MLB Player Props Today: Sandoval, Gibson, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (September 19)
What kind of performances can we expect on Tuesday from Patrick Sandoval, Kyle Gibson, and Luis Matos? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, September 19, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Tuesday! Major League Baseball has 15 games on tap for this evening, beginning with a trio of contests at 6:40 p.m. EST. Blake Snell and Luis Castillo, two Cy Young hopefuls, are both on the bump and will be looking to add to their already impressive 2023 resume. There are other contests with important playoff implications, including this evening’s matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros.
Across the last two months, we are 94-56-4 (63.3%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 189-137-10 on non-Home Run props and 2-6 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 113-58-5 (66.9%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for September 19!
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MLB Player Props Today
- Patrick Sandoval u5.5 Strikeouts
- Kyle Gibson u4.5 Strikeouts
- Luis Matos Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Patrick Sandoval u5.5 Strikeouts (-158), FanDuel
During the month of September, the Tampa Bay Rays have struck out at the 4th-lowest rate of any team in baseball against left-handed pitching. According to props.cash, seven of the last 12 left-handed starters to face the Rays have gone under their pregame market number for strikeouts, indicating that this recent high-contact trend is more than a short-lived aberration in the data. Patrick Sandoval has only eclipsed this market number in one of his last five trips to the mound and has an unfavorable matchup this evening – the under is a good look here.
Kyle Gibson u4.5 Strikeouts (-148), FanDuel
Since September 1, the Houston Astros have struck out less often against right-handed pitching than any other team in the league. Dating back to August 15, 17 of the last 20 right-handed starters to face the Astros have gone under their pregame market number for strikeouts. In his last four turns through the rotation, Gibson owns a pedestrian 9.3% swinging-strike rate and has struggled to consistently get ahead in counts. The under is a worthwhile risk in this spot on Tuesday.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Luis Matos Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Entering play on Tuesday, Luis Matos has struck out in only 12.9% of his total plate appearances in 2023. He has elite bat-to-ball skills and rarely chases bad pitches outside of the strike zone, which makes him a good bet to put the ball in play each time he steps in the box. He has a seemingly difficult matchup tonight against Zac Gallen, but Gallen has only an 18.7% strikeout rate across his last four starts, which creates good value on this play.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 121-111-6
Stolen Base: 1-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 35-22
Strikeout: 74-34-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4