NBA Grind Down: Wednesday, April 9th - Page 2

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Miami at Memphis

Miami

This game has the lowest over/under of the night at 182 and the Heat are coming off a really tough home loss to the Nets on Tuesday. It looks like Wade will continue to sit out tonight, leaving Toney Douglas as the starter but against Memphis I really wouldn’t give too much thought to any of the plays here.

Memphis

The biggest weakness of the Heat’s defense has been in the paint, so the duo of Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol could be able to really frustrate Miami on the glass tonight. Memphis is in the thick of a playoff seed battle so you shouldn’t expect to see any of their stars playing limited minutes, but I’d also be very wary of the low O/U here with the expectation that the pace is going to be extremely slow.

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Indiana at Milwaukee

Indiana

The Pacers just announced that all 5 starters will rest tonight, leaving me at a loss for what to expect here. Instead, I’ll just try to break down some of the projected starters and let you know what kind of value they have against the NBA’s worst team:

Milwaukee

With the Pacers resting all 5 starters, it’s really difficult to gauge how their team defense will be effected. They’ve been one of the best defenses in the NBA all season but the core starters aren’t going to be on the court and all you can really expect is that they’ll try to maintain the same pace as the first five unit. Because of that, I don’t think you can expect too much from the Bucks tonight.

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Chicago at Minnesota

Chicago

This is a matchup of two teams who play entirely different paces which is why I think we’re seeing Vegas set the O/U a little higher than what you’d normally see in a Bulls game. The Wolves have really struggled guarding the 1,2 and 3 positions but it’s hard to trust guys like Dunleavy or Butler when they haven’t been productive in massive minutes of late.

Minnesota

The banged up Wolves will likely be without both Pekovic and Martin again tonight, but I have to say I was SHOCKED to see Dante Cunningham take the floor on Tuesday. Wasn’t that dude just arrested for making terroristic threats? In the NFL he would’ve been cut after his first arrest, let alone the 2nd. Anyways, their rotation last night featured a large amount of Robbie Hummel, Cunningham and Dieng in a blowout W over the Spurs. Love was able to get some rest but I don’t really care for him in this particular matchup.

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Phoenix at New Orleans

Phoenix

The Suns and Pelicans is a game that should draw some DFS interest, with a 207 O/U and just a 6 point spread you can expect this to be uptempo and close throughout. Phoenix is healthy heading down the stretch so don’t expect them to stray from the minutes rotation we’ve seen over the last 10 games or so since Bledsoe returned.

New Orleans

The Pelicans are a frustrating team, but at least they announced Eric Gordon will be out the remainder of the year so we can rest comfortably knowing that at least Tyreke Evans will see a ton of minutes. The other question mark is Anthony Davis who is listed as probable but Monty Williams holds his cards pretty close to the chest and Davis has already been scratched three times this year after being listed as probable. I’d avoid him at all costs.

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Houston at Denver

Houston

After scoring 275 points between themselves and the Lakers last night, Houston heads to Denver to take on the Nuggets. This game has an absurd 222 O/U and a 1.5 point spread, making it far and away the best game to target tonight. The 1.5 point spread tells me Vegas knows something is up and there have already been grumblings that the Rockets may rest Harden/Parsons tonight so be VERY cautious with that and make sure to follow those updates as they come out throughout the day.

Denver

The Nuggets will be without Ty Lawson again tonight, adding to the list of Wilson Chandler and J.J. Hickson of players with significant roles who will be out. Luckily that leaves Aaron Brooks as the starter and oh my did he have a big game on Sunday against these same Rockets. 25 points, 15 assists and 8 rebounds later Brooks had posted over 60 fantasy points.

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