NBA $450K Four Point Play Review: Friday, March 10th
The Grinder review series will provide the reader with a breakdown of the exposures of “top of the leaderboard” players, the top single-entry lineup, and a comparison between all single entry lineups and professionals for large slate DraftKings GPPs. All players have been merged into the positions they are eligible for on FanDuel to give a more accurate and concise view of exposure by position.
This week, we looked at the 450K Shootaround [$50K to 1st!] on DraftKings with a buy-in of $4 and maximum entry limit of 150 lineups per person.
Multi-Entry Grinders of the Game
Cjkalt happened to miss the mark with much of his ownership, as did the rest of the pro aggregate (-62% ROI overall), but cashed on only one lineup with a 214th place finish. This was enough to put him into the positive column. His 303.75 point lineup featured Yogi Ferrell, Klay Thompson, Paul George, Quincy Acy, Greg Monroe, Bradley Beal, Khris Middleton, and Ricky Rubio. It featured the elusive SG/SF flex in the G and F positions, but playing a contrarian lineup on these smaller slates can pay off from time to time. The overall cash rate of 11.1% on his 8 lineups was below average, but the varied ownership allowed him to find a key lineup combination.
Scout326 seemed to be the only massive multi-entry pro to even break even on the slate. His over exposure to James Harden, who put up a swath of raw points (53.25 DK points; 2nd most on the slate) helped him despite a 4.6x return on salary. The min cash line sat at a lowly 247 points, where scout was able to cash on over 60.7% of his lineups. Marvin Williams only attempted 6 field goals, but ended up with 18 rebounds and a 8.6x return on a salary of just $5600 (41% ownership). Scout didn’t have any lights out lineups, but profited on the overall positive expectation ownerships and four top-1000 finishes.
Single-Entry Winner of the Game
Dwtrimm was the highest scoring single-entry player with a DK total of 321.25 points. He placed in 18th for a score of $700 on a buy-in of just $4. The heavy lifting portion of his lineup was done by a handful of low to mid-owned players (Bradley Beal with 63.5 points at 13.4% average ownership, Paul George with 46.75 points at 12.8%, and Willie Cauley-Stein with 43.25 points at 6.7%. Beal had put up 24 field goal attempts (9 threes!) for a total of 38 points and completed the double double with a mere 10 rebounds. Paul George produced from almost every category as his total of 18 points seemed mediocre, but contributed 11 rebounds and 6 assists. However, it wasn’t enough as the Pacers fell to the Bucks by 14 points. Willie Cauley-Stein had been variable in his minutes per game, but was allowed 42 minutes against the Wizards. Hid 20 points on 12 field goals and 13 rebounds vaulted him into the 11th most points on the slate at just $4900.
Single-Entry vs. Multi-Entry Grinders
Out of 130,441 entries in the Four Point Play, 15.5% of those entries were entered courtesy of players using a single bullet. The table below compares the exposures of those single entries to the above multi-entry grinders and 75 other top professionals picked off of RotoGrinders’ NBA leaderboard:
