NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Tuesday (1/16)
What kind of performances can we expect on Tuesday from Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, and James Harden? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Tuesday, January 16, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Tuesday’s NBA slate features only 3 games, but there are still plenty of high-quality player prop options to consider with stars such as Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid, Kevin Durant, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Kawhi Leonard scheduled to play. The action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET with a matchup between the Nuggets and 76ers, followed by two games on the west coast later in the evening.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Tuesday, January 16th!
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NBA Player Props Today – Tuesday, January 16, 2024
- Chet Holmgren Over/Under 17.5 Points
- Jalen Williams Over/Under 4.5 Assists
- James Harden Over/Under 9.5 Assists
Chet Holmgren Over/Under 17.5 Points
Entering play on Tuesday, Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.7 points per game this season, but he has been less efficient with his opportunities on the road, averaging only 16.7 points per game in 18 road contests. In those 18 road games, Holmgren has only scored more than 17 points five times this season. Tonight, he draws a tough matchup against a Clippers team that has allowed the 4th-fewest opponent field goal attempts per game in the restricted area and ranks 3rd in opponent field goal percentage in the paint during the last 30 days. It is difficult to envision Holmgren having a strong offensive showing this evening.
- PICK: Holmgren UNDER 17.5 Points (-120), FanDuel
Jalen Williams Over/Under 4.5 Assists
Since December 29, Jalen Williams is averaging 6.0 assists and 8.9 potential assists per game for the Thunder. Only Tre Mann and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are averaging more potential assists per game for the team during that stretch. Though Williams is likely to see his actual assists regress slightly in the near future, his high number of potential assists per game across the last few weeks suggests that he could normalize around 4 or 5 actual assists per game going forward. At plus money, this is worth a small stab on Tuesday night.
- PICK: Williams OVER 4.5 Assists (+120), BetMGM
James Harden Over/Under 9.5 Assists
James Harden has routinely been clearing this market number in January, averaging 10.1 assists per game for the month, but he faces an uphill battle to a double-double on Tuesday against the Thunder. Since the new year, only one opposing point guard has managed 10+ assists against Oklahoma City. Despite Harden putting up gaudy assist numbers this month, he is still averaging only 15.3 potential assists per game in that stretch, which makes it difficult to see him continuing to average more than 10 assists per game if his opportunity remains constant. The math favors the under in this spot.
- PICK: Harden UNDER 9.5 Assists (-138), FanDuel
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 52-38-2
Rebounds: 23-24-1
Assists: 14-16-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 8-14
Points + Rebounds: 7-1
Points + Assists: 3-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-3
Three-Pointers Made: 15-7
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 127-106-6 (54.8%)
Image Credit: Getty Images