splits BOS BvP pop up 2 BOS vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits MIN BvP pop up 2 MIN vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Felix Doubront – This game features two pitchers that are rarely rostered in the DFS world. Doubront owns a 5.09 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP and a K/9 of 6.2 this season. He faces a Twins’ offense that is ranked 21st against LH pitching. Doubrong is an average option tonight at pitcher. Rating = 5

UPDATE: The Red Sox are pushing Doubront’s start back to tomorrow and will go with Jake Peavy on the mound tonight so make sure to avoid Doubront in all leagues.

Ricky Nolasco – Nolasco has pitched well in his last two starts, but still owns a 5.64 ERA this season with a 1.56 WHIP. I’m not crazy about the way he is pitching or his matchup against the Red Sox who are ranked 8th against RH pitching this season with a team wOBA of .332. Rating = 4

Batter Grind Down

Boston

David Ortiz – Over the last two seasons, Nolasco has given up a .338 wOBA to LH batters. Ortiz fits that bill. Ortiz is also very good against RH pitching as he has posted an OPS of 1.90 OPS against righties over the last 3 seasons.

Additional Plays: A.J. Pierzynski, Grady Sizemore, Mike Napoli

Minnesota

Trevor Plouffe – With Peavy starting instead of Doubront, this certainly makes Plouffe a less viable option tonight, but he still has nice power against RH pitching and makes a nice tournament play at 3B.

Additional Plays: Brian Dozier, Joe Mauer


Texas at Houston

Texas Houston
Matt Harrison Vegas Moneyline Dallas Keuchel Vegas Over/Under
LEFT TEX (-130) LEFT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.208 0.519 0.239 46.2% SP vs. Left 0.282 0.753 0.338 28.8%
SP vs. Right 0.313 0.865 0.396 9.3% SP vs. Right 0.287 0.786 0.349 15.8%
Batter Splits TEX BvP pop up 2 TEX vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits HOU BvP pop up 2 HOU vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Matt Harrison – In 3 starts this season Harrison has posted a 2.87 ERA with a 1.64 WHIP and a 9 K’s over 15 innings of work. His upside is fairly limited, but he does have a nice matchup against the Astros who are ranked 22nd against LH pitching this season and have a strikeout percentage of 21% against southpaws. Rating = 6

Dallas Keuchel – Keuchel has been the lone bright spot in this Astros’ pitching rotation this season. Through 7 starts he has a 3.86 ERA with a K/9 of 8.2. Even though the Rangers have been very good against LH pitching this season, I think Keuchel makes a decent tournament play. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Alex Rios – Rios has been crushing southpaws this season to a tune of a .422 batting average and an OPS of 1.25. He has a great combination of speed and power and his price is affordable on most sites.

Additional Plays: Adrian Beltre

Houston

George Springer – Since the start of last season, Harrison is giving up a .396 wOBA to RH batters. Springer is still cheap across the industry and makes a nice upside play in the OF tonight.

Additional Plays: Jose Altuve


Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

Pittsburgh Milwaukee
Gerrit Cole Vegas Moneyline Marco Estrada Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT MIL (-117) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.252 0.646 0.294 21.5% SP vs. Left 0.199 0.615 0.276 23.6%
SP vs. Right 0.256 0.666 0.300 20.5% SP vs. Right 0.250 0.721 0.316 22.2%
Batter Splits PIT BvP pop up 2 PIT vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits MIL BvP pop up 2 MIL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Gerrit Cole – Cole has given up 7 earned runs over his last 2 starts, but he still has an ERA under 4.00 on the season. The former #1 overall pick is a viable fantasy option thanks to his high K-rate. This game is basically a pick ‘em game with the total set at only 7.0 runs. Cole is in play on multi-pitcher sites. Rating = 6

Marco Estrada – Estrada has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and a K/9 of 7.9. He faces a Pirates offense that is ranked 15th against RH pitching this season with a team wOBA of .310. Estrada is similar to Cole in that he is in play on multi-pitcher sites. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen – Cutch is batting .320 with an OPS of .904 this season. He has a nice combination of speed (27 SB’s last season) and power (21 HR’s last season) and this game will be played at the HR friendly Miller Park.

Additional Plays: Pedro Alvarez

Milwaukee

Scooter Gennett – The Brewers face the RHP Cole which means Gennett will likely be batting 2nd or 3rd tonight. He has been a terrific value play all season long at 2B. He’s batting .301 against RH pitching with 9 XBH’s.

Additional Plays: Carlos Gomez


Colorado at Kansas City

Colorado Kansas City
Franklin Morales Vegas Moneyline James Shields Vegas Over/Under
LEFT KCR (-155) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.225 0.575 0.288 21.7% SP vs. Left 0.238 0.628 0.285 21.2%
SP vs. Right 0.296 0.873 0.390 16.4% SP vs. Right 0.260 0.698 0.316 20.6%
Batter Splits COL BvP pop up 2 COL vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits KCR BvP pop up 2 KCR vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Franklin Morales – Morales has a 5.18 ERA on the season with a 1.53 WHIP and a K/9 of 7.2. While the Royals have struggled against LH pitching this season (ranked 29th), they have struck out the 2nd fewest times of any team in baseball. Morales has more downside than upside tonight. Rating = 4

James Shields – Shields has a 2.70 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.2. He faces a Rockies’ offense that has not been nearly as effective away from Coors Field. While I do think there are some better cash game options in his price range, Shields is a high strikeout pitcher with nice upside. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

I’ll be avoiding all Rockies’ batters against Shields tonight.

Kansas City

Billy Butler – Butler is one of the cheapest 1B options that you can find tonight and if you are looking to save some cap room, he is a terrific punt option. Morales has given up a .390 wOBA to RH batters and Butler is batting .340 at Kauffman Stadium this season.

Additional Plays: Danny Valencia, Salvador Perez


Chicago Cubs at St. Louis

Chicago Cubs St. Louis
Jake Arrieta Vegas Moneyline Adam Wainwright Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT STL (-240) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.208 0.676 0.310 17.8% SP vs. Left 0.234 0.616 0.278 22.8%
SP vs. Right 0.252 0.722 0.332 19.2% SP vs. Right 0.241 0.604 0.271 23.2%
Batter Splits CHC BvP pop up 2 CHC vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits STL BvP pop up 2 STL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Arrieta – Arrieta has made 2 starts this season and has posted a 2.89 ERA. He’s only pitched a combined 9 innings though and he will have a very tough time getting any run support with Wainwright on the mound for the Cardinals. Rating = 4

Adam Wainwright – Wainwright is my favorite cash game play tonight. The Cubs put up 17 runs last night, but I have a feeling that tonight will be a much different story. Wainwright has a 2.02 ERA on the season with a K/9 of 8.1. If you play on a single pitcher site, Wainwright should be the top cash game option. Rating = 10

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Avoid all Cubbies’ bats tonight against Wainwright who has been close to unhittable this season.

St. Louis

Yadier Molina – A lot of people like to punt the Catcher position, but I love taking Molina at Catcher when I can afford to. He is great against RH and LH pitching and gives you great production from a position that is largely boom or bust.

Additional Plays: Matt Carpenter, Matt Holliday, Allen Craig


MLB Grind Down Page 2Page 3

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious