MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Monday, April 8
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
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MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Monday, April 8
- Byron Buxton MORE Than 6.5 Fantasy Points
- Jazz Chisholm MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
- Tyler Anderson MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Jose Siri MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
Byron Buxton MORE Than 6.5 Fantasy Points
Healthy Byron Buxton is still pretty good. James Paxton isn’t bad, but he’s still given up a good amount of dongs (1.60 HR/9). Buxton has a 10.9% barrel rate against lefties on a 63.6% hard-hit rate and a 32.7% fly ball rate. Paxton has been hit really hard by righties to the tune of a 51.2% rate. The hard-hit rate matters so much here because Buxton doesn’t need a dong to pass 6.5 fantasy points. He still has a 94th-percentile sprint speed. He can leg out a single and stretch well-hit balls to extra bases, along with stealing bases and going first-to-home. Buxton can strike out a ton, but 6.5 points is just too low for his power-speed combo.
Jazz Chisholm MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
Speaking of power-speed, Jazz Chisholm for safely hitting at any point in this game is a great spot for us. Chisholm isn’t good against lefties and Nestor Cortes is, but — again — Chisholm doesn’t need to get great wood to get one singular hit. He has the short porch in Yankee Stadium’s right field if he gets one up in the air against this fly ball pitcher. Also, sandwiched in the middle of four righties, it’s tough to see him facing a lefty out of the pen when Cortes gets pulled. If this were a 2.5-total base projection with a DEMON boost, we would ignore it, but 0.5 is pretty soft. This isn’t a high-confidence play, but one to which we should have some exposure.
Tyler Anderson MORE Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
I want Tyler Anderson in a lot of pick’em entries to give up three or more earned runs. Tampa is projected to pack the lineup with righties in this homer-friendly ballpark; Anderson has surrendered an 8.6% barrel rate to righties and gives up a lot of contact when he finds the zone. His 10.0% BB rate with only an 18.9% K rate should get a ton of contact, as the way to get the Rays is strikeout stuff that Anderson doesn’t have. The Rays are projected to throw out four hitters with wOBAs over .370, three ISOs over .190, and three barrel rates over 12.5% against lefties. Anderson should get smashed enough for us. We have the Rays projected for 1.69 HRs on the game, and Anderson projected to surrender 2.7 earned runs.
Jose Siri MORE Than 0.5 Total Bases
Jose Siri is one of the sneaky-dangerous Rays bats that Anderson will have to face. His spot in the batting order sucks for us, but he has had a .194 ISO on a 36.7% fly ball rate, 46.7% hard-hit rate, and an 8.3% barrel rate against lefties. Anderson is a fly ball pitcher to righties (35.7%) who struggles to get ahead in the count. It’s strikeout or boom with Siri, and this is a great boom spot against a pitcher who struggles to get strikeouts.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
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