NBA DFS First Look: Thursday, November 16th

The NBA DFS First Look is complete with sortable NBA odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and NBA projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Favorite Spread Game Total Road Total Home Total Time (ET)
Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat MIA -3.0 215.5 106.3 109.3 7:30 PM
Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors OKC -2.5 226.5 114.5 112.0 10:00 PM

Implied Totals, Team Stats, and Pace of Play

Offense Line Total PPG +/- O-Rat Pace Reb % Matchup Pace Reb % 3PAtt 3P % PAPG D-Rat P-Pace Time (ET)
Brooklyn Nets 3.0 106.3 114.2 -8.0 7 18 10 at MIA 17 21 15 27 8 9 99.9 7:30
Miami Heat -3.0 109.3 109.6 -0.3 25 17 21 vs BKN 18 10 29 5 15 15 99.9 7:30
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 114.5 116.5 -2.0 8 4 28 at GSW 15 10 8 10 9 11 101.3 10:00
Golden State Warriors 2.5 112.0 112.9 -0.9 13 15 10 vs OKC 4 28 21 7 10 8 101.3 10:00

Note: The stats to the left of the first grey column are for the offense, the stats to the right are for the defense of the opponent. Total = team total, PPG = points per game, +/- = difference between total and PPG, O-Rat = offensive rating, Pace = pace of play, Reb % = rebounding rate, 3PA = 3-point attempts allowed, 3P % = 3-point percentage allowed, PAPG = points allowed per game, D-Rating = defensive rating, P-Pace = projected pace of game

Point Guard (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 106.3 $6,900 PG/SG $6,600 SG/PG 28.1 6.0 26.0 6.0 18% 2% 12.5 8.0 5.2 0.8 8.9 3.3 1.2 0.92 0.22 0.88 0.27 at MIA 7:30
Kyle Lowry MIA 109.3 $5,600 PG $5,200 PG 29.5 -14.8 22.8 -14.8 11% -7% 7.2 -7.2 4.8 -2.8 9.1 4.2 -3.2 0.77 -0.48 0.76 -0.47 vs BKN 7:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC 114.5 $10,600 PG $11,300 PG 34.9 -2.4 53.1 -2.4 31% 1% 29.3 2.2 5.9 -1.4 11.7 6.9 -0.4 1.52 0.18 1.56 0.24 at GSW 10:00
Chris Paul GSW 112.0 $6,700 PG $7,100 PG 27.8 1.1 27.3 1.1 16% 1% 8.8 -0.3 7.0 -2.5 15.9 3.8 -0.8 0.98 -0.22 1.00 -0.24 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Shooting Guard (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Mikal Bridges BKN 106.3 $8,000 SF/PF $8,000 SG/SF 34.3 -0.9 37.0 -0.9 25% 10% 20.3 3.7 3.7 -0.7 7.4 6.2 2.8 1.08 0.25 1.06 0.20 at MIA 7:30
Duncan Robinson MIA 109.3 $5,800 PF $6,000 SG/SF 28.6 8.6 23.0 8.6 19% 1% 13.3 8.7 2.5 2.0 4.4 3.0 3.5 0.80 0.32 0.76 0.34 vs BKN 7:30
Josh Giddey OKC 114.5 $7,000 PG/SG $7,000 SG/PG 28.0 0.3 28.9 0.3 24% 0% 12.5 1.5 5.3 3.2 9.4 5.8 0.7 1.03 0.38 1.01 0.42 at GSW 10:00
Klay Thompson GSW 112.0 $6,600 SG/SF $5,800 SG 28.6 -11.1 23.8 -11.1 22% 0% 14.6 -6.6 1.8 -0.3 3.0 3.5 -1.0 0.83 0.02 0.79 0.03 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Small Forward (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Cameron Johnson BKN 106.3 $5,900 PF $6,100 SF/PF 28.8 3.1 26.0 3.1 22% 0% 14.3 2.7 1.5 0.0 3.8 5.3 0.2 0.90 0.02 0.88 0.02 at MIA 7:30
Jimmy Butler MIA 109.3 $8,600 SF $8,600 SF/PF 33.8 1.5 36.2 1.5 23% 4% 20.0 5.5 3.7 0.8 8.3 5.9 -0.9 1.07 0.08 1.08 0.07 vs BKN 7:30
Lu Dort OKC 114.5 $5,500 SF $5,500 SF/SG 29.7 -1.4 26.2 -1.4 16% -1% 13.1 -5.6 1.2 -0.7 2.3 4.6 -0.1 0.88 -0.21 0.91 -0.16 at GSW 10:00
Andrew Wiggins GSW 112.0 $5,100 SF/PF $4,900 SF/PF 26.1 0.4 17.8 0.4 22% -1% 10.4 -2.9 0.9 0.1 2.8 4.0 1.5 0.68 0.07 0.67 0.12 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Power Forward (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 106.3 $5,300 PF/C $4,400 SF/PF 30.4 -8.3 23.6 -8.3 15% -2% 11.8 -6.3 1.4 -1.4 3.3 5.3 -1.8 0.78 -0.27 0.74 -0.27 at MIA 7:30
Haywood Highsmith MIA 109.3 $4,600 PF $5,400 PF 26.5 3.0 20.0 3.0 13% -4% 8.4 -2.4 1.6 -0.1 3.1 3.0 1.0 0.75 -0.05 0.81 0.00 vs BKN 7:30
Jalen Williams OKC 114.5 $6,100 PF $6,200 SF/SG 32.8 -2.3 29.0 -2.3 21% 2% 17.3 3.7 3.5 -1.5 5.6 4.0 -2.5 0.88 0.03 0.86 0.02 at GSW 10:00
Dario Saric GSW 112.0 $5,200 PF/C $5,700 PF/C 21.0 8.7 22.5 8.7 18% 3% 9.2 6.8 1.9 0.6 3.7 6.6 0.4 1.07 0.02 1.05 0.01 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Center (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Nic Claxton BKN 106.3 $6,100 C $7,200 C 25.7 -1.3 29.1 -1.3 13% -1% 8.3 0.7 2.0 -1.0 2.3 8.7 0.8 1.13 0.09 1.24 0.09 at MIA 7:30
Bam Adebayo MIA 109.3 $9,200 C $10,000 C 34.7 0.4 47.2 0.4 28% -2% 23.0 -0.5 3.8 1.2 5.3 10.5 0.5 1.36 0.12 1.36 0.17 vs BKN 7:30
Chet Holmgren OKC 114.5 $7,500 C $7,800 C 30.0 1.4 35.6 1.4 19% -2% 15.7 -2.2 2.6 0.9 4.3 7.5 -1.0 1.19 -0.16 1.22 -0.16 at GSW 10:00
Kevon Looney GSW 112.0 $5,400 C $5,900 C 23.9 1.4 23.0 1.4 9% -4% 5.5 -3.5 2.8 -1.3 6.0 9.1 -0.1 0.96 -0.27 0.99 -0.26 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Notable Bench Players

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Royce O’Neale BKN 106.3 $5,000 SF/PF $5,000 SF/PF 31.5 0.7 24.6 0.7 12% -1% 8.6 2.9 3.2 -0.7 4.0 6.1 -1.1 0.78 -0.02 0.76 -0.04 at MIA 7:30
Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 106.3 $4,700 PG $4,600 PG 17.0 2.2 14.8 2.2 18% 0% 5.9 1.1 3.0 2.5 4.5 2.3 1.2 0.87 0.22 0.88 0.17 at MIA 7:30
Day’Ron Sharpe BKN 106.3 $4,400 C $4,700 C 14.0 7.6 17.5 7.6 20% -4% 7.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 6.6 4.4 1.25 0.00 1.24 0.01 at MIA 7:30
Josh Richardson MIA 109.3 $4,800 SG/SF $4,800 SF/SG 24.9 4.7 16.2 4.7 15% 0% 7.4 1.6 2.8 2.2 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.65 0.19 0.64 0.22 vs BKN 7:30
Jaime Jaquez MIA 109.3 $4,500 SF/PF $5,600 SF 22.9 9.7 19.3 9.7 17% 0% 9.1 4.9 2.1 -0.1 3.7 3.4 2.1 0.84 0.01 0.86 0.02 vs BKN 7:30
Kevin Love MIA 109.3 $3,700 PF/C $3,900 PF/C 18.0 -4.0 18.3 -4.0 20% 7% 7.8 -0.3 1.7 -1.2 2.5 5.5 -3.0 1.02 -0.17 0.95 -0.14 vs BKN 7:30
Cason Wallace OKC 114.5 $4,500 PG/SG $4,100 PG/SG 22.3 -3.4 15.8 -3.4 11% -3% 7.9 -3.4 1.6 0.4 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.71 0.06 0.72 0.13 at GSW 10:00
Isaiah Joe OKC 114.5 $3,500 SG/SF $3,800 PG 19.0 -4.0 15.3 -4.0 18% -6% 8.7 -3.2 1.1 -0.1 1.7 1.9 -0.4 0.81 0.10 0.78 0.22 at GSW 10:00
Jaylin Williams OKC 114.5 $3,600 C $3,900 PF/C 14.5 1.0 13.2 1.0 14% 1% 4.2 -1.2 1.5 -0.5 3.0 3.7 0.3 0.91 -0.09 0.94 -0.07 at GSW 10:00
Jonathan Kuminga GSW 112.0 $4,400 PF $4,500 SF 20.1 -0.3 17.6 -0.3 26% -7% 11.5 -4.0 0.6 -0.1 1.4 2.9 -0.4 0.88 -0.21 0.89 -0.19 vs OKC 10:00
Brandin Podziemski GSW 112.0 $4,600 PG/SG $5,300 SG 13.1 7.0 13.7 7.0 19% 6% 6.1 9.4 1.9 0.6 2.8 3.3 0.7 1.04 0.29 1.01 0.28 vs OKC 10:00
Gary Payton GSW 112.0 $3,700 PG/SF $3,800 SG 18.1 -3.5 15.1 -3.5 14% -2% 6.5 -1.0 1.1 0.9 2.0 3.2 0.3 0.83 0.05 0.88 -0.03 vs OKC 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last two games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious